Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Cavaliers	48%	111	111	111.0	100	99.3
	18	Heat	52%	112	99	99.0	100	100.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 27	36.1	27	64%	13	6	1	0	5	1	1	12	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	3-8	38%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	33.9	11	32%	7	1	1	0	0	3	2	5	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	2-11	18%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 24	26.0	18	69%	2	6	4	0	2	4	0	2	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 26	25.4	6	30%	9	1	1	0	0	2	2	7	0-2	0%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	24.9	5	50%	6	0	3	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	22.6	8	44%	3	4	2	1	0	0	0	3	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	21.6	9	90%	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 30	20.2	13	72%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Tristan Thompson #12 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 33	16.4	5	63%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	10.0	9	90%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Mobley #15 · PF · 6'8" 238 · 24
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ricky Rubio #13 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 33	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	51	21	13	2	13	17	12	39	17-26	65%	26-49	53%	14-38	37%

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12 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 27	36.1	27	64%	13	6	1	0	5	1	1	12	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	3-8	38%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	33.9	11	32%	7	1	1	0	0	3	2	5	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	2-11	18%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 24	26.0	18	69%	2	6	4	0	2	4	0	2	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 26	25.4	6	30%	9	1	1	0	0	2	2	7	0-2	0%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	24.9	5	50%	6	0	3	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	22.6	8	44%	3	4	2	1	0	0	0	3	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	21.6	9	90%	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 30	20.2	13	72%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Tristan Thompson #12 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 33	16.4	5	63%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	10.0	9	90%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Mobley #15 · PF · 6'8" 238 · 24
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ricky Rubio #13 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 33	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	51	21	13	2	13	17	12	39	17-26	65%	26-49	53%	14-38	37%

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18 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	36.4	16	44%	5	2	1	0	2	1	3	2	6-7	86%	5-13	38%	0-2	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 28	34.3	15	47%	6	4	0	2	1	5	1	5	0-2	0%	3-7	43%	3-8	38%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	32.5	17	61%	2	5	2	0	3	1	0	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	23.2	1	6%	0	1	0	0	6	4	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	19.9	5	83%	8	3	0	1	1	3	2	6	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	34.9	14	54%	3	3	0	1	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-2	0%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	30.7	17	77%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	5-7	71%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	28.1	14	78%	12	3	1	1	1	3	0	12	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	INACTIVE
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Contusion
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; 3rd Degree Sprain
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	53%	37	23	5	5	18	23	7	30	10-15	67%	22-44	50%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.10 55.0%

MIA

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

15

28

54%

MIA

14

23

61%

Midrange

CLE

11

21

52%

MIA

8

21

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

14

21.0

38

37%

55%

MIA

15

22.5

42

36%

54%

Free Throws

CLE

17

26

65%

MIA

10

15

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	27	64%	13.5 / 21
D. Garland	18	69%	9.0 / 13
G. Niang	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Strus	11	32%	5.5 / 17
I. Okoro	9	90%	4.5 / 5
S. Merrill	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Porter	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Allen	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Wade	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Thompson	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Richardson	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Butler	16	44%	8.0 / 18
C. Martin	15	47%	7.5 / 16
J. Jaquez	14	54%	7.0 / 13
K. Love	14	78%	7.0 / 9
O. Robinson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Robinson	1	6%	0.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.8 21 113.3	CLE 111.0 +12.0 MIA 99.0
Pace	24 97.6 29 97.0	CLE 99.3 MIA 100.8 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 10 14.8	CLE 14.5 MIA 14.3 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.7% 20 53.8%	CLE 54.0% +2.3% MIA 51.7%
TO %	17 13.0% 9 12.2%	CLE 11.7% −4.6% MIA 16.3%
ORB %	21 23.2% 26 21.8%	CLE 28.6% +13.4% MIA 15.2%
FTrt	21 23.4 8 25.7	CLE 29.9 +12.5 MIA 17.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 67.1% 11 64.8%	CLE 52.5% MIA 62.2% +9.7%
STL %	16 7.5% 11 7.7%	CLE 13.0% +8.0% MIA 5.0%
BLK %	22 9.0% 30 7.7%	CLE 4.5% MIA 10.2% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.1% 17 56.2%	CLE 55.0% +1.8% MIA 53.2%
Rim FG%	18 63.5% 23 61.6%	CLE 53.6% MIA 60.9% +7.3%
Mid FG%	8 44.9% 13 44.3%	CLE 52.4% +14.3% MIA 38.1%
3P %	15 36.7% 12 37.0%	CLE 36.8% +1.1% MIA 35.7%
FT %	22 76.5% 5 81.8%	CLE 65.4% MIA 66.7% +1.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 34.8% 29 29.5%	CLE 32.2% +5.4% MIA 26.7%
Mid Att. %	2 23.0% 28 31.1%	CLE 24.1% −0.3% MIA 24.4%
3P Att. %	7 42.2% 14 39.4%	CLE 43.7% MIA 48.8% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	MIA
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	111	99
Rebounds	51	37
Assists	21	23
Steals	13	5
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	17	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	30 (7)
Field Goals	40-87	37-86
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	14-23
Midrange FG	11-21	8-21
2-Point FG	26-49	22-44
3-Point FG	14-38	15-42
Free Throws	17-26	10-15
Fast Break Pts	23	11
2nd Chance Pts	14	10
Points in Paint	42	42
Pts off Turnovers	22	12
Bench Points	44	45
Biggest Lead	18	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg