Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 14, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Raptors	16%	102	103	105.1	98	105.0
	8	Heat	84%	116	118	116.8	101	95.9

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+19

-19

MIA

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.03 51.5%

MIA

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	32.8	10	42%	6	2	2	1	4	3	4	2	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	32.8	8	57%	1	7	0	2	3	1	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	29.0	14	50%	2	1	2	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	23.3	18	60%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	22.3	11	61%	8	2	1	0	4	4	1	7	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	24.8	9	41%	3	7	0	0	1	3	2	1	6-6	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	23.2	7	44%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	20.5	14	70%	11	1	0	0	2	1	2	9	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	20.4	6	60%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Malik Williams #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	11.1	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial MCL Tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	41	23	6	3	19	21	13	28	18-21	86%	29-56	52%	9-34	26%

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29 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	32.8	10	42%	6	2	2	1	4	3	4	2	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	32.8	8	57%	1	7	0	2	3	1	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	29.0	14	50%	2	1	2	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	23.3	18	60%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	22.3	11	61%	8	2	1	0	4	4	1	7	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	24.8	9	41%	3	7	0	0	1	3	2	1	6-6	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	23.2	7	44%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	20.5	14	70%	11	1	0	0	2	1	2	9	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	20.4	6	60%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Malik Williams #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	11.1	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial MCL Tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	41	23	6	3	19	21	13	28	18-21	86%	29-56	52%	9-34	26%

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8 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	29.4	17	61%	6	8	1	0	6	1	0	6	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	24.4	15	75%	5	4	0	0	1	1	3	2	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 29	23.7	12	50%	5	2	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	19.5	17	85%	6	2	3	1	4	1	3	3	1-1	100%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	15.9	3	38%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	32.3	18	60%	4	5	1	2	1	1	0	4	6-7	86%	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	28.3	11	79%	3	4	4	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	24.3	5	50%	3	1	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	23.4	18	90%	10	1	0	1	2	1	3	7	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	8.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	1.9	2	50%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Facet; Syndrome
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Spasm
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	62%	46	29	13	7	19	16	13	33	17-19	89%	37-51	73%	9-36	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.03 51.5%

MIA

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

61%

MIA

73%

Midrange

TOR

39%

MIA

71%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

13.5

26%

40%

MIA

13.5

25%

38%

Free Throws

TOR

86%

MIA

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Trent	18	60%	9.0 / 15
G. Dick	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Nwora	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Olynyk	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Agbaji	10	42%	5.0 / 12
G. Temple	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Freeman-Liberty	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. McDaniels	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Brown	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Williams	6	43%	3.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jaquez	18	60%	9.0 / 15
T. Bryant	18	90%	9.0 / 10
T. Herro	17	61%	8.5 / 14
B. Adebayo	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Butler	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Martin	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Wright	11	79%	5.5 / 7
H. Highsmith	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Jović	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Mills	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Love	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Swider	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 111.9 21 113.3	TOR 105.1 MIA 116.8 +11.7
Pace	12 99.9 29 97.0	TOR 105.0 +9.1 MIA 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 10 14.8	TOR 13.7 −1.3 MIA 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 20 53.8%	TOR 47.2% MIA 58.0% +10.8%
TO %	21 13.4% 9 12.2%	TOR 16.1% −0.5% MIA 16.6%
ORB %	17 24.2% 26 21.8%	TOR 28.3% MIA 31.7% +3.4%
FTrt	16 24.1 8 25.7	TOR 23.3 +1.5 MIA 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.4% 11 64.8%	TOR 60.5% MIA 63.0% +2.5%
STL %	13 7.7% 11 7.7%	TOR 6.1% MIA 12.9% +6.8%
BLK %	15 9.5% 30 7.7%	TOR 5.9% MIA 12.5% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.5% 17 56.2%	TOR 51.5% MIA 61.5% +10.0%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 23 61.6%	TOR 60.6% MIA 73.0% +12.4%
Mid FG%	22 40.8% 13 44.3%	TOR 39.1% MIA 71.4% +32.3%
3P %	27 34.7% 12 37.0%	TOR 26.5% +1.5% MIA 25.0%
FT %	29 75.6% 5 81.8%	TOR 85.7% MIA 89.5% +3.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 29 29.5%	TOR 36.7% MIA 42.5% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	17 27.5% 28 31.1%	TOR 25.6% MIA 16.1% −9.5%
3P Att. %	26 36.9% 14 39.4%	TOR 37.8% MIA 41.4% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	MIA
Possessions	98	101
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.3
Points	103	118
Rebounds	41	46
Assists	23	29
Steals	6	13
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	33 (2)
Field Goals	38-90	46-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-33	27-37
Midrange FG	9-23	10-14
2-Point FG	29-56	37-51
3-Point FG	9-34	9-36
Free Throws	18-21	17-19
Fast Break Pts	8	16
2nd Chance Pts	24	20
Points in Paint	54	68
Pts off Turnovers	22	29
Bench Points	42	54
Biggest Lead	4	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg