Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 7, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Pacers	35%	123	128	121.9	105	110.5
	3	Bucks	65%	129	119	112.3	106	101.0

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+19

-9

115

MIL

+18

-12

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.11 55.7%

MIL

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	36.5	27	68%	7	15	0	1	0	1	3	4	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	3-9	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	31.8	26	59%	10	2	1	3	0	2	1	9	6-8	75%	7-10	70%	2-8	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.0	8	33%	11	2	2	1	2	3	4	7	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-6	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	28.1	10	45%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	21.3	14	78%	6	2	0	0	0	3	3	3	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.7	6	50%	1	1	0	1	0	5	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	9	35%	6	1	0	1	2	4	2	4	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	16.2	11	79%	6	0	1	0	1	1	1	5	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	14.1	8	80%	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	11.5	9	56%	1	4	3	0	3	0	1	0	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Heel; Left Knee Bone Bruise, Left Heel Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	56%	51	30	9	8	9	21	15	36	21-25	84%	43-69	62%	7-33	21%

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18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	36.5	27	68%	7	15	0	1	0	1	3	4	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	3-9	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	31.8	26	59%	10	2	1	3	0	2	1	9	6-8	75%	7-10	70%	2-8	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.0	8	33%	11	2	2	1	2	3	4	7	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-6	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	28.1	10	45%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	21.3	14	78%	6	2	0	0	0	3	3	3	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.7	6	50%	1	1	0	1	0	5	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	9	35%	6	1	0	1	2	4	2	4	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	16.2	11	79%	6	0	1	0	1	1	1	5	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	14.1	8	80%	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	11.5	9	56%	1	4	3	0	3	0	1	0	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Heel; Left Knee Bone Bruise, Left Heel Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	56%	51	30	9	8	9	21	15	36	21-25	84%	43-69	62%	7-33	21%

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3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	41.6	24	52%	7	7	1	1	3	2	0	7	6-6	100%	3-11	27%	4-9	44%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	40.5	37	74%	10	2	0	2	1	3	1	9	11-13	85%	13-18	72%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	36.9	18	50%	6	2	0	4	1	5	2	4	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	3-10	30%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	36.3	7	39%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	29.6	20	71%	7	4	2	0	4	2	1	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	4-5	80%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	17.8	4	40%	6	1	0	1	1	2	4	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	16.4	4	22%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	15.4	5	50%	6	0	0	1	0	0	3	3	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	INACTIVE
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	53%	46	19	3	9	12	17	12	34	21-28	75%	31-63	49%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.11 55.7%

MIL

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

67%

MIL

56%

Midrange

IND

57%

MIL

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

10.5

21%

32%

MIL

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

IND

84%

MIL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	27	68%	13.5 / 20
M. Turner	26	59%	13.0 / 22
O. Toppin	14	78%	7.0 / 9
I. Jackson	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Brown	10	45%	5.0 / 11
B. Mathurin	9	35%	4.5 / 13
T. McConnell	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Hield	8	33%	4.0 / 12
A. Nembhard	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Nesmith	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	37	74%	18.5 / 25
D. Lillard	24	52%	12.0 / 23
K. Middleton	20	71%	10.0 / 14
B. Lopez	18	50%	9.0 / 18
M. Beasley	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Beauchamp	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Portis	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Payne	4	22%	2.0 / 9
A. Green	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 6 117.6	IND 121.9 +9.6 MIL 112.3
Pace	2 102.3 8 100.6	IND 110.5 +9.5 MIL 101.0
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 19 14.4	IND 13.0 −1.2 MIL 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 4 56.8%	IND 52.5% +1.5% MIL 51.0%
TO %	6 12.0% 10 12.2%	IND 8.1% −1.9% MIL 10.0%
ORB %	20 23.8% 25 21.8%	IND 30.6% +5.6% MIL 25.0%
FTrt	26 22.2 4 27.0	IND 24.5 MIL 29.2 +4.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 20 61.5%	IND 60.0% +15.8% MIL 44.2%
STL %	15 7.5% 28 6.7%	IND 8.6% +5.8% MIL 2.8%
BLK %	14 9.5% 28 8.5%	IND 12.7% MIL 13.0% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 6 58.8%	IND 55.7% +2.6% MIL 53.1%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 4 67.9%	IND 66.7% +11.1% MIL 55.6%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 11 44.5%	IND 56.7% +16.0% MIL 40.7%
3P %	9 37.4% 11 37.3%	IND 21.2% MIL 36.4% +15.2%
FT %	13 78.2% 19 77.4%	IND 84.0% +9.0% MIL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 24 31.5%	IND 38.2% +0.7% MIL 37.5%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 7 25.4%	IND 29.4% MIL 28.1% −1.3%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 4 43.0%	IND 32.4% MIL 34.4% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	MIL
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	128	119
Rebounds	51	46
Assists	30	19
Steals	9	3
Blocks	8	9
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	34 (3)
Field Goals	50-102	43-96
At-the-Rim FG	26-39	20-36
Midrange FG	17-30	11-27
2-Point FG	43-69	31-63
3-Point FG	7-33	12-33
Free Throws	21-25	21-28
Fast Break Pts	11	7
2nd Chance Pts	23	16
Points in Paint	72	60
Pts off Turnovers	20	16
Bench Points	43	13
Biggest Lead	12	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg