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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 5, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat52%110119
19Rockets48%109104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 34.6
28.8
34.6
22
63%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
4-8
6-10
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.8
15.5
21.7
8
57%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
2-6
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 26.7
33.3
30.6
18
65%
12
6
1
1
1
1
2
10
4-4
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
54%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
21.0
23.7
10
73%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
2-5
40%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.1
24.8
31.1
13
57%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-6
4-9
17%
50%
3-4
75%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
29.3
25.2
9
50%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
1-4
25%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
26.9
27.1
4
40%
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-3
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
25.0
10.8
17
54%
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-4
50%
6-10
2-3
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
19.2
19.2
12
86%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
2-3
67%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 35.6
14.7
14.2
6
60%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 25.0
1.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.9
9.4
1
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.6
7.8
0
0-1
47%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.7
7.1
0
1-2
64%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.7
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.6
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
36.9
25.3
18
58%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
3-7
43%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.6
21.9
16.7
11
85%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
2-3
67%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.9
32.5
30.7
15
58%
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
3-9
33%
Jalen Green
G · 6'4" 186 · 22.2
37.9
32.1
21
49%
7
4
2
1
1
3
1
6
7-8
88%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
2-9
22%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 197 · 30.1
36.6
33.3
13
44%
6
8
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
26.4
18.3
10
63%
6
4
1
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-4
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 19.7
20.5
22.0
12
47%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-8
4-6
25%
55%
2-4
50%
Reggie Bullock Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 33.1
11.6
7.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-2
0%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 27.5
9.3
15.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.1
3.4
4.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
1.5
7.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Samuels Jr.
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
1.5
2.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
54%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 35.6
3.3
0
1-1
57%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.2
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
Steven Adams
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 28.4
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'11" 243 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.