Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Timberwolves	44%	106	107	116.3	92	91.5
	8	Nuggets	56%	108	116	127.5	91	91.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+12

-9

DEN

+16

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.13 56.3%

DEN

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	38.8	13	81%	15	3	2	1	2	5	5	10	1-3	33%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	34.9	25	60%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-7	71%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	33.5	9	56%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	30.4	13	31%	6	2	2	1	0	4	1	5	1-5	20%	6-15	40%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.2	19	79%	4	2	1	0	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-9	56%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.2	5	63%	1	2	1	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	15.2	4	33%	1	2	0	2	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	14.8	6	75%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	10.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	2.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	2.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	2.7	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	2.7	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	2.7	5	125%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	35	23	9	5	9	21	9	26	12-21	57%	28-52	54%	13-30	43%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	38.8	13	81%	15	3	2	1	2	5	5	10	1-3	33%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	34.9	25	60%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-7	71%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	33.5	9	56%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	30.4	13	31%	6	2	2	1	0	4	1	5	1-5	20%	6-15	40%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.2	19	79%	4	2	1	0	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-9	56%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.2	5	63%	1	2	1	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	15.2	4	33%	1	2	0	2	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	14.8	6	75%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	10.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	2.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	2.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	2.7	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	2.7	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	2.7	5	125%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	35	23	9	5	9	21	9	26	12-21	57%	28-52	54%	13-30	43%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.4	41	85%	11	7	3	0	2	5	2	9	7-12	58%	14-18	78%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.4	18	60%	8	2	0	0	1	2	3	5	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	28.0	5	31%	5	9	1	0	2	0	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	27.4	20	77%	4	6	0	0	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-6	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	26.3	9	50%	3	1	0	1	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.3	8	57%	5	1	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	23.0	3	50%	4	4	0	6	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.3	9	45%	2	1	0	0	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.3	3	150%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	62%	44	31	7	8	13	21	11	33	13-23	57%	35-58	60%	11-25	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.13 56.3%

DEN

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

63%

DEN

57%

Midrange

MIN

41%

DEN

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

19.5

43%

65%

DEN

16.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

MIN

57%

DEN

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	25	60%	12.5 / 21
M. Conley	19	79%	9.5 / 12
R. Gobert	13	81%	6.5 / 8
N. Reid	13	31%	6.5 / 21
J. McDaniels	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Morris	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Minott	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Nix	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Anderson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
L. Miller	3	75%	1.5 / 2
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	41	85%	20.5 / 24
J. Murray	20	77%	10.0 / 13
M. Porter	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Jackson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
C. Braun	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Gordon	5	31%	2.5 / 8
P. Watson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Holiday	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 5 117.9	MIN 116.3 DEN 127.5 +11.2
Pace	22 97.9 26 97.4	MIN 91.5 DEN 91.5 +0.0
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 4 15.0	MIN 15.7 DEN 15.7 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 8 56.2%	MIN 57.9% DEN 62.0% +4.1%
TO %	22 13.6% 7 12.1%	MIN 9.9% −3.2% DEN 13.1%
ORB %	22 23.1% 6 25.5%	MIN 21.4% DEN 29.7% +8.3%
FTrt	5 27.0 24 22.4	MIN 25.6 DEN 27.7 +2.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 5 66.9%	MIN 56.1% DEN 67.4% +11.3%
STL %	6 8.0% 20 7.3%	MIN 9.8% +2.1% DEN 7.7%
BLK %	4 11.0% 25 8.7%	MIN 8.6% DEN 15.4% +6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 11 57.5%	MIN 56.3% DEN 61.7% +5.4%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 17 63.6%	MIN 63.3% +6.5% DEN 56.8%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 3 47.0%	MIN 40.9% DEN 66.7% +25.8%
3P %	3 38.7% 10 37.4%	MIN 43.3% DEN 44.0% +0.7%
FT %	18 77.7% 25 76.2%	MIN 57.1% +0.6% DEN 56.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 4 36.0%	MIN 36.6% DEN 44.6% +8.0%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 25 28.8%	MIN 26.8% DEN 25.3% −1.5%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 30 35.2%	MIN 36.6% +6.5% DEN 30.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	107	116
Rebounds	35	44
Assists	23	31
Steals	9	7
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	21	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	33 (2)
Field Goals	41-82	46-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-30	21-37
Midrange FG	9-22	14-21
2-Point FG	28-52	35-58
3-Point FG	13-30	11-25
Free Throws	12-21	13-23
Fast Break Pts	16	19
2nd Chance Pts	13	16
Points in Paint	48	58
Pts off Turnovers	12	14
Bench Points	28	23
Biggest Lead	7	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg