Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Grizzlies	61%	112	116	113.7	102	96.9
	30	Pistons	39%	108	102	100.0	102	107.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+11

-14

DET

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.17 58.6%

DET

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 25	35.7	49	72%	6	8	1	2	3	2	1	5	7-7	100%	15-23	65%	4-8	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	35.0	24	57%	4	0	0	3	0	3	0	4	2-3	67%	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	25.7	2	33%	11	4	0	1	2	2	2	9	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
David Roddy #21 · SF · 6'5" 255 · 23	22.0	4	50%	6	1	2	0	3	1	1	5	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Derrick Rose #23 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 35	15.5	4	29%	1	2	2	0	5	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	26.1	7	39%	3	3	1	1	1	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Nowell #24 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	26.0	12	75%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-2	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	24.8	3	75%	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	21.8	9	90%	7	2	2	1	0	0	1	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	6.5	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	0.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Procedure
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	46	26	10	8	14	9	9	37	11-14	79%	36-65	55%	11-26	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 25	35.7	49	72%	6	8	1	2	3	2	1	5	7-7	100%	15-23	65%	4-8	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	35.0	24	57%	4	0	0	3	0	3	0	4	2-3	67%	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	25.7	2	33%	11	4	0	1	2	2	2	9	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
David Roddy #21 · SF · 6'5" 255 · 23	22.0	4	50%	6	1	2	0	3	1	1	5	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Derrick Rose #23 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 35	15.5	4	29%	1	2	2	0	5	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	26.1	7	39%	3	3	1	1	1	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Nowell #24 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	26.0	12	75%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-2	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	24.8	3	75%	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	21.8	9	90%	7	2	2	1	0	0	1	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	6.5	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	0.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Procedure
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	46	26	10	8	14	9	9	37	11-14	79%	36-65	55%	11-26	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	34.0	16	53%	4	10	2	1	5	2	0	4	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	32.1	22	69%	4	7	3	0	2	0	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	4-8	50%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	30.1	17	71%	11	0	0	1	2	1	1	10	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Isaiah Stewart #28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 23	27.9	9	56%	7	1	0	0	1	5	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Killian Hayes #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	27.1	12	46%	4	4	1	0	3	3	2	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%

Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.8	9	56%	3	2	3	2	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	18.7	5	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	17.1	3	25%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	16.1	5	42%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	7.9	4	67%	1	1	0	2	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	5.2	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	42	30	9	6	16	17	8	34	9-9	100%	30-56	54%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DET
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.17 58.6%

DET

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

42%

DET

63%

Midrange

MEM

68%

DET

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

16.5

42%

63%

DET

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

MEM

79%

DET

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	49	72%	24.5 / 34
J. Jackson	24	57%	12.0 / 21
J. Nowell	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Konchar	9	90%	4.5 / 5
S. Aldama	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Roddy	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Rose	4	29%	2.0 / 7
V. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Biyombo	2	33%	1.0 / 3
X. Tillman	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Duren	17	71%	8.5 / 12
C. Cunningham	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Hayes	12	46%	6.0 / 13
I. Stewart	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Ivey	9	56%	4.5 / 8
I. Livers	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Thompson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Wiseman	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Burks	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Sasser	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 27 109.1	MEM 113.7 +13.7 DET 100.0
Pace	17 98.6 10 100.4	MEM 96.9 DET 107.7 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 24 14.1	MEM 14.9 DET 13.4 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 28 52.6%	MEM 57.7% +6.6% DET 51.1%
TO %	27 14.3% 28 14.5%	MEM 12.6% −2.6% DET 15.2%
ORB %	19 23.8% 18 23.9%	MEM 20.9% +3.1% DET 17.8%
FTrt	18 23.8 15 24.6	MEM 15.4 +5.5 DET 9.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 17 62.3%	MEM 55.3% DET 73.2% +17.9%
STL %	5 8.3% 30 6.4%	MEM 9.8% +1.0% DET 8.8%
BLK %	1 11.9% 17 9.3%	MEM 14.3% +5.1% DET 9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 26 54.9%	MEM 58.6% +6.0% DET 52.6%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 21 62.2%	MEM 41.9% DET 63.2% +21.3%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 18 41.7%	MEM 67.6% +34.3% DET 33.3%
3P %	29 34.6% 26 34.8%	MEM 42.3% +10.9% DET 31.4%
FT %	23 76.4% 12 78.5%	MEM 78.6% DET 100.0% +21.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 12 34.6%	MEM 34.1% DET 41.8% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 26 29.5%	MEM 37.4% DET 19.8% −17.6%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 27 36.0%	MEM 28.6% DET 38.5% +9.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	DET
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	116	102
Rebounds	46	42
Assists	26	30
Steals	10	9
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	9	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	34 (1)
Field Goals	47-91	41-91
At-the-Rim FG	13-31	24-38
Midrange FG	23-34	6-18
2-Point FG	36-65	30-56
3-Point FG	11-26	11-35
Free Throws	11-14	9-9
Fast Break Pts	10	15
2nd Chance Pts	6	9
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	21	14
Bench Points	33	26
Biggest Lead	14	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg