Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Wizards	14%	106	122	116.2	105	120.7
	9	Celtics	86%	122	132	124.5	106	93.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 21	33.4	17	77%	7	0	2	1	1	3	0	7	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Corey Kispert #24 · PG · 6'6" 224 · 25	32.9	8	40%	3	8	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 23	30.7	9	38%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Johnny Davis #1 · SF · 6'5" 195 · 22	26.6	6	60%	1	2	2	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · C · 6'7" 230 · 31	17.4	12	50%	5	3	0	0	0	2	3	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%

Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	30.9	22	55%	2	7	1	1	4	4	1	1	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	2-4	50%
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	24.3	13	65%	6	3	1	0	2	0	2	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	23.0	26	76%	2	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	7-11	64%	4-6	67%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	20.8	9	50%	7	3	2	1	0	1	1	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Contusion
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid illness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbosacral sprain
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	36	33	9	4	11	16	8	28	10-10	100%	35-65	54%	14-38	37%

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24 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 21	33.4	17	77%	7	0	2	1	1	3	0	7	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Corey Kispert #24 · PG · 6'6" 224 · 25	32.9	8	40%	3	8	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 23	30.7	9	38%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Johnny Davis #1 · SF · 6'5" 195 · 22	26.6	6	60%	1	2	2	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · C · 6'7" 230 · 31	17.4	12	50%	5	3	0	0	0	2	3	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%

Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	30.9	22	55%	2	7	1	1	4	4	1	1	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	2-4	50%
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	24.3	13	65%	6	3	1	0	2	0	2	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	23.0	26	76%	2	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	7-11	64%	4-6	67%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	20.8	9	50%	7	3	2	1	0	1	1	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Contusion
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid illness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbosacral sprain
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	36	33	9	4	11	16	8	28	10-10	100%	35-65	54%	14-38	37%

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9 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	43.7	38	83%	9	12	0	0	2	3	1	8	4-4	100%	11-15	73%	4-6	67%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	37.3	26	100%	5	5	0	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	6-8	75%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	35.3	16	40%	5	2	2	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-9	22%	4-11	36%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	27.1	11	92%	8	5	0	3	0	0	3	5	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	17.1	1	17%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	20.0	7	70%	2	0	3	1	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	19.5	19	73%	9	1	0	6	3	2	3	6	3-4	75%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	15.6	4	29%	2	1	1	3	3	0	0	2	0-3	0%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	10.4	1	17%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	8.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	5.8	9	113%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patella; Tendinopathy
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	Inactive – Rest
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	Inactive – Rest
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	Inactive – Rest
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	48	29	10	15	14	13	10	38	14-21	67%	35-57	61%	16-32	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.5%

BOS

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

29

46

63%

BOS

27

41

66%

Midrange

WAS

6

19

32%

BOS

8

16

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

14

21.0

38

37%

55%

BOS

16

24.0

32

50%

75%

Free Throws

WAS

10

100%

BOS

14

21

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Omoruyi	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Butler	22	55%	11.0 / 20
P. Baldwin	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Bernard	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Gill	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Avdija	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Champagnie	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Kispert	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Davis	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	38	83%	19.0 / 23
S. Mykhailiuk	26	100%	13.0 / 13
N. Queta	19	73%	9.5 / 13
S. Hauser	16	40%	8.0 / 20
L. Kornet	11	92%	5.5 / 6
X. Tillman	9	113%	4.5 / 4
J. Springer	7	70%	3.5 / 5
O. Brissett	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Walsh	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Davison	1	17%	0.5 / 3
D. Peterson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 1 122.2	WAS 116.2 BOS 124.5 +8.3
Pace	1 103.0 19 98.0	WAS 120.7 +26.8 BOS 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 5 15.0	WAS 11.9 −3.4 BOS 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 2 57.8%	WAS 54.4% BOS 66.3% +11.9%
TO %	19 13.1% 1 11.4%	WAS 10.1% −4.7% BOS 14.8%
ORB %	29 20.0% 12 24.9%	WAS 17.4% BOS 26.3% +8.9%
FTrt	27 22.1 25 22.4	WAS 9.7 BOS 23.6 +13.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 21 61.3%	WAS 67.3% +10.4% BOS 56.9%
STL %	19 7.3% 26 6.9%	WAS 8.6% BOS 9.4% +0.8%
BLK %	16 9.4% 7 10.7%	WAS 7.0% BOS 23.1% +16.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 1 59.5%	WAS 56.5% BOS 63.5% +7.0%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 2 68.1%	WAS 63.0% BOS 65.9% +2.9%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 15 43.5%	WAS 31.6% BOS 50.0% +18.4%
3P %	25 34.8% 2 38.8%	WAS 36.8% BOS 50.0% +13.2%
FT %	24 76.4% 7 80.7%	WAS 100.0% +33.3% BOS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 26 30.1%	WAS 44.7% BOS 46.1% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 1 22.8%	WAS 18.4% BOS 18.0% −0.5%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 1 47.1%	WAS 36.9% +0.9% BOS 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	WAS	BOS
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	20.9	27.1
Points	122	132
Rebounds	36	48
Assists	33	29
Steals	9	10
Blocks	4	15
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	14 (3)
Fouls	16	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	38 (2)
Field Goals	49-103	51-89
At-the-Rim FG	29-46	27-41
Midrange FG	6-19	8-16
2-Point FG	35-65	35-57
3-Point FG	14-38	16-32
Free Throws	10-10	14-21
Fast Break Pts	27	24
2nd Chance Pts	14	14
Points in Paint	68	60
Pts off Turnovers	24	22
Bench Points	70	40
Biggest Lead	4	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg