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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2024
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Thunder39%115112
11Pacers61%119126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 216 · 21.5
35.5
27.1
14
39%
9
12
1
1
0
5
2
7
2-2
100%
6-15
5-8
40%
55%
0-2
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
31.9
28.7
22
64%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
6-8
2-3
75%
50%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.8
31.9
21.4
10
56%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
2-5
40%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 21.9
28.1
26.5
15
48%
8
0
0
1
3
2
0
8
6-8
75%
3-6
4-7
50%
63%
1-6
17%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 34.0
13.3
16.3
7
81%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
25.6
18.6
18
114%
8
3
0
1
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
5-5
2-3
100%
58%
2-2
100%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.4
20.8
21.4
2
20%
1
1
3
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
59%
0-1
0%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.7
17.5
7.6
12
64%
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-4
0-0
100%
60%
1-5
20%
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.3
16.3
24.6
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
60%
0-1
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.8
12.2
18.5
4
67%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
6.9
6.1
4
82%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.6
3.3
0
0-1
57%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 23.0
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 20.9
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.7
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.1
35.7
31.2
8
50%
2
11
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
58%
2-6
33%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'8" 245 · 30.0
29.6
28.9
21
86%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
7-9
8-14
78%
56%
1-1
100%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'4" 191 · 24.2
27.2
26.5
3
30%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
25.3
27.4
17
81%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
4-7
57%
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.0
17.6
20.9
16
67%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
61%
2-3
67%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
25.1
18.5
15
69%
8
1
2
0
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
67%
1-3
33%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.7
22.8
19.1
8
40%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
57%
2-6
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
20.8
18.8
16
62%
5
10
0
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
56%
0-0
-
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'9" 215 · 24.1
12.6
18.3
12
66%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
6-7
86%
3-4
3-5
75%
63%
0-2
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
12.3
10.5
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
2-3
67%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
11.0
15.9
4
69%
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
63%
0-0
-
Jarace Walker
F · 6'7" 235 · 20.6
7.5
0
1-1
52%
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.9
4.4
0
0-1
55%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 37.1
2.4
0
0-0
53%
Quenton Jackson
G · 6'5" 173 · 25.6
2.0
0
0-0
51%
Isaiah Wong
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'8" 255 · 24.4
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.