Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Warriors	65%	115	140	128.4	109	114.3
	29	Blazers	35%	109	104	96.3	108	103.2

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+19

-17

111

POR

+16

-17

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.26 63.1%

POR

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	25.1	17	65%	9	10	2	0	2	0	0	9	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	24.6	14	100%	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	3	4-5	80%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 30	23.1	20	67%	4	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-7	57%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	20.4	8	100%	6	3	1	2	3	3	0	6	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 22	19.5	10	42%	4	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	24.9	0	0%	7	4	1	0	3	3	4	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	19.1	11	46%	2	4	3	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	14.9	15	63%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	14.8	2	50%	5	3	2	1	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	14.7	22	92%	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-7	71%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	14.5	8	80%	1	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 29	14.1	2	33%	6	2	1	1	1	3	3	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	5.1	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	5.1	8	133%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Reece Beekman #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	63%	57	38	13	5	17	27	15	42	24-30	80%	28-45	62%	20-48	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	25.1	17	65%	9	10	2	0	2	0	0	9	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	24.6	14	100%	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	3	4-5	80%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 30	23.1	20	67%	4	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-7	57%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	20.4	8	100%	6	3	1	2	3	3	0	6	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 22	19.5	10	42%	4	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	24.9	0	0%	7	4	1	0	3	3	4	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	19.1	11	46%	2	4	3	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	14.9	15	63%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	14.8	2	50%	5	3	2	1	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	14.7	22	92%	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-7	71%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	14.5	8	80%	1	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 29	14.1	2	33%	6	2	1	1	1	3	3	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	5.1	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	5.1	8	133%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Reece Beekman #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	63%	57	38	13	5	17	27	15	42	24-30	80%	28-45	62%	20-48	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	33.2	16	42%	2	3	1	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	2-8	25%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	32.6	15	58%	2	3	1	0	5	3	0	2	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	30.9	10	42%	11	2	2	0	1	2	2	9	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	29.9	11	55%	6	4	2	0	2	4	4	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	27.5	15	58%	7	2	2	2	4	2	2	5	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	27.9	22	50%	4	4	0	0	2	3	1	3	8-9	89%	7-13	54%	0-5	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	16.9	6	75%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	12.6	2	50%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	9.9	1	13%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	8.0	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	7.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	3.3	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Labral Tear
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	42	21	10	4	17	22	13	29	24-30	80%	28-58	48%	8-34	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.26 63.1%

POR

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

72%

POR

53%

Midrange

GSW

POR

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

30.0

42%

63%

POR

12.0

24%

35%

Free Throws

GSW

80%

POR

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	22	92%	11.0 / 12
A. Wiggins	20	67%	10.0 / 15
S. Curry	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Moody	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Jackson-Davis	14	100%	7.0 / 7
D. Melton	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Kuminga	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Green	8	100%	4.0 / 4
G. Payton	8	80%	4.0 / 5
L. Waters	8	133%	4.0 / 3
G. Santos	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Anderson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Looney	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Podziemski	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Henderson	22	50%	11.0 / 22
J. Grant	16	42%	8.0 / 19
A. Simons	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Avdija	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Camara	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Ayton	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Rupert	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Banton	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Reath	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Clingan	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Murray	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.2 23 110.9	GSW 128.4 +32.1 POR 96.3
Pace	17 99.4 16 99.5	GSW 114.3 +11.1 POR 103.2
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 19 14.3	GSW 12.6 −1.4 POR 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 25 52.1%	GSW 62.4% +18.9% POR 43.5%
TO %	13 13.2% 29 15.1%	GSW 14.5% −0.1% POR 14.6%
ORB %	5 27.3% 2 29.2%	GSW 34.1% +10.5% POR 23.6%
FTrt	14 24.4 13 24.6	GSW 32.3 POR 32.6 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.4% 28 58.7%	GSW 79.2% +20.9% POR 58.3%
STL %	3 9.4% 13 8.2%	GSW 11.9% +2.6% POR 9.3%
BLK %	13 9.5% 9 10.0%	GSW 8.6% POR 8.9% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.3% 23 54.1%	GSW 63.1% +14.5% POR 48.6%
Rim FG%	21 62.7% 27 60.7%	GSW 71.8% +18.5% POR 53.3%
Mid FG%	25 39.9% 28 39.1%	GSW 0.0% POR 30.8% +30.8%
3P %	16 36.4% 26 34.2%	GSW 41.7% +18.2% POR 23.5%
FT %	25 76.3% 26 76.2%	GSW 80.0% POR 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.1% 2 36.6%	GSW 41.9% POR 48.9% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	7 23.1% 3 21.6%	GSW 6.5% −7.7% POR 14.1%
3P Att. %	2 46.9% 17 41.8%	GSW 51.6% +14.7% POR 37.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	POR
Possessions	109	108
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	140	104
Rebounds	57	42
Assists	38	21
Steals	13	10
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls	27	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	29 (1)
Field Goals	48-93	36-92
At-the-Rim FG	28-39	24-45
Midrange FG	0-6	4-13
2-Point FG	28-45	28-58
3-Point FG	20-48	8-34
Free Throws	24-30	24-30
Fast Break Pts	32	5
2nd Chance Pts	22	12
Points in Paint	56	48
Pts off Turnovers	22	13
Bench Points	71	37
Biggest Lead	38	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg