Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 11, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Warriors	80%	119	100	108.7	92	89.8
	29	Blazers	20%	106	92	101.1	91	93.3

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-16

POR

+27

-12

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.12 56.2%

POR

0.87 43.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	36.4	22	50%	7	8	1	2	2	0	0	7	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	5-16	31%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	34.1	19	73%	6	1	1	0	4	4	2	4	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Paul #3 · SG · 6'0" 175 · 39	32.0	8	44%	3	4	1	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	29.9	15	58%	5	1	1	2	3	3	0	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 24	27.1	10	83%	8	4	1	4	1	1	3	5	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	32.7	9	50%	3	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	21.4	8	67%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	20.9	9	64%	11	0	2	4	2	2	4	7	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	5.6	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	46	24	8	13	16	18	10	36	16-20	80%	24-42	57%	12-35	34%

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9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	36.4	22	50%	7	8	1	2	2	0	0	7	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	5-16	31%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	34.1	19	73%	6	1	1	0	4	4	2	4	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Paul #3 · SG · 6'0" 175 · 39	32.0	8	44%	3	4	1	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	29.9	15	58%	5	1	1	2	3	3	0	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 24	27.1	10	83%	8	4	1	4	1	1	3	5	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	32.7	9	50%	3	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	21.4	8	67%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	20.9	9	64%	11	0	2	4	2	2	4	7	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	5.6	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	46	24	8	13	16	18	10	36	16-20	80%	24-42	57%	12-35	34%

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29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	44.5	14	47%	4	2	1	1	0	5	2	2	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-7	14%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	39.7	18	43%	3	12	2	0	9	2	1	2	2-3	67%	5-12	42%	2-8	25%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	36.3	17	53%	16	1	1	0	0	3	7	9	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	33.8	25	52%	11	1	3	1	1	0	1	10	1-1	100%	12-23	52%	0-1	0%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	28.6	2	17%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	29.3	3	21%	4	2	1	0	0	4	4	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	14.2	8	36%	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	2	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	13.6	5	63%	2	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Fracture
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	43%	49	22	9	3	12	18	20	29	14-17	82%	27-63	43%	8-34	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.12 56.2%

POR

0.87 43.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

63%

POR

48%

Midrange

GSW

50%

POR

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

18.0

34%

51%

POR

12.0

24%

35%

Free Throws

GSW

80%

POR

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	22	50%	11.0 / 22
J. Kuminga	19	73%	9.5 / 13
A. Wiggins	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Jackson-Davis	10	83%	5.0 / 6
B. Podziemski	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Looney	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Paul	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Moody	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Šarić	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Ayton	25	52%	12.5 / 24
S. Henderson	18	43%	9.0 / 21
J. Walker	17	53%	8.5 / 16
K. Murray	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. Reath	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Hagans	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Minaya	3	21%	1.5 / 7
R. Rupert	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 29 107.7	GSW 108.7 +7.6 POR 101.1
Pace	11 100.0 21 97.9	GSW 89.8 POR 93.3 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 15 14.6	GSW 16.0 POR 15.4 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 30 50.3%	GSW 54.5% +14.3% POR 40.2%
TO %	23 13.6% 29 14.6%	GSW 15.7% POR 11.1% −4.6%
ORB %	4 27.5% 3 27.5%	GSW 25.6% POR 35.7% +10.1%
FTrt	29 21.9 23 22.8	GSW 26.0 +8.5 POR 17.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 30 58.7%	GSW 66.7% +3.8% POR 62.9%
STL %	24 6.9% 12 7.7%	GSW 8.7% POR 9.9% +1.2%
BLK %	23 8.8% 20 9.0%	GSW 20.6% +13.5% POR 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 30 52.6%	GSW 56.2% +12.8% POR 43.4%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 29 58.1%	GSW 62.5% +14.5% POR 48.0%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 30 38.7%	GSW 50.0% +10.5% POR 39.5%
3P %	7 38.0% 30 34.5%	GSW 34.3% +10.8% POR 23.5%
FT %	17 78.0% 9 79.1%	GSW 80.0% POR 82.4% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 11 34.7%	GSW 31.2% +5.4% POR 25.8%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 23 28.3%	GSW 23.4% −15.8% POR 39.2%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 24 37.0%	GSW 45.5% +10.4% POR 35.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	GSW	POR
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	100	92
Rebounds	46	49
Assists	24	22
Steals	8	9
Blocks	13	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	20 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	29 (1)
Field Goals	36-77	35-97
At-the-Rim FG	15-24	12-25
Midrange FG	9-18	15-38
2-Point FG	24-42	27-63
3-Point FG	12-35	8-34
Free Throws	16-20	14-17
Fast Break Pts	10	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	28
Points in Paint	40	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	26	16
Biggest Lead	10	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg