Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 28, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	78%	119	127	113.4	112	102.6
	29	Raptors	22%	108	125	110.6	113	101.2

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+15

-16

111

TOR

+24

-15

122

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.2%

TOR

1.02 51.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	43.7	40	71%	10	4	1	2	3	2	3	7	1-2	50%	15-22	68%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	42.1	16	67%	11	8	2	1	5	2	5	6	6-8	75%	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.7	17	39%	9	7	1	0	0	2	1	8	5-5	100%	6-18	33%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	39.6	17	65%	4	2	1	1	1	3	2	2	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	39.4	13	54%	9	2	0	1	1	3	2	7	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	22.5	9	113%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	18.0	9	50%	4	3	1	0	2	4	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	15.4	6	43%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	4.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	57%	52	29	6	6	16	20	15	37	24-30	80%	38-76	50%	9-20	45%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	43.7	40	71%	10	4	1	2	3	2	3	7	1-2	50%	15-22	68%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	42.1	16	67%	11	8	2	1	5	2	5	6	6-8	75%	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.7	17	39%	9	7	1	0	0	2	1	8	5-5	100%	6-18	33%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	39.6	17	65%	4	2	1	1	1	3	2	2	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	39.4	13	54%	9	2	0	1	1	3	2	7	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	22.5	9	113%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	18.0	9	50%	4	3	1	0	2	4	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	15.4	6	43%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	4.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	57%	52	29	6	6	16	20	15	37	24-30	80%	38-76	50%	9-20	45%

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29 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	40.2	16	57%	19	2	0	1	3	2	8	11	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	36.6	15	54%	1	4	0	1	0	2	1	0	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 23	35.3	21	53%	12	9	5	1	4	1	2	10	2-4	50%	8-16	50%	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	35.3	16	67%	2	6	0	1	4	3	1	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 24	28.7	20	48%	5	3	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	7-15	47%	2-6	33%

Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	28.6	15	63%	7	0	1	1	0	4	3	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	18.1	8	50%	1	5	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	13.6	6	75%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	13.5	4	33%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23	12.1	4	50%	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopic Surgical Procedure
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	51%	54	30	7	7	15	27	18	36	17-21	81%	39-74	53%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.2%

TOR

1.02 51.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

51%

TOR

61%

Midrange

DEN

49%

TOR

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13.5

45%

68%

TOR

15.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

DEN

80%

TOR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	40	71%	20.0 / 28
J. Murray	17	39%	8.5 / 22
C. Braun	17	65%	8.5 / 13
A. Gordon	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Porter	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Strawther	9	113%	4.5 / 4
R. Westbrook	9	50%	4.5 / 9
P. Watson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Šarić	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	21	53%	10.5 / 20
R. Barrett	20	48%	10.0 / 21
J. Poeltl	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Mitchell	16	67%	8.0 / 12
G. Dick	15	54%	7.5 / 14
O. Agbaji	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Shead	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Mogbo	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Boucher	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Battle	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Carton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 26 109.5	DEN 113.4 +2.8 TOR 110.6
Pace	8 100.6 9 100.6	DEN 102.6 +1.4 TOR 101.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 27 13.8	DEN 14.0 −0.2 TOR 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 24 52.2%	DEN 53.6% +4.1% TOR 49.5%
TO %	15 13.3% 26 14.5%	DEN 12.8% TOR 11.3% −1.5%
ORB %	7 26.7% 4 27.3%	DEN 29.4% TOR 32.7% +3.3%
FTrt	5 25.9 25 23.2	DEN 31.3 +12.0 TOR 19.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 2 68.5%	DEN 61.7% +0.5% TOR 61.2%
STL %	19 7.9% 18 8.0%	DEN 5.4% TOR 6.2% +0.8%
BLK %	21 9.0% 27 8.4%	DEN 8.1% TOR 9.2% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 25 53.8%	DEN 57.2% +6.0% TOR 51.2%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 28 60.2%	DEN 51.4% TOR 61.0% +9.6%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 21 41.5%	DEN 48.8% +6.4% TOR 42.4%
3P %	5 37.6% 23 34.8%	DEN 45.0% +16.4% TOR 28.6%
FT %	23 77.0% 29 74.8%	DEN 80.0% TOR 81.0% +1.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 3 36.2%	DEN 36.5% TOR 37.6% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 17 26.5%	DEN 42.7% TOR 30.3% −12.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 29 37.3%	DEN 20.8% TOR 32.1% +11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	TOR
Possessions	112	113
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.8
Points	127	125
Rebounds	52	54
Assists	29	30
Steals	6	7
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (0)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	36 (1)
Field Goals	47-96	49-109
At-the-Rim FG	18-35	25-41
Midrange FG	20-41	14-33
2-Point FG	38-76	39-74
3-Point FG	9-20	10-35
Free Throws	24-30	17-21
Fast Break Pts	18	20
2nd Chance Pts	20	22
Points in Paint	68	74
Pts off Turnovers	20	22
Bench Points	24	37
Biggest Lead	8	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg