Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 9, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Kings	35%	111	105	102.9	102	101.0
	3	Thunder	65%	117	112	109.8	102	103.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+24

-17

109

OKC

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.96 48.2%

OKC

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	42.7	33	53%	8	6	2	0	2	2	0	8	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	7-17	41%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	38.3	15	44%	10	2	0	0	0	0	3	7	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-10	30%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	35.6	26	76%	6	5	2	2	5	5	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	8-15	53%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	33.9	8	40%	13	5	1	0	5	5	8	5	4-7	57%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	26.7	10	42%	6	0	1	0	1	1	2	4	8-10	80%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	22.0	3	21%	7	0	2	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	21.6	8	40%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	10.3	0	0%	4	2	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	8.8	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
Mason Jones #22 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	48%	56	23	8	8	17	22	21	35	19-26	73%	13-38	34%	20-58	34%

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16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	42.7	33	53%	8	6	2	0	2	2	0	8	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	7-17	41%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	38.3	15	44%	10	2	0	0	0	0	3	7	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-10	30%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	35.6	26	76%	6	5	2	2	5	5	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	8-15	53%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	33.9	8	40%	13	5	1	0	5	5	8	5	4-7	57%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	26.7	10	42%	6	0	1	0	1	1	2	4	8-10	80%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	22.0	3	21%	7	0	2	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	21.6	8	40%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	10.3	0	0%	4	2	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	8.8	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
Mason Jones #22 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	48%	56	23	8	8	17	22	21	35	19-26	73%	13-38	34%	20-58	34%

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3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	37.9	40	67%	7	4	2	2	5	2	1	6	16-20	80%	9-18	50%	2-3	67%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	35.7	11	50%	6	4	1	0	2	0	0	6	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-2	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	34.1	15	63%	9	2	2	2	0	1	3	6	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	30.4	18	69%	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	21.3	4	29%	4	3	1	2	4	5	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	20.0	10	71%	4	1	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	18.7	7	88%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	18.4	3	30%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	16.2	4	67%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	6.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala #50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27
Bismack Biyombo #15 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gordon Hayward #33 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Posterior Tibialis; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	42	21	11	4	13	18	6	36	23-31	74%	28-50	56%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.96 48.2%

OKC

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

47%

OKC

65%

Midrange

SAC

26%

OKC

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

30.0

34%

52%

OKC

16.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

SAC

73%

OKC

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	33	53%	16.5 / 31
K. Ellis	26	76%	13.0 / 17
K. Murray	15	44%	7.5 / 17
H. Barnes	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Sabonis	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Mitchell	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. Lyles	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	40	67%	20.0 / 30
L. Dort	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Holmgren	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Williams	11	50%	5.5 / 11
I. Joe	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Wiggins	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Giddey	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Williams	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Wallace	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 3 118.3	SAC 102.9 OKC 109.8 +6.9
Pace	14 99.4 5 100.9	SAC 101.0 OKC 103.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 27 14.0	SAC 14.3 OKC 14.0 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 3 57.3%	SAC 44.8% OKC 55.6% +10.8%
TO %	12 12.5% 3 11.7%	SAC 13.7% OKC 13.0% −0.7%
ORB %	14 24.5% 28 21.1%	SAC 36.8% +22.2% OKC 14.6%
FTrt	22 22.9 17 24.0	SAC 27.1 OKC 38.8 +11.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 23 60.9%	SAC 69.7% +15.9% OKC 53.8%
STL %	14 7.6% 3 8.3%	SAC 7.8% OKC 10.8% +3.0%
BLK %	27 8.6% 2 11.3%	SAC 16.0% +5.5% OKC 10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 3 59.2%	SAC 48.2% OKC 57.7% +9.5%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 10 65.4%	SAC 46.7% OKC 65.4% +18.7%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 4 46.6%	SAC 26.1% OKC 45.8% +19.7%
3P %	16 36.6% 1 38.9%	SAC 34.5% OKC 36.7% +2.2%
FT %	30 74.5% 4 82.5%	SAC 73.1% OKC 74.2% +1.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 16 33.2%	SAC 15.6% OKC 32.5% +16.9%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 24 28.5%	SAC 24.0% −6.0% OKC 30.0%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 18 38.3%	SAC 60.4% +22.9% OKC 37.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	OKC
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	105	112
Rebounds	56	42
Assists	23	21
Steals	8	11
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	22	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	21 (3)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	36 (8)
Field Goals	33-96	39-80
At-the-Rim FG	7-15	17-26
Midrange FG	6-23	11-24
2-Point FG	13-38	28-50
3-Point FG	20-58	11-30
Free Throws	19-26	23-31
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	21	10
Points in Paint	26	42
Pts off Turnovers	11	15
Bench Points	13	24
Biggest Lead	20	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg