Final Win Prob. pScore
643%110
111
757%112
92
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
122.09184.4
MIA logo Heat
101.19198.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
92
Q4 - 0:16.4MavericksA.J. Lawson defensive rebound111
92
Q4 - 0:20.6HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot111
92
Q4 - 0:27.4MavericksBrandon Williams makes two point running layup (Jaden Hardy assists)111
92
Q4 - 0:30.6MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound109
92
Q4 - 0:33.2HeatAlondes Williams misses two point driving finger roll layup109
92
Q4 - 0:43.1MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (offensive foul)109
92
Q4 - 0:43.1MavericksJaden Hardy offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)109
92
Q4 - 0:46.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)109
92
Q4 - 0:46.0MavericksMavericks offensive rebound109
92
Q4 - 0:49.5MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point pullup jump shot109
92
Q4 - 1:02HeatPatty Mills makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cole Swider assists)109
92
Q4 - 1:08Heat lineup change (Cole Swider, Jamal Cain, Patty Mills, Alondes Williams, Orlando Robinson)109
90
Q4 - 1:08Heat 60 second timeout109
90
Q4 - 1:08MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point running dunk (A.J. Lawson assists)109
90
Q4 - 1:12MavericksA.J. Lawson defensive rebound107
90
Q4 - 1:15HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot107
90
Q4 - 1:26MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point pullup jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)107
90
Q4 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)105
90
Q4 - 1:57Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)105
90
Q4 - 1:57Mavericks lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Brandon Williams, A.J. Lawson, Jaden Hardy, Markieff Morris)105
90
Q4 - 1:57MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)105
90
Q4 - 1:57MavericksLuka Doncic offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)105
90
Q4 - 2:17MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound105
90
Q4 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot105
90
Q4 - 2:45MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving layup (Dante Exum assists)105
90
Q4 - 3:04Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love)103
90
Q4 - 3:04Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)103
90
Q4 - 3:04Mavericks 60 second timeout103
90
Q4 - 3:04MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound103
90
Q4 - 3:06HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup103
90
Q4 - 3:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound103
90
Q4 - 3:27MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot103
90
Q4 - 3:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup103
90
Q4 - 4:06MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
88
Q4 - 4:06Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)102
88
Q4 - 4:06MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
88
Q4 - 4:06HeatPatty Mills shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)101
88
Q4 - 4:09MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound101
88
Q4 - 4:12MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot101
88
Q4 - 4:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)101
88
Q4 - 4:30HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound101
88
Q4 - 4:31HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
88
Q4 - 4:43HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound101
88
Q4 - 4:47HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot101
88
Q4 - 4:59HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound101
88
Q4 - 5:02MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot101
88
Q4 - 5:06Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)101
88
Q4 - 5:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)101
88
Q4 - 5:22MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound101
88
Q4 - 5:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot101
88
Q4 - 5:38MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)101
88
Q4 - 5:51HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)99
88
Q4 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)99
88
Q4 - 6:15HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound99
88
Q4 - 6:19MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot99
88
Q4 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot99
88
Q4 - 7:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Haywood Highsmith)99
86
Q4 - 7:00Heat 60 second timeout99
86
Q4 - 7:01MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot99
86
Q4 - 7:15MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound97
86
Q4 - 7:17HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup97
86
Q4 - 7:32HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound97
86
Q4 - 7:35MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point fadeaway jump shot97
86
Q4 - 7:54HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)97
86
Q4 - 8:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound97
86
Q4 - 8:18MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 297
86
Q4 - 8:18MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 297
86
Q4 - 8:18HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)96
86
Q4 - 8:18MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound96
86
Q4 - 8:18MavericksP.J. Washington misses two point driving floating bank jump shot96
86
Q4 - 8:22HeatKevin Love turnover (lost ball) (Daniel Gafford steals)96
86
Q4 - 8:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound96
86
Q4 - 8:24MavericksP.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 196
86
Q4 - 8:24HeatKevin Love shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)96
86
Q4 - 8:24MavericksP.J. Washington makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)96
86
Q4 - 8:42Mavericks 60 second timeout94
86
Q4 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)94
86
Q4 - 8:47HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound94
83
Q4 - 8:51HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot94
83
Q4 - 8:58Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)94
83
Q4 - 8:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)94
83
Q4 - 8:58HeatHeat offensive rebound94
83
Q4 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot94
83
Q4 - 9:03HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound94
83
Q4 - 9:05HeatKevin Love misses two point tip dunk94
83
Q4 - 9:05HeatKevin Love offensive rebound94
83
Q4 - 9:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup94
83
Q4 - 9:30MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (P.J. Washington assists)94
83
Q4 - 9:45HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)92
83
Q4 - 9:59MavericksP.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)92
80
Q4 - 10:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)92
80
Q4 - 10:13Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving)92
80
Q4 - 10:13MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)92
80
Q4 - 10:24MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving layup92
80
Q4 - 10:47HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)90
80
Q4 - 10:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)90
77
Q4 - 10:51HeatHeat offensive rebound90
77
Q4 - 10:53HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Kevin Love's two point driving layup90
77
Q4 - 11:10MavericksP.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)90
77
Q4 - 11:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)88
77
Q4 - 11:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
74
Q4 - 11:41MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot88
74
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith)88
74
Q4 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving)88
74
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
74
Q3 - 0:01.4HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
74
Q3 - 0:04.2MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot88
74
Q3 - 0:21.2HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)88
74
Q3 - 0:37.2MavericksJosh Green makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)88
72
Q3 - 0:49.3MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound85
72
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot85
72
Q3 - 1:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound85
72
Q3 - 1:12MavericksJosh Green misses two point cutting layup85
72
Q3 - 1:16Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Patty Mills, Haywood Highsmith)85
72
Q3 - 1:16Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)85
72
Q3 - 1:16Mavericks 60 second timeout85
72
Q3 - 1:16HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)85
72
Q3 - 1:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup85
72
Q3 - 1:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound85
70
Q3 - 1:56MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot85
70
Q3 - 2:04MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound85
70
Q3 - 2:06HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point running finger roll layup85
70
Q3 - 2:08HeatKevin Love defensive rebound85
70
Q3 - 2:13MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot85
70
Q3 - 2:20HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Josh Green steals)85
70
Q3 - 2:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound85
70
Q3 - 2:26MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving finger roll layup85
70
Q3 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)85
70
Q3 - 2:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound85
68
Q3 - 2:57MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot85
68
Q3 - 3:09MavericksDante Exum offensive rebound85
68
Q3 - 3:11MavericksJosh Green misses two point tip layup85
68
Q3 - 3:11MavericksJosh Green offensive rebound85
68
Q3 - 3:12MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point running pullup jump shot85
68
Q3 - 3:14MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound85
68
Q3 - 3:17HeatMaxi Kleber blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup85
68
Q3 - 3:26HeatKevin Love defensive rebound85
68
Q3 - 3:29MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot85
68
Q3 - 3:49HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)85
68
Q3 - 4:09MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 285
68
Q3 - 4:09Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith)84
68
Q3 - 4:09Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Luka Doncic)84
68
Q3 - 4:09MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 284
68
Q3 - 4:09HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)84
68
Q3 - 4:25HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)84
68
Q3 - 4:40MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point tip layup84
65
Q3 - 4:40MavericksMaxi Kleber offensive rebound82
65
Q3 - 4:41MavericksP.J. Washington misses two point driving floating bank jump shot82
65
Q3 - 5:01HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)82
65
Q3 - 5:11HeatKevin Love defensive rebound82
62
Q3 - 5:14MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot82
62
Q3 - 5:34HeatKevin Love makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)82
62
Q3 - 5:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound82
60
Q3 - 5:48MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot82
60
Q3 - 5:54Kevin Love kicked ball violation82
60
Q3 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)82
60
Q3 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)82
60
Q3 - 5:58MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)82
60
Q3 - 6:12HeatHeat turnover (5-second violation)82
60
Q3 - 6:12Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love)82
60
Q3 - 6:12Heat 60 second timeout82
60
Q3 - 6:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)82
60
Q3 - 6:12HeatHeat offensive rebound82
60
Q3 - 6:13HeatDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving hook shot82
60
Q3 - 6:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound82
60
Q3 - 6:21MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot82
60
Q3 - 6:30MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound82
60
Q3 - 6:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot82
60
Q3 - 6:51MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot82
60
Q3 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 279
60
Q3 - 7:05Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic)79
59
Q3 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 279
59
Q3 - 7:05MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
58
Q3 - 7:09HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound79
58
Q3 - 7:13MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot79
58
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot79
58
Q3 - 7:55MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)79
56
Q3 - 8:10MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound76
56
Q3 - 8:12HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving layup76
56
Q3 - 8:20Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
56
Q3 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound76
56
Q3 - 8:26MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point running pullup jump shot76
56
Q3 - 8:30HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)76
56
Q3 - 8:35HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound76
56
Q3 - 8:37MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot76
56
Q3 - 8:58HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)76
56
Q3 - 9:13MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point fadeaway jump shot76
54
Q3 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 374
54
Q3 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 374
53
Q3 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 374
52
Q3 - 9:27MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)74
51
Q3 - 9:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound74
51
Q3 - 9:36MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot74
51
Q3 - 10:01HeatNikola Jovic makes two point tip layup74
51
Q3 - 10:01HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound74
49
Q3 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot74
49
Q3 - 10:13MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)74
49
Q3 - 10:25HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)72
49
Q3 - 10:31MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound72
49
Q3 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot72
49
Q3 - 10:49MavericksP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)72
49
Q3 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)69
49
Q3 - 11:18HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound69
47
Q3 - 11:20MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot69
47
Q3 - 11:39MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound69
47
Q3 - 11:43HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot69
47
Q3 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)69
47
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.69
47
Q2 - 0:00.8MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
47
Q2 - 0:24.6HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)67
47
Q2 - 0:34.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound67
44
Q2 - 0:37.6MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot67
44
Q2 - 0:57.8HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup67
44
Q2 - 0:58.3HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound67
42
Q2 - 1:01HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot67
42
Q2 - 1:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound67
42
Q2 - 1:17MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot67
42
Q2 - 1:28MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound67
42
Q2 - 1:30HeatP.J. Washington blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving finger roll layup67
42
Q2 - 1:49MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point stepback jump shot67
42
Q2 - 1:58MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound64
42
Q2 - 2:02HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot64
42
Q2 - 2:10MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 264
42
Q2 - 2:10MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 263
42
Q2 - 2:10HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)62
42
Q2 - 2:17MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound62
42
Q2 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup62
42
Q2 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound62
42
Q2 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot62
42
Q2 - 2:33MavericksMaxi Kleber makes regular free throw 2 of 262
42
Q2 - 2:33MavericksMaxi Kleber makes regular free throw 1 of 261
42
Q2 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)60
42
Q2 - 2:37HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)60
42
Q2 - 2:49HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 260
42
Q2 - 2:49Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)60
41
Q2 - 2:49Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)60
41
Q2 - 2:49HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 260
41
Q2 - 2:49MavericksKyrie Irving shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)60
40
Q2 - 2:53HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound60
40
Q2 - 2:56MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot60
40
Q2 - 2:59MavericksP.J. Washington offensive rebound60
40
Q2 - 3:02MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot60
40
Q2 - 3:30HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup60
40
Q2 - 3:31HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound60
38
Q2 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot60
38
Q2 - 3:47MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point layup (P.J. Washington assists)60
38
Q2 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)58
38
Q2 - 4:09MavericksP.J. Washington personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
38
Q2 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound58
38
Q2 - 4:14HeatNikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot58
38
Q2 - 4:38Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)58
38
Q2 - 4:38Heat 60 second timeout58
38
Q2 - 4:40MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)58
38
Q2 - 4:44MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound55
38
Q2 - 4:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot55
38
Q2 - 4:57MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point layup55
38
Q2 - 5:14MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound53
38
Q2 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot53
38
Q2 - 5:41MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Luka Doncic assists)53
38
Q2 - 5:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)51
38
Q2 - 6:10MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)51
36
Q2 - 6:15MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound49
36
Q2 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot49
36
Q2 - 6:33MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 249
36
Q2 - 6:33Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)48
36
Q2 - 6:33Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)48
36
Q2 - 6:33MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 248
36
Q2 - 6:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)47
36
Q2 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup47
36
Q2 - 7:06MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)47
34
Q2 - 7:10MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound45
34
Q2 - 7:12HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup45
34
Q2 - 7:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound45
34
Q2 - 7:19MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot45
34
Q2 - 7:44HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)45
34
Q2 - 8:08MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)45
31
Q2 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
31
Q2 - 8:44Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)42
29
Q2 - 8:44Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)42
29
Q2 - 8:44Heat 60 second timeout42
29
Q2 - 8:44MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point running dunk (Josh Green assists)42
29
Q2 - 8:44MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound40
29
Q2 - 8:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot40
29
Q2 - 9:00MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point running pullup jump shot40
29
Q2 - 9:05HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)37
29
Q2 - 9:15HeatKevin Love defensive rebound37
29
Q2 - 9:18MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot37
29
Q2 - 9:41HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)37
29
Q2 - 9:47HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 9:49MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point running reverse layup37
26
Q2 - 9:54MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 9:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running dunk37
26
Q2 - 10:01HeatKevin Love defensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 10:03MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot37
26
Q2 - 10:15HeatKevin Love personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)37
26
Q2 - 10:15MavericksMavericks offensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 10:15MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot37
26
Q2 - 10:17Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Patty Mills)37
26
Q2 - 10:17HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)37
26
Q2 - 10:33HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
26
Q2 - 10:44MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)37
26
Q2 - 10:57MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point cutting layup (Josh Green assists)37
26
Q2 - 11:08HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
26
Q2 - 11:15MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving reverse layup35
26
Q2 - 11:37HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 233
26
Q2 - 11:37HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 233
25
Q2 - 11:37MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)33
24
Q2 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving)33
24
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
24
Q1 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)33
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point fadeaway jump shot33
24
Q1 - 0:16.8MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound31
24
Q1 - 0:19.9HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot31
24
Q1 - 0:36.8MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot31
24
Q1 - 0:50.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
24
Q1 - 0:59.8MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point stepback jump shot28
24
Q1 - 1:23HeatPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
24
Q1 - 1:31MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)26
21
Q1 - 1:44Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving)26
21
Q1 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)26
21
Q1 - 1:57HeatKevin Love defensive rebound26
21
Q1 - 1:59MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot26
21
Q1 - 2:20Jump ball. Kyrie Irving vs. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Tim Hardaway Jr. gains possession)26
21
Q1 - 2:20MavericksMavericks defensive rebound26
21
Q1 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot26
21
Q1 - 2:43Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Patty Mills, Haywood Highsmith)26
21
Q1 - 2:43Heat 60 second timeout26
21
Q1 - 2:44MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point running pullup jump shot (Dante Exum assists)26
21
Q1 - 2:50MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound23
21
Q1 - 2:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot23
21
Q1 - 3:04MavericksDante Exum makes three point bank jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)23
21
Q1 - 3:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)20
21
Q1 - 3:46Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith)20
18
Q1 - 3:46Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving)20
18
Q1 - 3:46MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)20
18
Q1 - 3:47HeatHeat defensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 3:47MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot20
18
Q1 - 3:48MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 3:51MavericksDante Exum misses two point pullup jump shot20
18
Q1 - 4:04HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)20
18
Q1 - 4:17MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point running pullup jump shot20
18
Q1 - 4:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 4:26MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot20
18
Q1 - 4:31MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot20
18
Q1 - 4:50MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot20
18
Q1 - 5:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 217
18
Q1 - 5:01Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)17
17
Q1 - 5:01Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Luka Doncic)17
17
Q1 - 5:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 217
17
Q1 - 5:01MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)17
16
Q1 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound17
16
Q1 - 5:26MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot17
16
Q1 - 5:33MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound17
16
Q1 - 5:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot17
16
Q1 - 5:53MavericksP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)17
16
Q1 - 6:17HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)14
16
Q1 - 6:34MavericksP.J. Washington makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)14
13
Q1 - 6:37HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)12
13
Q1 - 6:41Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)12
13
Q1 - 6:41Heat 60 second timeout12
13
Q1 - 6:41Stoppage (Out of bounds)12
13
Q1 - 6:41HeatHeat offensive rebound12
13
Q1 - 6:42HeatMaxi Kleber blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup12
13
Q1 - 6:56MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Maxi Kleber assists)12
13
Q1 - 7:09MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound10
13
Q1 - 7:12HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot10
13
Q1 - 7:17Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)10
13
Q1 - 7:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)10
13
Q1 - 7:24HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound10
13
Q1 - 7:28HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot10
13
Q1 - 7:34MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)10
13
Q1 - 7:47HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup10
13
Q1 - 7:47HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound10
11
Q1 - 7:48HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup10
11
Q1 - 8:02MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)10
11
Q1 - 8:21HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
11
Q1 - 8:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
8
Q1 - 8:38HeatHeat defensive rebound8
8
Q1 - 8:40MavericksCaleb Martin blocks Kyrie Irving's two point driving floating bank jump shot8
8
Q1 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)8
8
Q1 - 8:56MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound8
8
Q1 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot8
8
Q1 - 9:10MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point putback layup8
8
Q1 - 9:11MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound6
8
Q1 - 9:13MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot6
8
Q1 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup6
8
Q1 - 9:40MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)6
6
Q1 - 9:53HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)3
6
Q1 - 10:17MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot3
4
Q1 - 10:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)0
4
Q1 - 10:47MavericksKyrie Irving turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
2
Q1 - 10:52MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:54HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:03HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:05MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:25HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 20
2
Q1 - 11:25HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 20
1
Q1 - 11:25MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)0
0
Q1 - 11:34MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
0
Q1 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:37MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point driving floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Daniel Gafford vs. Bam Adebayo (Derrick Jones Jr. gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)0
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.18 59.0%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
17
88%
MIA
9
17
53%
Midrange
DAL
13
26
50%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
15
22.5
44
34%
51%
MIA
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
Free Throws
DAL
10
13
77%
MIA
13
13
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2954%14.5 / 27
K. Irving2583%12.5 / 15
P. Washington1255%6.0 / 11
D. Jones1246%6.0 / 13
D. Gafford12100%6.0 / 6
T. Hardaway531%2.5 / 8
M. Kleber4100%2.0 / 2
O. Prosper4100%2.0 / 2
D. Exum375%1.5 / 2
J. Green330%1.5 / 5
B. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hardy0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2158%10.5 / 18
K. Love1689%8.0 / 9
C. Martin1447%7.0 / 15
J. Butler1275%6.0 / 8
B. Adebayo829%4.0 / 14
P. Mills770%3.5 / 5
N. Jović633%3.0 / 9
J. Jaquez675%3.0 / 4
H. Highsmith233%1.0 / 3
C. Swider0-0.0 / 1
A. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
84
+10
-7
94
MIA
76
+16
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.18 59.0%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.3
113.5
DAL 122.0 +20.9
MIA 101.1
Pace
100.4
96.7
DAL 84.4
MIA 98.7 +14.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.8
DAL 17.1
MIA 14.6 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.2%
53.8%
DAL 58.0% +9.2%
MIA 48.8%
TO %
12.0%
12.2%
DAL 7.0% −10.2%
MIA 17.2%
ORB %
22.2%
21.8%
DAL 19.0%
MIA 27.9% +8.9%
FTrt
25.1
25.7
DAL 14.9
MIA 16.0 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
64.8%
DAL 62.8%
MIA 66.7% +3.9%
STL %
6.8%
7.8%
DAL 8.8% +5.5%
MIA 3.3%
BLK %
9.0%
6.9%
DAL 15.7% +13.4%
MIA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.1%
56.2%
DAL 59.0% +9.5%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
67.3%
61.2%
DAL 88.2% +35.3%
MIA 52.9%
Mid FG%
44.7%
44.2%
DAL 50.0% +17.6%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
36.9%
37.0%
DAL 34.1%
MIA 43.3% +9.2%
FT %
75.8%
81.8%
DAL 76.9%
MIA 100.0% +23.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
30.4%
DAL 19.5%
MIA 21.0% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
25.8%
30.2%
DAL 29.9% −12.1%
MIA 42.0%
3P Att. %
44.1%
39.4%
DAL 50.6% +13.5%
MIA 37.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points11192
Rebounds3946
Assists2722
Steals83
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)15 (3)
Fouls1316
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals43-8733-81
At-the-Rim FG15-179-17
Midrange FG13-2611-34
2-Point FG28-4320-51
3-Point FG15-4413-30
Free Throws10-1313-13
Fast Break Pts245
2nd Chance Pts714
Points in Paint4836
Pts off Turnovers198
Bench Points2131
Biggest Lead254

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32
37.1
25
83%
3
4
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
5-8
63%
#77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25
36.0
29
54%
9
9
0
0
3
4
1
8
7-8
88%
5-8
63%
4-15
27%
#25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26
34.7
12
55%
6
2
2
1
1
1
1
5
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
#55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27
25.8
12
46%
2
0
2
2
0
3
2
0
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
#21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26
25.7
12
100%
5
3
1
3
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-6
100%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32
20.3
4
100%
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29
18.6
3
75%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32
18.4
5
31%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
#8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23
13.8
3
30%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22
1.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24
1.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22
1.9
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24
1.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Sprain
#13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 23
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
59%
39
27
8
8
7
13
8
31
10-13
77%
28-43
65%
15-44
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.