Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Timberwolves	47%	112	117	115.8	101	93.7
	10	Kings	53%	113	115	112.7	102	110.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	39.2	32	62%	7	4	1	0	3	4	1	6	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	5-15	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	34.8	33	92%	5	4	0	0	3	3	0	5	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	5-6	83%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	34.6	3	50%	11	1	2	0	3	4	1	10	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	27.5	6	30%	2	3	0	1	2	3	2	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	27.3	6	33%	2	4	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-7	29%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	26.6	9	45%	1	2	0	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-6	17%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.5	19	86%	13	3	0	0	2	4	0	13	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.3	9	90%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	5.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	63%	42	24	3	2	16	24	6	36	15-17	88%	21-36	58%	20-50	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	39.2	32	62%	7	4	1	0	3	4	1	6	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	5-15	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	34.8	33	92%	5	4	0	0	3	3	0	5	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	5-6	83%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	34.6	3	50%	11	1	2	0	3	4	1	10	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	27.5	6	30%	2	3	0	1	2	3	2	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	27.3	6	33%	2	4	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-7	29%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	26.6	9	45%	1	2	0	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-6	17%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.5	19	86%	13	3	0	0	2	4	0	13	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.3	9	90%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	5.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	63%	42	24	3	2	16	24	6	36	15-17	88%	21-36	58%	20-50	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	43.0	23	64%	11	2	0	0	0	3	2	9	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	42.5	26	52%	8	2	1	0	2	0	1	7	12-14	86%	7-16	44%	0-2	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.2	24	71%	8	1	2	1	4	4	1	7	5-8	63%	5-9	56%	3-4	75%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	37.1	15	50%	2	11	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	19.6	2	25%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	26.4	17	77%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	11.2	2	50%	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	10.8	3	38%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	5.7	3	75%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	38	21	7	2	9	18	4	34	28-35	80%	27-53	51%	11-29	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.26 62.9%

SAC

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

5

7

71%

SAC

11

14

79%

Midrange

MIN

16

29

55%

SAC

16

39

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

20

30.0

50

40%

60%

SAC

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

Free Throws

MIN

15

17

88%

SAC

28

35

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	33	92%	16.5 / 18
A. Edwards	32	62%	16.0 / 26
N. Reid	19	86%	9.5 / 11
D. DiVincenzo	9	45%	4.5 / 10
N. Alexander-Walker	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. McDaniels	6	30%	3.0 / 10
M. Conley	6	33%	3.0 / 9
R. Gobert	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	26	52%	13.0 / 25
D. Sabonis	24	71%	12.0 / 17
K. Murray	23	64%	11.5 / 18
M. Monk	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Fox	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Lyles	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Len	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Huerter	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Ellis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 7 115.9	MIN 115.8 +3.1 SAC 112.7
Pace	25 98.1 19 98.9	MIN 93.7 SAC 110.6 +16.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 15 14.4	MIN 15.4 SAC 13.0 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 15 54.8%	MIN 59.3% +6.3% SAC 53.0%
TO %	19 13.9% 6 12.6%	MIN 15.4% SAC 8.5% −6.9%
ORB %	14 25.7% 16 25.4%	MIN 15.0% +5.0% SAC 10.0%
FTrt	11 24.9 21 23.5	MIN 19.8 SAC 42.7 +22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 22 61.5%	MIN 58.5% +3.2% SAC 55.3%
STL %	16 8.1% 23 7.6%	MIN 3.0% SAC 6.9% +3.9%
BLK %	14 9.5% 23 8.8%	MIN 3.8% SAC 5.6% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 15 56.8%	MIN 62.9% +7.1% SAC 55.8%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 2 67.6%	MIN 71.4% SAC 78.6% +7.2%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 4 46.0%	MIN 55.2% +14.2% SAC 41.0%
3P %	4 37.7% 19 35.7%	MIN 40.0% +2.1% SAC 37.9%
FT %	10 78.9% 4 80.6%	MIN 88.2% +8.2% SAC 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 28 26.8%	MIN 8.1% SAC 17.1% +8.9%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 29 34.1%	MIN 33.7% −13.8% SAC 47.6%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 23 39.1%	MIN 58.1% +22.8% SAC 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MIN	SAC
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	117	115
Rebounds	42	38
Assists	24	21
Steals	3	7
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	24	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	34 (5)
Field Goals	41-86	38-82
At-the-Rim FG	5-7	11-14
Midrange FG	16-29	16-39
2-Point FG	21-36	27-53
3-Point FG	20-50	11-29
Free Throws	15-17	28-35
Fast Break Pts	4	16
2nd Chance Pts	7	7
Points in Paint	32	40
Pts off Turnovers	11	22
Bench Points	37	25
Biggest Lead	6	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg