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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2024
1:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Raptors16%102103
8Heat84%116118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gradey Dick
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 20.4
29.0
25.7
14
47%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
32.8
26.9
10
41%
6
2
2
1
1
4
4
2
2-3
67%
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
22.3
27.1
11
61%
8
2
1
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
60%
1-3
33%
Gary Trent Jr.
G · 6'5" 204 · 25.2
23.3
24.4
18
59%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Javon Freeman-Liberty
G · 6'4" 180 · 24.5
32.8
19.6
8
58%
1
7
0
1
2
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Garrett Temple
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 37.9
24.8
14.5
9
42%
3
7
0
1
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 26.2
23.2
10.1
7
44%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
52%
1-2
50%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
20.5
12.5
14
70%
11
1
0
0
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Bruce Brown
G-F · 6'4" 202 · 27.7
20.4
18.2
6
55%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Malik Williams
C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
11.1
16.8
6
43%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'6" 214 · 23.8
29.9
1
6-11
51%
Mouhamadou Gueye
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
17.3
0
2-5
49%
D.J. Carton
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
Scottie Barnes
F-G · 6'7" 237 · 22.7
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 31.3
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 34.6
24.4
31.5
15
70%
5
4
0
1
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
6-9
5-9
67%
56%
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.8
15.9
24.9
3
38%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
59%
1-4
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 26.7
19.5
29.6
17
81%
6
2
3
1
1
4
3
3
1-1
100%
8-9
6-10
89%
57%
0-1
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
23.7
29.1
12
50%
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
56%
2-6
33%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
29.4
30.3
17
64%
6
8
1
1
0
6
0
6
5-5
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
32.3
22.6
18
60%
4
5
1
1
2
1
0
4
6-7
86%
6-8
3-5
75%
59%
0-4
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 32.0
28.3
13.0
11
79%
3
4
4
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
24.3
24.9
5
50%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
1-4
25%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.7
23.4
4.7
18
83%
10
1
0
0
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
8-9
1-1
89%
66%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.7
8.0
7.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 35.6
3.2
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-1
0%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
1.9
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
59%
0-1
0%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 25.1
1.9
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.8
1.9
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
1.9
2.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.6
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.