Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 24, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Thunder	47%	111	102	104.1	98	95.3
	5	Nuggets	53%	112	87	87.9	99	101.9

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+19

-12

105

DEN

+25

-15

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

0.97 48.6%

DEN

0.80 39.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	36.2	28	54%	7	8	2	3	2	2	2	5	4-5	80%	9-18	50%	2-6	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	35.8	25	66%	14	5	2	4	2	2	4	10	3-5	60%	11-13	85%	0-5	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	33.7	12	38%	3	3	0	2	5	3	1	2	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.6	5	36%	2	0	3	1	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	20.4	7	35%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	23.0	4	29%	4	0	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	19.5	15	83%	6	1	0	2	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	19.1	0	0%	6	4	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	13.3	6	75%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	6.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Reese #15 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	49	23	9	13	12	15	13	36	8-12	67%	35-65	54%	8-36	22%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	36.2	28	54%	7	8	2	3	2	2	2	5	4-5	80%	9-18	50%	2-6	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	35.8	25	66%	14	5	2	4	2	2	4	10	3-5	60%	11-13	85%	0-5	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	33.7	12	38%	3	3	0	2	5	3	1	2	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.6	5	36%	2	0	3	1	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	20.4	7	35%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	23.0	4	29%	4	0	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	19.5	15	83%	6	1	0	2	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	19.1	0	0%	6	4	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	13.3	6	75%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	6.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Reese #15 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	49	23	9	13	12	15	13	36	8-12	67%	35-65	54%	8-36	22%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	38.5	12	43%	6	4	2	0	3	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	35.2	16	53%	12	13	2	1	3	3	4	8	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.5	12	46%	9	2	1	0	2	1	5	4	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.2	15	42%	8	2	1	0	1	2	1	7	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	3-10	30%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	29.1	16	53%	7	1	2	2	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	8-12	67%	0-3	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	21.3	6	25%	5	5	1	2	2	0	1	4	1-4	25%	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	17.3	6	50%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	14.8	2	14%	6	1	0	2	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	11.0	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	40%	57	29	11	7	15	12	17	40	10-14	71%	28-60	47%	7-38	18%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

0.97 48.6%

DEN

0.80 39.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

64%

DEN

49%

Midrange

OKC

41%

DEN

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

12.0

22%

33%

DEN

10.5

18%

28%

Free Throws

OKC

67%

DEN

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	28	54%	14.0 / 26
C. Holmgren	25	66%	12.5 / 19
A. Wiggins	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Williams	12	38%	6.0 / 16
I. Joe	7	35%	3.5 / 10
O. Dieng	6	75%	3.0 / 4
L. Dort	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Wallace	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Mitchell	0	-	0.0 / 3
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	16	53%	8.0 / 15
C. Braun	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Porter	15	42%	7.5 / 18
J. Murray	12	43%	6.0 / 14
A. Gordon	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Westbrook	6	25%	3.0 / 12
J. Strawther	6	50%	3.0 / 6
P. Watson	2	14%	1.0 / 7
D. Šarić	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 4 118.9	OKC 104.1 +16.2 DEN 87.9
Pace	5 100.9 8 100.6	OKC 95.3 DEN 101.9 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 22 14.2	OKC 15.1 DEN 14.1 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 2 57.3%	OKC 46.5% +7.2% DEN 39.3%
TO %	1 10.9% 15 13.3%	OKC 10.1% −3.2% DEN 13.3%
ORB %	21 24.2% 7 26.7%	OKC 24.5% DEN 32.1% +7.6%
FTrt	28 22.0 5 25.9	OKC 11.9 DEN 14.3 +2.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 4 68.3%	OKC 53.5% DEN 82.9% +29.4%
STL %	1 10.2% 19 7.9%	OKC 9.2% DEN 11.1% +1.9%
BLK %	2 11.9% 21 9.0%	OKC 21.7% +10.9% DEN 10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 2 58.8%	OKC 48.6% +8.7% DEN 39.9%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 7 66.2%	OKC 63.9% +14.9% DEN 49.0%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 8 45.5%	OKC 41.4% +5.0% DEN 36.4%
3P %	6 37.4% 5 37.6%	OKC 22.2% +3.8% DEN 18.4%
FT %	1 81.9% 23 77.0%	OKC 66.7% DEN 71.4% +4.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 1 38.3%	OKC 35.6% DEN 50.0% +14.4%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 13 26.1%	OKC 28.7% DEN 11.2% −17.5%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 30 35.6%	OKC 35.6% DEN 38.8% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	102	87
Rebounds	49	57
Assists	23	29
Steals	9	11
Blocks	13	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	15	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	17 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	40 (1)
Field Goals	43-101	35-98
At-the-Rim FG	23-36	24-49
Midrange FG	12-29	4-11
2-Point FG	35-65	28-60
3-Point FG	8-36	7-38
Free Throws	8-12	10-14
Fast Break Pts	19	12
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	62	52
Pts off Turnovers	11	12
Bench Points	25	16
Biggest Lead	20	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg