Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Thunder	57%	114	105	105.0	100	104.4
	16	Clippers	43%	111	92	92.0	100	95.9

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

-12

LAC

+14

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.12 55.9%

LAC

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	34.0	15	44%	7	4	2	0	4	4	0	7	2-2	100%	2-11	18%	3-5	60%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	31.3	25	69%	3	9	0	1	3	2	0	3	9-9	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	30.4	12	50%	5	2	3	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	29.7	16	62%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	29.4	10	45%	14	4	1	1	3	0	1	13	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	24.6	7	88%	4	1	0	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	22.4	12	75%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	15.7	5	42%	2	0	2	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	8.1	3	150%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	7.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	3.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #17 · NA · 6'9" 210 · 25	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	41	25	11	3	12	22	3	38	17-19	89%	20-45	44%	16-39	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	34.0	15	44%	7	4	2	0	4	4	0	7	2-2	100%	2-11	18%	3-5	60%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	31.3	25	69%	3	9	0	1	3	2	0	3	9-9	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	30.4	12	50%	5	2	3	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	29.7	16	62%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	29.4	10	45%	14	4	1	1	3	0	1	13	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	24.6	7	88%	4	1	0	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	22.4	12	75%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	15.7	5	42%	2	0	2	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	8.1	3	150%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	7.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	3.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #17 · NA · 6'9" 210 · 25	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	41	25	11	3	12	22	3	38	17-19	89%	20-45	44%	16-39	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	32.4	12	43%	13	7	3	3	2	2	0	13	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-9	22%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	31.9	24	80%	2	2	2	0	4	1	0	2	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	28.4	9	38%	12	0	1	1	1	2	3	9	1-5	20%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Terance Mann #14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	24.6	11	61%	6	2	1	0	1	2	2	4	6-6	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	22.1	2	11%	3	0	0	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-5	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 27	20.1	4	67%	1	0	2	0	4	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 31	19.6	11	61%	4	4	1	0	2	3	1	3	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 36	19.6	4	33%	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Kevin Porter Jr. #77 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24	18.9	7	50%	4	4	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	9.8	4	100%	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	4.2	3	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	4.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	4.2	1	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Recovery
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	49%	50	23	10	7	20	17	10	40	17-26	65%	21-44	48%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.12 55.9%

LAC

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

55%

LAC

65%

Midrange

OKC

35%

LAC

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

24.0

41%

62%

LAC

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

OKC

89%

LAC

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	25	69%	12.5 / 18
L. Dort	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Williams	15	44%	7.5 / 17
A. Wiggins	12	50%	6.0 / 12
I. Joe	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Holmgren	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. Wallace	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Caruso	5	42%	2.5 / 6
O. Dieng	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Leons	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Harden	12	43%	6.0 / 14
T. Mann	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Dunn	11	61%	5.5 / 9
I. Zubac	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. Porter	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Coffey	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Batum	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Jones	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Hyland	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Jones	2	11%	1.0 / 9
J. Miller	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 15 114.3	OKC 105.0 +13.0 LAC 92.0
Pace	5 100.9 24 98.1	OKC 104.4 +8.5 LAC 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 5 15.1	OKC 13.8 −1.2 LAC 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 11 55.4%	OKC 52.4% +4.9% LAC 47.5%
TO %	1 10.9% 22 14.0%	OKC 11.5% −8.1% LAC 19.6%
ORB %	21 24.2% 19 24.4%	OKC 7.0% LAC 20.8% +13.8%
FTrt	28 22.0 9 25.1	OKC 22.6 LAC 32.9 +10.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 24 60.5%	OKC 69.4% LAC 71.9% +2.5%
STL %	1 10.2% 2 9.5%	OKC 11.0% +1.0% LAC 10.0%
BLK %	2 11.9% 16 9.3%	OKC 6.8% LAC 15.6% +8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 9 57.5%	OKC 55.9% +7.0% LAC 48.9%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 13 64.2%	OKC 54.5% LAC 65.0% +10.5%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 10 45.3%	OKC 34.8% +1.5% LAC 33.3%
3P %	6 37.4% 7 37.3%	OKC 41.0% +9.6% LAC 31.4%
FT %	1 81.9% 7 79.7%	OKC 89.5% +24.1% LAC 65.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 14 31.6%	OKC 26.2% +0.9% LAC 25.3%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 28 29.7%	OKC 27.4% −3.0% LAC 30.4%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 25 38.7%	OKC 46.4% +2.1% LAC 44.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	LAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	105	92
Rebounds	41	50
Assists	25	23
Steals	11	10
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	20 (2)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (3)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	40 (4)
Field Goals	36-84	32-79
At-the-Rim FG	12-22	13-20
Midrange FG	8-23	8-24
2-Point FG	20-45	21-44
3-Point FG	16-39	11-35
Free Throws	17-19	17-26
Fast Break Pts	14	24
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	30	38
Pts off Turnovers	23	14
Bench Points	27	34
Biggest Lead	18	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg