Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 14, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	80%	114	126	122.3	103	107.0
	25	Grizzlies	20%	101	111	107.8	103	99.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-17

104

MEM

+19

-13

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.6%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	30.8	15	63%	15	5	4	0	4	1	4	11	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	26.1	15	75%	5	5	0	1	1	2	3	2	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	24.8	11	92%	4	3	0	1	2	1	0	4	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	24.3	21	66%	6	4	0	1	2	1	2	4	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.3	12	50%	5	4	0	2	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-8	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	24.9	19	56%	10	5	2	0	1	2	5	5	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	23.7	11	55%	0	2	0	0	2	3	0	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	20.5	11	79%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	19.2	3	30%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	17.2	6	60%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	1.4	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	INACTIVE
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	61%	54	32	9	2	17	17	16	38	22-26	85%	34-53	64%	12-36	33%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	30.8	15	63%	15	5	4	0	4	1	4	11	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	26.1	15	75%	5	5	0	1	1	2	3	2	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	24.8	11	92%	4	3	0	1	2	1	0	4	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	24.3	21	66%	6	4	0	1	2	1	2	4	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.3	12	50%	5	4	0	2	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-8	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	24.9	19	56%	10	5	2	0	1	2	5	5	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	23.7	11	55%	0	2	0	0	2	3	0	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	20.5	11	79%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	19.2	3	30%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	17.2	6	60%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	1.4	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	INACTIVE
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	61%	54	32	9	2	17	17	16	38	22-26	85%	34-53	64%	12-36	33%

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25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 19	44.1	44	56%	12	1	2	1	3	1	6	6	6-7	86%	13-23	57%	4-13	31%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	39.7	29	66%	5	4	0	0	4	3	2	3	3-4	75%	7-9	78%	4-11	36%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	38.2	6	50%	11	3	2	1	2	4	3	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #4 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 25	36.5	8	27%	8	3	3	0	1	1	2	6	2-4	50%	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	25.1	15	68%	3	7	0	0	3	5	2	1	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-3	0%

Timmy Allen #0 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	24.4	1	17%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Zavier Simpson #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	22.6	8	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Jack White #14 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	9.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Hip Flexor Strain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Contusion
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Low Back Injury Recovery
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendonitis
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Tendonitis
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar; Fasciitis
Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Disc Bulge
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	43	22	9	5	13	18	16	27	13-18	72%	37-67	55%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.6%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

71%

MEM

72%

Midrange

DEN

55%

MEM

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

33%

50%

MEM

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

DEN

85%

MEM

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	21	66%	10.5 / 16
C. Braun	19	56%	9.5 / 17
N. Jokić	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Gordon	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Porter	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. Jackson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Watson	11	79%	5.5 / 7
Z. Nnaji	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Holiday	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Key	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Jackson	44	56%	22.0 / 39
J. LaRavia	29	66%	14.5 / 22
S. Pippen	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Goodwin	8	27%	4.0 / 15
Z. Simpson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Jemison	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Allen	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. White	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 30 106.8	DEN 122.3 +14.6 MEM 107.8
Pace	26 97.4 17 98.6	DEN 107.0 +7.6 MEM 99.3
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 11 14.8	DEN 13.5 −1.0 MEM 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 29 50.9%	DEN 58.4% +9.4% MEM 49.0%
TO %	7 12.1% 27 14.3%	DEN 15.2% MEM 10.8% −4.4%
ORB %	6 25.5% 19 23.8%	DEN 37.2% +7.6% MEM 29.6%
FTrt	24 22.4 18 23.8	DEN 29.2 +11.2 MEM 18.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 13 64.4%	DEN 69.6% +20.7% MEM 48.9%
STL %	20 7.3% 5 8.3%	DEN 8.7% MEM 8.7%
BLK %	25 8.7% 1 11.9%	DEN 3.0% MEM 9.4% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 29 52.9%	DEN 60.6% +10.1% MEM 50.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 30 57.8%	DEN 71.0% MEM 72.2% +1.2%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 26 40.3%	DEN 54.5% +19.0% MEM 35.5%
3P %	10 37.4% 29 34.6%	DEN 33.3% +9.1% MEM 24.2%
FT %	25 76.2% 23 76.4%	DEN 84.6% +12.4% MEM 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 21 32.3%	DEN 34.8% MEM 36.0% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 4 24.9%	DEN 24.7% −6.3% MEM 31.0%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 5 42.8%	DEN 40.4% +7.4% MEM 33.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	126	111
Rebounds	54	43
Assists	32	22
Steals	9	9
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	17	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (0)	27 (1)
Field Goals	46-89	45-100
At-the-Rim FG	22-31	26-36
Midrange FG	12-22	11-31
2-Point FG	34-53	37-67
3-Point FG	12-36	8-33
Free Throws	22-26	13-18
Fast Break Pts	18	7
2nd Chance Pts	19	16
Points in Paint	60	66
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	52	9
Biggest Lead	26	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg