Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 11, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Pelicans	49%	112	135	133.7	101	89.0
	13	Kings	51%	113	123	123.0	100	115.7

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

-13

SAC

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.39 69.6%

SAC

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24	44.9	27	79%	5	4	0	0	1	1	0	5	7-8	88%	1-2	50%	6-12	50%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	40.0	31	86%	4	7	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	9-12	75%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	33.2	13	65%	10	3	1	0	2	4	1	9	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	30.9	31	67%	4	6	3	1	4	0	1	3	5-5	100%	13-20	65%	0-1	0%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 26	29.3	5	36%	5	6	0	0	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	25.4	10	63%	4	1	1	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	22.0	14	88%	6	6	0	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	8.7	2	100%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	3.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	INACTIVE
Malcolm Hill #33 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	INACTIVE
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	70%	40	35	7	2	13	16	5	35	15-18	83%	27-46	59%	22-40	55%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24	44.9	27	79%	5	4	0	0	1	1	0	5	7-8	88%	1-2	50%	6-12	50%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	40.0	31	86%	4	7	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	9-12	75%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	33.2	13	65%	10	3	1	0	2	4	1	9	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	30.9	31	67%	4	6	3	1	4	0	1	3	5-5	100%	13-20	65%	0-1	0%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 26	29.3	5	36%	5	6	0	0	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	25.4	10	63%	4	1	1	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	22.0	14	88%	6	6	0	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	8.7	2	100%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	3.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	INACTIVE
Malcolm Hill #33 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	INACTIVE
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	70%	40	35	7	2	13	16	5	35	15-18	83%	27-46	59%	22-40	55%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	40.8	33	75%	5	8	2	0	6	3	0	5	8-10	80%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	35.5	19	63%	5	1	2	0	0	3	2	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	5-10	50%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	34.8	18	69%	10	4	2	0	4	2	2	8	2-4	50%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	32.5	22	69%	5	4	1	0	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	23.3	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	27.1	13	72%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	14.7	6	75%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	11.4	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	10.9	5	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	4.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Irritation
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	67%	32	26	7	0	14	17	5	27	15-20	75%	30-46	65%	16-38	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.39 69.6%

SAC

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

73%

SAC

73%

Midrange

NOP

46%

SAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

33.0

55%

83%

SAC

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

NOP

83%

SAC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	31	86%	15.5 / 18
Z. Williamson	31	67%	15.5 / 23
T. Murphy	27	79%	13.5 / 17
J. Alvarado	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Daniels	10	63%	5.0 / 8
H. Jones	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Zeller	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Marshall	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	33	75%	16.5 / 22
H. Barnes	22	69%	11.0 / 16
K. Murray	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Sabonis	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Mitchell	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Lyles	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Ellis	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Vezenkov	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Len	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.6 13 116.3	NOP 133.7 +10.7 SAC 123.0
Pace	16 98.6 14 99.4	NOP 89.0 SAC 115.7 +26.7
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.4 26 14.1	NOP 16.2 SAC 12.4 −3.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.8% 14 55.6%	NOP 69.8% +5.5% SAC 64.3%
TO %	15 12.6% 12 12.5%	NOP 12.2% −0.9% SAC 13.1%
ORB %	15 24.4% 14 24.5%	NOP 15.6% +3.1% SAC 12.5%
FTrt	7 26.1 22 22.9	NOP 20.9 SAC 23.8 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.4% 7 65.4%	NOP 71.4% +14.9% SAC 56.5%
STL %	2 8.4% 14 7.6%	NOP 6.9% SAC 7.0% +0.1%
BLK %	8 9.9% 27 8.6%	NOP 4.3% +4.3% SAC 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.7% 14 57.0%	NOP 69.6% +2.8% SAC 66.8%
Rim FG%	19 63.2% 6 66.0%	NOP 72.7% SAC 73.3% +0.6%
Mid FG%	12 44.3% 9 44.9%	NOP 45.8% SAC 50.0% +4.2%
3P %	4 38.3% 16 36.6%	NOP 55.0% +12.9% SAC 42.1%
FT %	21 77.1% 30 74.5%	NOP 83.3% +8.3% SAC 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.7% 27 30.0%	NOP 25.6% SAC 35.7% +10.1%
Mid Att. %	22 28.0% 14 26.8%	NOP 27.9% SAC 19.0% −8.9%
3P Att. %	22 37.3% 3 43.2%	NOP 46.5% +1.3% SAC 45.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	SAC
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	27.3	20.8
Points	135	123
Rebounds	40	32
Assists	35	26
Steals	7	7
Blocks	2	0
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	27 (3)
Field Goals	49-86	46-84
At-the-Rim FG	16-22	22-30
Midrange FG	11-24	8-16
2-Point FG	27-46	30-46
3-Point FG	22-40	16-38
Free Throws	15-18	15-20
Fast Break Pts	28	22
2nd Chance Pts	7	11
Points in Paint	46	54
Pts off Turnovers	18	24
Bench Points	28	26
Biggest Lead	23	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg