Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Kings	19%	108	100	105.3	95	97.1
	1	Celtics	81%	120	101	108.6	93	91.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+21

-7

109

BOS

+13

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 45.9%

BOS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	44.1	40	67%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	9-16	56%	7-13	54%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	41.6	10	33%	11	4	1	1	2	2	4	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-10	20%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	33.8	16	50%	16	6	1	1	2	1	5	11	4-7	57%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	28.1	10	45%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	17.3	3	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%

Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	25.0	7	44%	6	5	0	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.2	3	21%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	14.0	6	43%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	10.1	3	30%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	5.8	2	50%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Dislocation
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	46%	54	21	4	3	7	15	15	39	7-13	54%	21-48	44%	17-51	33%

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14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	44.1	40	67%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	9-16	56%	7-13	54%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	41.6	10	33%	11	4	1	1	2	2	4	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-10	20%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	33.8	16	50%	16	6	1	1	2	1	5	11	4-7	57%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	28.1	10	45%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	17.3	3	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%

Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	25.0	7	44%	6	5	0	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.2	3	21%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	14.0	6	43%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	10.1	3	30%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	5.8	2	50%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Dislocation
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	46%	54	21	4	3	7	15	15	39	7-13	54%	21-48	44%	17-51	33%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Sam Hauser #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 26	36.3	3	8%	7	3	1	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-13	8%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	32.5	17	45%	6	5	0	0	3	0	0	6	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	30.8	10	63%	4	7	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	24.4	20	83%	11	2	2	1	1	3	1	10	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-2	100%
Al Horford #42 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	20.1	8	50%	6	1	0	1	0	0	0	6	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	33.4	21	66%	1	3	2	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-10	50%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	19.1	9	64%	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	18.3	6	75%	5	1	1	2	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	11.9	5	83%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	6.7	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	3	1	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Sprain
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	51	25	6	4	7	11	12	39	13-18	72%	26-45	58%	12-44	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 45.9%

BOS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

60%

BOS

83%

Midrange

SAC

36%

BOS

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

25.5

33%

50%

BOS

18.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

SAC

54%

BOS

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	40	67%	20.0 / 30
D. Sabonis	16	50%	8.0 / 16
K. Murray	10	33%	5.0 / 15
H. Barnes	10	45%	5.0 / 11
D. Mitchell	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Vezenkov	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Ellis	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Lyles	3	21%	1.5 / 7
K. Edwards	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Len	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Porziņģis	20	83%	10.0 / 12
J. Tatum	17	45%	8.5 / 19
J. Holiday	10	63%	5.0 / 8
X. Tillman	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Horford	8	50%	4.0 / 8
L. Kornet	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Mykhailiuk	5	83%	2.5 / 3
S. Hauser	3	8%	1.5 / 18
O. Brissett	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Walsh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 1 122.2	SAC 105.3 BOS 108.6 +3.3
Pace	14 99.4 19 98.0	SAC 97.1 +6.1 BOS 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 5 15.0	SAC 14.8 −1.0 BOS 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 2 57.8%	SAC 47.0% BOS 49.4% +2.4%
TO %	12 12.5% 1 11.4%	SAC 6.3% −1.3% BOS 7.6%
ORB %	14 24.5% 12 24.9%	SAC 27.8% +4.3% BOS 23.5%
FTrt	22 22.9 25 22.4	SAC 13.1 BOS 20.2 +7.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 21 61.3%	SAC 55.3% BOS 65.8% +10.5%
STL %	14 7.6% 26 6.9%	SAC 4.2% BOS 6.5% +2.3%
BLK %	27 8.6% 7 10.7%	SAC 6.7% BOS 8.3% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 1 59.5%	SAC 45.9% BOS 51.0% +5.1%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 2 68.1%	SAC 60.0% BOS 83.3% +23.3%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 15 43.5%	SAC 36.4% BOS 40.7% +4.3%
3P %	16 36.6% 2 38.8%	SAC 33.3% +6.0% BOS 27.3%
FT %	30 74.5% 7 80.7%	SAC 53.8% BOS 72.2% +18.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 26 30.1%	SAC 15.2% BOS 20.2% +5.1%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 1 22.8%	SAC 33.3% BOS 30.3% −3.0%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 1 47.1%	SAC 51.5% +2.1% BOS 49.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	SAC	BOS
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	100	101
Rebounds	54	51
Assists	21	25
Steals	4	6
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	15	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (6)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	39 (3)
Field Goals	38-99	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	9-15	15-18
Midrange FG	12-33	11-27
2-Point FG	21-48	26-45
3-Point FG	17-51	12-44
Free Throws	7-13	13-18
Fast Break Pts	11	6
2nd Chance Pts	20	8
Points in Paint	36	38
Pts off Turnovers	10	8
Bench Points	21	43
Biggest Lead	5	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg