Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 8, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Rockets	31%	106	114	117.5	97	97.1
	3	Nuggets	69%	113	106	111.6	95	96.2

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+15

-9

103

DEN

+16

-10

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.3%

DEN

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.9	26	59%	4	3	0	1	1	3	1	3	10-13	77%	2-7	29%	4-10	40%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	35.2	25	60%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	7-9	78%	6-8	75%	2-9	22%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	33.7	17	57%	10	7	0	1	1	3	2	8	3-5	60%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	33.0	16	67%	5	1	2	0	3	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-10	40%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	25.4	9	41%	10	5	0	0	1	1	4	6	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	26.6	5	63%	4	1	1	1	0	4	2	2	5-6	83%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	17.2	3	25%	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	7	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	16.3	8	80%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	12.7	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	47	21	3	5	9	20	11	36	31-42	74%	22-43	51%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.9	26	59%	4	3	0	1	1	3	1	3	10-13	77%	2-7	29%	4-10	40%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	35.2	25	60%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	7-9	78%	6-8	75%	2-9	22%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	33.7	17	57%	10	7	0	1	1	3	2	8	3-5	60%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	33.0	16	67%	5	1	2	0	3	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-10	40%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	25.4	9	41%	10	5	0	0	1	1	4	6	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	26.6	5	63%	4	1	1	1	0	4	2	2	5-6	83%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	17.2	3	25%	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	7	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	16.3	8	80%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	12.7	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	47	21	3	5	9	20	11	36	31-42	74%	22-43	51%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	39.6	20	83%	8	0	0	2	2	3	1	7	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.4	23	40%	16	5	0	2	3	5	7	9	4-7	57%	8-24	33%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	31.7	21	55%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	5-5	100%	2-9	22%	4-8	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	25.1	14	100%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	22.4	3	21%	6	3	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-5	20%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	25.6	13	59%	4	2	0	0	1	3	1	3	5-5	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.6	6	33%	3	6	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	14.1	2	25%	1	1	2	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	12.3	2	50%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	6.0	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	47	22	4	3	10	24	12	35	20-27	74%	28-62	45%	10-28	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.3%

DEN

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

58%

DEN

52%

Midrange

HOU

42%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

19.5

33%

50%

DEN

15.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

HOU

74%

DEN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet	26	59%	13.0 / 22
J. Green	25	60%	12.5 / 21
A. Sengun	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. Brooks	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Smith	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Holiday	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Green	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Tate	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Eason	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	23	40%	11.5 / 29
J. Murray	21	55%	10.5 / 19
M. Porter	20	83%	10.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	14	100%	7.0 / 7
P. Watson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. Jackson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Gordon	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Braun	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Jordan	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Holiday	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 5 117.9	HOU 117.5 +5.9 DEN 111.6
Pace	13 99.6 26 97.4	HOU 97.1 +0.9 DEN 96.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 4 15.0	HOU 14.8 −0.1 DEN 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 8 56.2%	HOU 50.6% +2.8% DEN 47.8%
TO %	8 12.1% 7 12.1%	HOU 9.1% DEN 8.9% −0.2%
ORB %	10 25.1% 6 25.5%	HOU 23.9% DEN 25.0% +1.1%
FTrt	9 25.7 24 22.4	HOU 51.2 +21.2 DEN 30.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 5 66.9%	HOU 60.0% +2.1% DEN 57.9%
STL %	9 7.8% 20 7.3%	HOU 3.1% DEN 4.2% +1.1%
BLK %	11 9.7% 25 8.7%	HOU 8.1% +1.1% DEN 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 11 57.5%	HOU 55.3% +3.3% DEN 52.0%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 17 63.6%	HOU 58.3% +6.8% DEN 51.5%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 3 47.0%	HOU 42.1% +4.2% DEN 37.9%
3P %	23 35.2% 10 37.4%	HOU 33.3% DEN 35.7% +2.4%
FT %	20 77.3% 25 76.2%	HOU 73.8% DEN 74.1% +0.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 4 36.0%	HOU 29.3% DEN 36.7% +7.4%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 25 28.8%	HOU 23.2% −9.1% DEN 32.2%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 30 35.2%	HOU 47.6% +16.4% DEN 31.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	97	95
Possession Minutes	24.0	23.7
Points	114	106
Rebounds	47	47
Assists	21	22
Steals	3	4
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	35 (0)
Field Goals	35-82	38-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	17-33
Midrange FG	8-19	11-29
2-Point FG	22-43	28-62
3-Point FG	13-39	10-28
Free Throws	31-42	20-27
Fast Break Pts	16	10
2nd Chance Pts	10	9
Points in Paint	36	44
Pts off Turnovers	16	11
Bench Points	21	25
Biggest Lead	25	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg