Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Kings	72%	122	128	110.3	116	104.4
	27	Raptors	28%	114	131	112.0	117	107.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+18

-18

116

TOR

+15

-19

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.10 55.2%

TOR

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	43.2	24	46%	6	1	5	0	5	2	3	3	8-10	80%	8-11	73%	0-11	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	42.9	33	55%	3	4	3	0	6	1	0	3	7-7	100%	10-20	50%	2-7	29%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	42.8	17	61%	20	10	1	0	3	5	7	13	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	38.6	16	57%	10	2	1	1	1	6	3	7	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Doug McDermott #7 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 33	14.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	38.4	21	66%	4	4	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	26.5	8	67%	1	0	2	2	0	2	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	12.6	5	50%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	5.2	0	0%	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	128	55%	49	21	16	3	18	22	15	34	26-32	81%	36-60	60%	10-40	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	43.2	24	46%	6	1	5	0	5	2	3	3	8-10	80%	8-11	73%	0-11	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	42.9	33	55%	3	4	3	0	6	1	0	3	7-7	100%	10-20	50%	2-7	29%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	42.8	17	61%	20	10	1	0	3	5	7	13	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	38.6	16	57%	10	2	1	1	1	6	3	7	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Doug McDermott #7 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 33	14.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	38.4	21	66%	4	4	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	26.5	8	67%	1	0	2	2	0	2	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	12.6	5	50%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	5.2	0	0%	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	128	55%	49	21	16	3	18	22	15	34	26-32	81%	36-60	60%	10-40	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 24	39.9	31	50%	9	6	1	0	2	1	2	7	8-11	73%	7-17	41%	3-9	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	37.5	22	52%	5	2	2	0	3	0	0	5	7-7	100%	3-9	33%	3-8	38%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	37.1	4	33%	4	7	5	0	5	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	35.6	22	92%	5	2	2	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	4-5	80%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	33.8	13	65%	9	2	2	1	4	6	3	6	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	24.9	24	86%	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	4-6	67%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	16.3	6	60%	6	1	1	1	3	6	5	1	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23	15.5	9	75%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	14.1	0	0%	0	6	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	10.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oribital; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopic Surgical Procedure
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	58%	46	31	13	3	19	25	12	34	22-31	71%	29-58	50%	17-37	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.10 55.2%

TOR

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

77%

TOR

57%

Midrange

SAC

43%

TOR

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

25%

38%

TOR

25.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

SAC

81%

TOR

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	33	55%	16.5 / 30
D. Fox	24	46%	12.0 / 26
M. Monk	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. Sabonis	17	61%	8.5 / 14
K. Murray	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. Ellis	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Lyles	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. McDermott	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	31	50%	15.5 / 31
C. Boucher	24	86%	12.0 / 14
G. Dick	22	52%	11.0 / 21
O. Agbaji	22	92%	11.0 / 12
J. Poeltl	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Battle	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Mogbo	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Mitchell	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Shead	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Walter	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 26 109.5	SAC 110.3 TOR 112.0 +1.6
Pace	19 98.9 9 100.6	SAC 104.4 TOR 107.9 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 27 13.8	SAC 13.8 TOR 13.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 24 52.2%	SAC 51.0% TOR 57.4% +6.4%
TO %	6 12.6% 26 14.5%	SAC 13.6% −1.3% TOR 14.9%
ORB %	16 25.4% 4 27.3%	SAC 30.6% +4.5% TOR 26.1%
FTrt	21 23.5 25 23.2	SAC 32.0 TOR 32.6 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 2 68.5%	SAC 45.7% TOR 67.4% +21.7%
STL %	23 7.6% 18 8.0%	SAC 13.8% +2.7% TOR 11.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 27 8.4%	SAC 5.2% +0.2% TOR 5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 25 53.8%	SAC 55.2% TOR 58.0% +2.8%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 28 60.2%	SAC 76.7% +19.6% TOR 57.1%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 21 41.5%	SAC 43.3% +4.2% TOR 39.1%
3P %	19 35.7% 23 34.8%	SAC 25.0% TOR 45.9% +20.9%
FT %	4 80.6% 29 74.8%	SAC 81.3% +10.3% TOR 71.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 3 36.2%	SAC 30.0% TOR 36.8% +6.8%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 17 26.5%	SAC 30.0% TOR 24.2% −5.8%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 29 37.3%	SAC 40.0% +1.1% TOR 38.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	TOR
Possessions	116	117
Possession Minutes	26.7	26.0
Points	128	131
Rebounds	49	46
Assists	21	31
Steals	16	13
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	22	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	34 (5)
Field Goals	46-100	46-95
At-the-Rim FG	23-30	20-35
Midrange FG	13-30	9-23
2-Point FG	36-60	29-58
3-Point FG	10-40	17-37
Free Throws	26-32	22-31
Fast Break Pts	17	27
2nd Chance Pts	12	16
Points in Paint	54	50
Pts off Turnovers	25	26
Bench Points	34	39
Biggest Lead	2	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg