Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Nuggets	36%	111	122	108.9	112	115.6
	16	Grizzlies	64%	117	110	98.2	112	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-18

112

MEM

+28

-22

118

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.5%

MEM

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	40.1	24	52%	11	3	1	1	0	3	5	6	2-6	33%	11-17	65%	0-4	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	36.0	27	64%	4	6	3	2	3	2	1	3	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	5-10	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.0	19	63%	7	2	3	0	2	4	2	5	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	24.7	15	75%	5	2	1	1	4	6	1	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	18.3	8	57%	5	1	2	0	3	5	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	32.4	12	46%	10	14	2	1	5	3	1	9	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	20.4	6	38%	5	0	2	1	0	3	0	5	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	11.4	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	9.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	7.7	4	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	5.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| On Assignment
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive – Personal \| Personal Reasons
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	53	29	15	6	18	29	13	40	14-22	64%	36-64	56%	12-36	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	40.1	24	52%	11	3	1	1	0	3	5	6	2-6	33%	11-17	65%	0-4	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	36.0	27	64%	4	6	3	2	3	2	1	3	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	5-10	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.0	19	63%	7	2	3	0	2	4	2	5	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	24.7	15	75%	5	2	1	1	4	6	1	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	18.3	8	57%	5	1	2	0	3	5	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	32.4	12	46%	10	14	2	1	5	3	1	9	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	20.4	6	38%	5	0	2	1	0	3	0	5	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	11.4	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	9.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	7.7	4	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	5.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| On Assignment
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive – Personal \| Personal Reasons
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	53	29	15	6	18	29	13	40	14-22	64%	36-64	56%	12-36	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	29.4	5	23%	5	5	1	0	2	5	0	5	3-5	60%	1-5	20%	0-5	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	28.7	19	50%	8	1	1	5	7	4	2	6	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	2-8	25%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	25.5	16	50%	6	6	1	1	1	1	3	3	6-10	60%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	21.4	10	71%	4	2	1	0	1	3	3	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	19.3	8	40%	3	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	33.3	28	74%	11	0	1	0	3	1	2	9	0-1	0%	8-12	67%	4-7	57%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	27.7	8	33%	9	5	0	3	0	4	3	6	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	23.6	6	43%	1	3	1	0	2	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	12.7	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	11.2	0	0%	2	0	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	7.3	4	33%	5	0	0	0	3	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Subluxation and Pelvic Muscle Strains
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	47%	55	24	9	10	22	24	19	36	19-31	61%	32-65	49%	9-38	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.5%

MEM

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

61%

MEM

65%

Midrange

DEN

50%

MEM

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

33%

50%

MEM

13.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

DEN

64%

MEM

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	27	64%	13.5 / 21
M. Porter	24	52%	12.0 / 23
C. Braun	19	63%	9.5 / 15
P. Watson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
R. Westbrook	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Šarić	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Strawther	6	38%	3.0 / 8
V. Cancar	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Jordan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Alexander	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Aldama	28	74%	14.0 / 19
J. Jackson	19	50%	9.5 / 19
S. Pippen	16	50%	8.0 / 16
B. Clarke	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Wells	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. LaRavia	8	33%	4.0 / 12
L. Kennard	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Huff	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Bane	5	23%	2.5 / 11
V. Williams	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 6 117.2	DEN 108.9 +10.7 MEM 98.2
Pace	8 100.6 1 103.7	DEN 115.6 +6.9 MEM 108.6
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 28 13.4	DEN 12.5 −0.8 MEM 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 12 55.4%	DEN 54.0% +9.8% MEM 44.2%
TO %	15 13.3% 25 14.4%	DEN 14.8% −1.1% MEM 15.9%
ORB %	7 26.7% 3 28.7%	DEN 26.5% MEM 32.2% +5.7%
FTrt	5 25.9 10 24.9	DEN 22.0 MEM 30.1 +8.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 15 63.5%	DEN 60.4% +1.9% MEM 58.5%
STL %	19 7.9% 7 8.5%	DEN 13.4% +5.4% MEM 8.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 3 10.8%	DEN 9.2% MEM 15.6% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 10 57.4%	DEN 54.5% +7.9% MEM 46.6%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 11 65.3%	DEN 60.5% MEM 65.0% +4.5%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 9 45.4%	DEN 50.0% +26.0% MEM 24.0%
3P %	5 37.6% 12 36.7%	DEN 33.3% +9.6% MEM 23.7%
FT %	23 77.0% 12 78.6%	DEN 63.6% +2.3% MEM 61.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 22 30.5%	DEN 38.0% MEM 38.8% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 26 29.0%	DEN 26.0% MEM 24.3% −1.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 20 40.6%	DEN 36.0% MEM 36.9% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	112	112
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	122	110
Rebounds	53	55
Assists	29	24
Steals	15	9
Blocks	6	10
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	22 (0)
Fouls	29	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	19 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	36 (2)
Field Goals	48-100	41-103
At-the-Rim FG	23-38	26-40
Midrange FG	13-26	6-25
2-Point FG	36-64	32-65
3-Point FG	12-36	9-38
Free Throws	14-22	19-31
Fast Break Pts	28	17
2nd Chance Pts	19	27
Points in Paint	62	60
Pts off Turnovers	26	14
Bench Points	29	52
Biggest Lead	25	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg