Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 31, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Bucks	61%	120	99	97.1	102	99.8
	19	Grizzlies	39%	116	122	117.3	104	106.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+11

-10

103

MEM

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.96 48.1%

MEM

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	33.5	37	77%	11	4	1	1	1	4	1	10	3-8	38%	17-22	77%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	33.4	4	15%	2	6	1	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	27.4	5	31%	2	3	4	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	23.6	12	67%	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	18.1	9	38%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-7	0%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	24.9	11	39%	7	0	1	0	1	2	5	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	20.7	8	100%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	18.8	2	33%	5	1	2	1	2	5	1	4	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	15.9	3	21%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	4.7	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	4.7	4	67%	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	4.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	38	20	10	4	10	27	9	29	8-19	42%	32-54	59%	9-42	21%

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14 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	33.5	37	77%	11	4	1	1	1	4	1	10	3-8	38%	17-22	77%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	33.4	4	15%	2	6	1	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	27.4	5	31%	2	3	4	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	23.6	12	67%	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	18.1	9	38%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-7	0%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	24.9	11	39%	7	0	1	0	1	2	5	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	20.7	8	100%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	18.8	2	33%	5	1	2	1	2	5	1	4	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	15.9	3	21%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	4.7	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	4.7	4	67%	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	4.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	38	20	10	4	10	27	9	29	8-19	42%	32-54	59%	9-42	21%

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19 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 21	35.6	16	80%	7	1	0	0	1	2	1	6	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Santi Aldama #7 · SF · 7'0" 215 · 24	33.1	19	59%	9	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	28.9	26	68%	10	14	1	0	3	0	1	9	6-7	86%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	26.1	13	50%	5	2	0	0	3	4	0	5	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 22	23.7	10	56%	8	0	1	1	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	32.7	11	61%	10	3	2	0	1	4	1	9	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	26.9	16	89%	3	1	1	0	3	2	0	3	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	16.6	4	40%	2	1	0	1	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	11.7	7	117%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 23	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial; Stress Reaction
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Muscle Strain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	56	26	6	3	16	21	7	49	28-31	90%	35-54	65%	8-28	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.96 48.1%

MEM

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

75%

MEM

82%

Midrange

MIL

36%

MEM

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

13.5

21%

32%

MEM

12.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIL

42%

MEM

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	37	77%	18.5 / 24
B. Lopez	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Portis	11	39%	5.5 / 14
G. Trent	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Wright	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Prince	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Lillard	4	15%	2.0 / 13
R. Rollins	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Connaughton	3	21%	1.5 / 7
A. Jackson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Beauchamp	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Robbins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Green	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	26	68%	13.0 / 19
S. Aldama	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Wells	16	80%	8.0 / 10
S. Pippen	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Jackson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. LaRavia	11	61%	5.5 / 9
Z. Edey	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Clarke	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Huff	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Y. Kawamura	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 6 117.2	MIL 97.1 MEM 117.3 +20.2
Pace	14 99.9 1 103.7	MIL 99.8 MEM 106.4 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 28 13.4	MIL 14.4 MEM 13.5 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 12 55.4%	MIL 47.4% MEM 57.3% +9.9%
TO %	7 12.7% 25 14.4%	MIL 8.7% −6.4% MEM 15.1%
ORB %	30 19.3% 3 28.7%	MIL 15.5% MEM 19.4% +3.9%
FTrt	3 26.8 10 24.9	MIL 19.8 MEM 37.8 +18.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 15 63.5%	MIL 48.8% MEM 60.5% +11.7%
STL %	27 7.3% 7 8.5%	MIL 9.8% +4.0% MEM 5.8%
BLK %	20 9.1% 3 10.8%	MIL 7.4% +1.8% MEM 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 10 57.4%	MIL 48.1% MEM 61.6% +13.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 11 65.3%	MIL 75.0% MEM 82.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 9 45.4%	MIL 36.4% MEM 46.2% +9.8%
3P %	1 38.7% 12 36.7%	MIL 21.4% MEM 28.6% +7.2%
FT %	28 75.0% 12 78.6%	MIL 42.1% MEM 90.3% +48.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 22 30.5%	MIL 33.3% MEM 34.1% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 26 29.0%	MIL 22.9% −8.8% MEM 31.7%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 20 40.6%	MIL 43.8% +9.6% MEM 34.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	MEM
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	99	122
Rebounds	38	56
Assists	20	26
Steals	10	6
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	27	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	49 (1)
Field Goals	41-96	43-82
At-the-Rim FG	24-32	23-28
Midrange FG	8-22	12-26
2-Point FG	32-54	35-54
3-Point FG	9-42	8-28
Free Throws	8-19	28-31
Fast Break Pts	27	20
2nd Chance Pts	7	8
Points in Paint	58	68
Pts off Turnovers	31	14
Bench Points	32	38
Biggest Lead	3	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg