Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Heat	45%	114	115	121.1	95	105.4
	10	Pacers	55%	116	117	121.9	96	87.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	38.9	27	64%	7	8	1	0	0	1	2	5	12-12	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	37.0	20	50%	12	3	0	1	1	5	3	9	3-4	75%	7-14	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	24.1	18	82%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	21.8	4	29%	0	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	12.0	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	36.0	20	83%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	31.1	21	75%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	19.1	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	12.6	3	75%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	7.5	2	25%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	39	21	3	6	7	22	8	31	29-32	91%	31-57	54%	8-27	30%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	38.9	27	64%	7	8	1	0	0	1	2	5	12-12	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	37.0	20	50%	12	3	0	1	1	5	3	9	3-4	75%	7-14	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	24.1	18	82%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	21.8	4	29%	0	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	12.0	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	36.0	20	83%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	31.1	21	75%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	19.1	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	12.6	3	75%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	7.5	2	25%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	39	21	3	6	7	22	8	31	29-32	91%	31-57	54%	8-27	30%

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10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	39.7	16	57%	5	3	0	2	1	4	1	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	37.3	22	69%	13	2	0	2	0	2	1	12	8-8	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	33.0	12	50%	4	8	0	2	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	32.5	18	56%	8	1	0	0	0	4	2	6	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	24.9	10	71%	2	2	3	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	26.6	22	79%	0	5	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	19.9	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	15.5	13	93%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	10.7	4	33%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	37	27	4	2	6	24	4	33	20-21	95%	35-54	65%	9-32	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.3%

IND

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

13

29

45%

IND

18

29

62%

Midrange

MIA

18

28

64%

IND

17

25

68%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

8

12.0

27

30%

44%

IND

9

13.5

32

28%

42%

Free Throws

MIA

29

32

91%

IND

20

21

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	27	64%	13.5 / 21
T. Herro	21	75%	10.5 / 14
B. Adebayo	20	50%	10.0 / 20
C. Martin	20	83%	10.0 / 12
N. Jović	18	82%	9.0 / 11
T. Rozier	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Jaquez	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Love	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 4
H. Highsmith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. McConnell	22	79%	11.0 / 14
P. Siakam	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Nesmith	16	57%	8.0 / 14
O. Toppin	13	93%	6.5 / 7
T. Haliburton	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Nembhard	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Smith	4	33%	2.0 / 6
B. Sheppard	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 2 120.6	MIA 121.1 IND 121.9 +0.8
Pace	29 97.0 2 102.3	MIA 105.4 +18.1 IND 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 29 13.7	MIA 13.7 −2.8 IND 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 1 57.8%	MIA 51.2% IND 56.4% +5.2%
TO %	9 12.2% 6 12.0%	MIA 6.7% −0.1% IND 6.8%
ORB %	26 21.8% 20 23.8%	MIA 19.5% +8.1% IND 11.4%
FTrt	8 25.7 26 22.2	MIA 38.1 +13.7 IND 24.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 6 65.4%	MIA 53.8% IND 61.4% +7.6%
STL %	11 7.7% 15 7.5%	MIA 3.2% IND 4.2% +1.0%
BLK %	30 7.7% 14 9.5%	MIA 11.1% +7.6% IND 3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 2 59.4%	MIA 59.3% +0.2% IND 59.1%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 7 65.9%	MIA 44.8% IND 62.1% +17.3%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 1 48.8%	MIA 64.3% IND 68.0% +3.7%
3P %	12 37.0% 9 37.4%	MIA 29.6% +1.5% IND 28.1%
FT %	5 81.8% 13 78.2%	MIA 90.6% IND 95.2% +4.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 3 36.5%	MIA 34.5% +0.8% IND 33.7%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 6 25.4%	MIA 33.3% IND 29.1% −4.3%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 20 38.0%	MIA 32.1% IND 37.2% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	MIA	IND
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	115	117
Rebounds	39	37
Assists	21	27
Steals	3	4
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	6 (1)
Fouls	22	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	33 (4)
Field Goals	39-84	44-86
At-the-Rim FG	13-29	18-29
Midrange FG	18-28	17-25
2-Point FG	31-57	35-54
3-Point FG	8-27	9-32
Free Throws	29-32	20-21
Fast Break Pts	6	6
2nd Chance Pts	4	11
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	6	9
Bench Points	46	39
Biggest Lead	2	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg