Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	87%	127	108	103.8	104	97.8
	30	Wizards	13%	110	96	93.2	103	110.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	37.2	16	36%	9	8	2	0	3	2	1	8	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	0-10	0%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	37.2	31	50%	11	5	0	0	3	3	3	8	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	3-13	23%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	36.5	10	45%	2	3	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	28.9	16	80%	5	1	4	1	2	2	1	4	8-8	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	18.3	7	58%	2	0	0	1	0	4	0	2	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	23.7	6	100%	6	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	22.6	9	64%	2	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	21.8	13	93%	3	0	3	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	8.6	0	0%	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Posterior Tibialis Tendon; Surgery Rehabilitation
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	43	22	11	7	12	19	10	33	25-32	78%	25-39	64%	11-46	24%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	37.2	16	36%	9	8	2	0	3	2	1	8	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	0-10	0%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	37.2	31	50%	11	5	0	0	3	3	3	8	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	3-13	23%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	36.5	10	45%	2	3	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	28.9	16	80%	5	1	4	1	2	2	1	4	8-8	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	18.3	7	58%	2	0	0	1	0	4	0	2	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	23.7	6	100%	6	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	22.6	9	64%	2	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	21.8	13	93%	3	0	3	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	8.6	0	0%	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Posterior Tibialis Tendon; Surgery Rehabilitation
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	43	22	11	7	12	19	10	33	25-32	78%	25-39	64%	11-46	24%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	40.0	6	30%	7	3	2	1	2	5	0	7	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	34.6	21	55%	3	1	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-1	0%	9-16	56%	1-3	33%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	33.5	23	57%	2	8	1	0	4	4	0	2	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	3-7	43%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	28.4	6	33%	9	1	0	1	1	3	3	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	26.4	18	60%	10	1	1	0	2	3	3	7	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-1	100%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	22.3	2	17%	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.1	3	38%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	19.0	11	69%	10	1	0	1	3	3	4	6	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	16.8	6	60%	3	2	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	49%	48	19	6	4	19	29	10	38	11-16	69%	32-62	52%	7-28	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.05 52.4%

WAS

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

12

16

75%

WAS

19

34

56%

Midrange

BOS

13

23

57%

WAS

13

28

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

11

16.5

46

24%

36%

WAS

7

10.5

28

25%

38%

Free Throws

BOS

25

32

78%

WAS

11

16

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	31	50%	15.5 / 31
J. Tatum	16	36%	8.0 / 22
J. Holiday	16	80%	8.0 / 10
S. Hauser	13	93%	6.5 / 7
D. White	10	45%	5.0 / 11
P. Pritchard	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Queta	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Kornet	6	100%	3.0 / 3
X. Tillman	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Walsh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	23	57%	11.5 / 20
K. Kuzma	21	55%	10.5 / 19
M. Brogdon	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Valančiūnas	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Coulibaly	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Sarr	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Kispert	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. George	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Carrington	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 119.5 30 105.8	BOS 103.8 +10.6 WAS 93.2
Pace	29 96.6 4 101.8	BOS 97.8 WAS 110.0 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.5 23 14.0	BOS 14.7 WAS 13.1 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 28 51.2%	BOS 48.8% +1.6% WAS 47.2%
TO %	2 11.7% 27 14.6%	BOS 10.8% −6.3% WAS 17.1%
ORB %	15 25.6% 25 22.7%	BOS 20.8% WAS 23.3% +2.5%
FTrt	30 21.2 26 22.9	BOS 37.6 +19.8 WAS 17.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 62.8% 12 63.7%	BOS 61.1% +12.4% WAS 48.7%
STL %	26 7.4% 25 7.4%	BOS 10.6% +4.8% WAS 5.8%
BLK %	4 10.5% 12 9.6%	BOS 11.3% +1.0% WAS 10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.8% 29 53.2%	BOS 52.4% +3.4% WAS 49.0%
Rim FG%	4 67.3% 17 63.7%	BOS 75.0% +19.1% WAS 55.9%
Mid FG%	14 43.9% 30 38.0%	BOS 56.5% +10.1% WAS 46.4%
3P %	10 36.8% 29 33.5%	BOS 23.9% WAS 25.0% +1.1%
FT %	6 79.9% 16 77.8%	BOS 78.1% +9.3% WAS 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 26.2% 21 30.5%	BOS 18.8% WAS 37.8% +19.0%
Mid Att. %	1 20.2% 11 25.9%	BOS 27.1% −4.1% WAS 31.1%
3P Att. %	1 53.6% 10 43.6%	BOS 54.1% +23.0% WAS 31.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	BOS	WAS
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	108	96
Rebounds	43	48
Assists	22	19
Steals	11	6
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	19	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	38 (5)
Field Goals	36-85	39-90
At-the-Rim FG	12-16	19-34
Midrange FG	13-23	13-28
2-Point FG	25-39	32-62
3-Point FG	11-46	7-28
Free Throws	25-32	11-16
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	12	10
Points in Paint	30	52
Pts off Turnovers	23	10
Bench Points	28	22
Biggest Lead	12	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg