Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Hawks	24%	107	106	105.0	101	113.1
	1	Timberwolves	76%	117	109	105.8	103	93.0

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+15

-14

102

MIN

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.04 52.0%

MIN

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 28	31.0	12	38%	5	4	0	0	3	3	1	4	2-4	50%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 32	28.7	17	71%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	27.4	19	63%	2	7	1	0	2	1	0	2	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	26.0	13	72%	11	3	1	1	1	2	2	9	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 26	25.1	15	50%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%

Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	23.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	22.0	14	64%	5	2	0	0	2	5	1	4	2-5	40%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	20.8	2	20%	5	1	1	0	0	4	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	18.3	3	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	9.7	6	60%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	7.8	5	42%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Medial Ankle; Impingement
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	40	23	4	1	14	25	9	31	17-25	68%	31-60	52%	9-30	30%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 28	31.0	12	38%	5	4	0	0	3	3	1	4	2-4	50%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 32	28.7	17	71%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	27.4	19	63%	2	7	1	0	2	1	0	2	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	26.0	13	72%	11	3	1	1	1	2	2	9	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 26	25.1	15	50%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%

Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	23.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	22.0	14	64%	5	2	0	0	2	5	1	4	2-5	40%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	20.8	2	20%	5	1	1	0	0	4	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	18.3	3	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	9.7	6	60%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	7.8	5	42%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Medial Ankle; Impingement
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	40	23	4	1	14	25	9	31	17-25	68%	31-60	52%	9-30	30%

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1 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	36.7	25	89%	19	0	1	5	1	2	4	15	5-8	63%	10-10	100%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	30.7	13	59%	6	10	2	0	2	3	1	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	29.7	11	79%	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	27.5	11	46%	5	8	0	1	3	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	27.3	14	47%	4	4	2	0	3	4	0	4	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	0-5	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	27.9	19	68%	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	3	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	23.8	12	50%	1	1	1	1	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	15.6	0	0%	0	1	1	2	2	3	0	0	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	14.8	4	50%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	5.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	44	29	8	11	14	22	7	37	23-29	79%	28-42	67%	10-37	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.04 52.0%

MIN

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

54%

MIN

79%

Midrange

ATL

50%

MIN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

30%

45%

MIN

15.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

ATL

68%

MIN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Bogdanović	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. Hunter	15	50%	7.5 / 15
B. Fernando	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Capela	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Murray	12	38%	6.0 / 16
K. Bufkin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
V. Krejčí	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Griffin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Gueye	2	20%	1.0 / 5
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gobert	25	89%	12.5 / 14
N. Reid	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Edwards	14	47%	7.0 / 15
M. Conley	13	59%	6.5 / 11
N. Alexander-Walker	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. McDaniels	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Towns	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. McLaughlin	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 17 114.7	ATL 105.0 MIN 105.8 +0.9
Pace	6 100.9 22 97.9	ATL 113.1 +20.1 MIN 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 3 15.0	ATL 12.7 −2.8 MIN 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 10 55.9%	ATL 49.4% MIN 54.4% +5.0%
TO %	13 12.5% 22 13.6%	ATL 12.9% −0.3% MIN 13.2%
ORB %	5 27.1% 22 23.1%	ATL 19.6% +1.2% MIN 18.4%
FTrt	12 25.1 5 27.0	ATL 27.8 MIN 36.7 +8.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 12 64.6%	ATL 57.5% MIN 76.3% +18.8%
STL %	18 7.4% 6 8.0%	ATL 4.0% MIN 7.8% +3.8%
BLK %	21 9.0% 4 11.0%	ATL 2.4% MIN 18.3% +15.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 10 57.7%	ATL 52.0% MIN 56.2% +4.2%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 15 64.3%	ATL 53.8% MIN 79.2% +25.4%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 16 42.6%	ATL 50.0% MIN 50.0%
3P %	17 36.4% 3 38.7%	ATL 30.0% +3.0% MIN 27.0%
FT %	8 79.7% 18 77.7%	ATL 68.0% MIN 79.3% +11.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 14 34.1%	ATL 28.9% MIN 30.4% +1.5%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 16 27.5%	ATL 37.8% MIN 22.8% −15.0%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 17 38.4%	ATL 33.3% MIN 46.8% +13.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIN
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.6
Points	106	109
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	23	29
Steals	4	8
Blocks	1	11
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (6)	37 (2)
Field Goals	40-90	38-79
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	19-24
Midrange FG	17-34	9-18
2-Point FG	31-60	28-42
3-Point FG	9-30	10-37
Free Throws	17-25	23-29
Fast Break Pts	7	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	6
Points in Paint	46	52
Pts off Turnovers	18	19
Bench Points	30	35
Biggest Lead	5	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg