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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks43%110111
14Heat57%11292
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 27.1
26
24
12
2
0
2
1
2
0
2
0
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
61%
1-5
20%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 25.6
35
32
12
6
2
2
1
1
1
1
5
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
2-6
33%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 25.5
26
22
12
5
3
1
1
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-6
4-6
100%
70%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 32.0
37
36
25
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
6-11
71%
55%
5-8
63%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 25.1
36
35
29
9
9
0
1
0
3
1
8
7-8
88%
5-8
6-11
63%
57%
4-15
27%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 32.2
20
19
4
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.7
19
24
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 32.1
18
22
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
14
12
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
60%
1-3
33%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 21.8
2
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.7
2
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.8
2
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.4
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
5
0
0-1
70%
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.6
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.2
Alex Fudge
F · 6'9" 200 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.6
36
34
12
4
3
2
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
5-10
60%
54%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.8
24
25
6
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
57%
0-4
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
30
35
8
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-11
7-12
27%
55%
0-2
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.5
38
26
14
4
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-10
3-5
30%
55%
2-4
50%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.2
36
31
21
7
6
0
1
0
4
1
6
7-7
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
52%
2-5
40%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
24
26
2
10
1
0
1
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
18
18
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
57%
2-2
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.6
18
10
16
11
0
0
0
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
56%
4-5
80%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.7
11
6
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-1
0%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.8
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 25.1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 32.0
11
1
1-2
51%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.7
5
0
1-1
65%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.6
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.