Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Spurs	21%	106	94	94.0	100	97.0
	7	Timberwolves	79%	117	102	102.0	100	103.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	32.4	12	38%	10	1	1	1	2	1	3	7	4-6	67%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	32.1	6	33%	8	6	2	0	1	2	2	6	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.9	21	62%	10	3	2	1	4	4	1	9	4-5	80%	7-13	54%	1-2	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.3	22	69%	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	28.0	12	30%	8	4	0	0	3	3	4	4	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-6	0%

Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	26.2	4	25%	2	5	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.0	11	61%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	21.9	6	30%	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	10.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	43%	49	23	7	10	11	17	13	36	10-15	67%	30-65	46%	8-36	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	32.4	12	38%	10	1	1	1	2	1	3	7	4-6	67%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	32.1	6	33%	8	6	2	0	1	2	2	6	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.9	21	62%	10	3	2	1	4	4	1	9	4-5	80%	7-13	54%	1-2	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.3	22	69%	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	28.0	12	30%	8	4	0	0	3	3	4	4	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-6	0%

Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	26.2	4	25%	2	5	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.0	11	61%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	21.9	6	30%	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	10.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	43%	49	23	7	10	11	17	13	36	10-15	67%	30-65	46%	8-36	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	36.9	17	40%	7	6	1	1	3	2	1	6	7-8	88%	2-12	17%	2-5	40%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	32.9	18	60%	4	4	3	0	1	3	0	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	4-10	40%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	32.1	14	100%	10	2	0	1	6	2	1	9	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	30.2	16	89%	20	2	0	2	1	3	5	15	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	19.6	7	44%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	29.0	15	42%	9	2	0	1	1	2	4	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-7	14%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	25.3	8	44%	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	22.0	7	44%	1	2	0	4	0	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	12.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee Mcl; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	55	20	4	4	14	16	11	44	18-21	86%	24-47	51%	12-40	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.85 42.7%

MIN

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

20

34

59%

MIN

22

31

71%

Midrange

SAS

10

31

32%

MIN

2

16

13%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

36

22%

33%

MIN

12

18.0

40

30%

45%

Free Throws

SAS

10

15

67%

MIN

18

21

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	22	69%	11.0 / 16
K. Johnson	21	62%	10.5 / 17
V. Wembanyama	12	38%	6.0 / 16
Z. Collins	12	30%	6.0 / 20
D. McDermott	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Osman	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Sochan	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Jones	4	25%	2.0 / 8
M. Branham	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Conley	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Edwards	17	40%	8.5 / 21
R. Gobert	16	89%	8.0 / 9
N. Reid	15	42%	7.5 / 18
K. Towns	14	100%	7.0 / 7
T. Brown Jr.	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Alexander-Walker	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Anderson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Milton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 17 114.7	SAS 94.0 MIN 102.0 +8.0
Pace	3 101.7 22 97.9	SAS 97.0 MIN 103.2 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 3 15.0	SAS 14.8 MIN 14.0 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 10 55.9%	SAS 41.6% MIN 48.3% +6.7%
TO %	26 14.3% 22 13.6%	SAS 10.0% −2.7% MIN 12.7%
ORB %	23 22.9% 22 23.1%	SAS 22.8% MIN 23.4% +0.6%
FTrt	28 22.0 5 27.0	SAS 14.9 MIN 24.1 +9.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 12 64.6%	SAS 60.5% +4.9% MIN 55.6%
STL %	23 6.9% 6 8.0%	SAS 7.0% +3.0% MIN 4.0%
BLK %	10 9.7% 4 11.0%	SAS 21.3% +15.1% MIN 6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 10 57.7%	SAS 42.7% MIN 51.0% +8.3%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 15 64.3%	SAS 58.8% MIN 71.0% +12.2%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 16 42.6%	SAS 32.3% +19.8% MIN 12.5%
3P %	28 34.7% 3 38.7%	SAS 22.2% MIN 30.0% +7.8%
FT %	14 78.2% 18 77.7%	SAS 66.7% MIN 85.7% +19.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 14 34.1%	SAS 33.7% MIN 35.6% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 16 27.5%	SAS 30.7% MIN 18.4% −12.3%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 17 38.4%	SAS 35.6% MIN 46.0% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIN
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	94	102
Rebounds	49	55
Assists	23	20
Steals	7	4
Blocks	10	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (8)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	44 (0)
Field Goals	38-101	36-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-34	22-31
Midrange FG	10-31	2-16
2-Point FG	30-65	24-47
3-Point FG	8-36	12-40
Free Throws	10-15	18-21
Fast Break Pts	17	9
2nd Chance Pts	10	12
Points in Paint	56	48
Pts off Turnovers	18	14
Bench Points	21	30
Biggest Lead	8	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg