Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Bucks	30%	111	114	112.9	101	89.7
	7	Cavaliers	70%	119	116	114.9	101	115.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-14

CLE

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.20 60.0%

CLE

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	38.9	21	48%	18	1	0	3	1	3	3	15	1-2	50%	10-19	53%	0-2	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	37.3	36	69%	2	7	0	0	8	1	1	1	9-9	100%	6-13	46%	5-9	56%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	35.7	13	54%	6	0	4	2	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	20.9	4	25%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	14.7	3	150%	1	3	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	34.0	21	117%	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	7-9	78%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	24.9	7	44%	7	2	0	1	2	0	1	6	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	22.5	7	88%	4	5	2	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	6.7	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	49	21	6	6	14	15	7	42	13-15	87%	25-51	49%	17-35	49%

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21 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	38.9	21	48%	18	1	0	3	1	3	3	15	1-2	50%	10-19	53%	0-2	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	37.3	36	69%	2	7	0	0	8	1	1	1	9-9	100%	6-13	46%	5-9	56%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	35.7	13	54%	6	0	4	2	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	20.9	4	25%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	14.7	3	150%	1	3	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	34.0	21	117%	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	7-9	78%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	24.9	7	44%	7	2	0	1	2	0	1	6	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	22.5	7	88%	4	5	2	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	6.7	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	49	21	6	6	14	15	7	42	13-15	87%	25-51	49%	17-35	49%

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7 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	34.8	39	85%	2	8	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	7-11	64%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	34.7	14	47%	15	6	2	1	0	0	1	14	0-2	0%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 23	31.9	17	50%	5	3	0	3	0	1	1	4	4-6	67%	5-12	42%	1-3	33%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	31.1	14	44%	4	4	2	0	4	0	0	4	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 24	26.3	5	50%	3	2	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	27.3	12	60%	5	2	2	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	26.3	9	75%	4	2	1	0	0	5	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	18.7	6	75%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
JT Thor #15 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Sprain
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	39	28	10	4	10	15	5	34	7-13	54%	29-54	54%	17-37	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.20 60.0%

CLE

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

65%

CLE

64%

Midrange

MIL

39%

CLE

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

25.5

49%

73%

CLE

25.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

MIL

87%

CLE

54%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	36	69%	18.0 / 26
B. Portis	21	48%	10.5 / 22
A. Green	21	117%	10.5 / 9
B. Lopez	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Jackson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Connaughton	7	88%	3.5 / 4
G. Trent	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Prince	3	150%	1.5 / 1
R. Rollins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Wright	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	39	85%	19.5 / 23
E. Mobley	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Allen	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. Mitchell	14	44%	7.0 / 16
S. Merrill	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Niang	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Jerome	6	75%	3.0 / 4
I. Okoro	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 1 120.9	MIL 112.9 CLE 114.9 +2.0
Pace	14 99.9 10 100.4	MIL 89.7 CLE 115.6 +25.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 26 13.8	MIL 16.1 CLE 12.5 −3.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 1 57.8%	MIL 58.7% CLE 59.9% +1.2%
TO %	7 12.7% 5 12.4%	MIL 13.9% CLE 9.4% −4.5%
ORB %	30 19.3% 13 25.9%	MIL 17.1% +6.5% CLE 10.6%
FTrt	3 26.8 18 24.1	MIL 17.4 +3.1 CLE 14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 19 63.1%	MIL 50.0% CLE 60.9% +10.9%
STL %	27 7.3% 15 8.1%	MIL 5.9% CLE 9.9% +4.0%
BLK %	20 9.1% 28 7.9%	MIL 11.1% +3.3% CLE 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 1 59.2%	MIL 60.0% +1.4% CLE 58.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 9 66.0%	MIL 65.0% +0.7% CLE 64.3%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 2 47.9%	MIL 38.7% CLE 42.3% +3.6%
3P %	1 38.7% 2 38.3%	MIL 48.6% +2.7% CLE 45.9%
FT %	28 75.0% 17 77.6%	MIL 86.7% +32.9% CLE 53.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 20 30.6%	MIL 23.3% CLE 30.8% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 9 23.7%	MIL 36.0% CLE 28.6% −7.5%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 5 45.7%	MIL 40.7% +0.0% CLE 40.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	CLE
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	27.0	21.0
Points	114	116
Rebounds	49	39
Assists	21	28
Steals	6	10
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	34 (2)
Field Goals	42-86	46-91
At-the-Rim FG	13-20	18-28
Midrange FG	12-31	11-26
2-Point FG	25-51	29-54
3-Point FG	17-35	17-37
Free Throws	13-15	7-13
Fast Break Pts	6	16
2nd Chance Pts	8	12
Points in Paint	38	52
Pts off Turnovers	19	24
Bench Points	37	27
Biggest Lead	8	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg