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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 4, 2024
8:15 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Kings49%116111
17Heat51%117110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 35.2
36
36
26
3
6
0
1
2
1
1
2
5-5
100%
9-16
7-14
56%
51%
1-2
50%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.2
39
35
14
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
56%
1-4
25%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 28.5
38
35
16
16
7
0
1
0
3
3
13
2-2
100%
4-8
6-10
50%
60%
2-4
50%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 24.8
29
19
7
3
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
57%
1-3
33%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.9
37
36
28
6
5
0
2
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
8-15
6-11
53%
54%
3-6
50%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
24
28
12
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
4-7
75%
53%
0-3
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.0
16
16
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
11
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 31.4
10
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 32.8
6
0
0-0
53%
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.4
2
0
0-0
50%
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.3
1
0
0-0
52%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
1
0
0-0
44%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 26.2
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.3
Devin Carter
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.1
36
32
27
2
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
8-11
73%
8-17
5-9
47%
53%
1-2
50%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.4
12
23
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
36
31
16
9
5
3
1
4
0
4
5
2-5
40%
7-14
6-10
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.8
34
26
27
6
3
0
1
1
4
0
6
4-5
80%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
5-11
45%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.6
30
31
10
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
4-7
-
50%
3-6
50%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.7
25
8
13
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
3-5
60%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
21
12
0
2
1
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
14
9
9
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
58%
3-3
100%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.3
13
18
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.3
12
14
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
64%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
8
7
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-2
0%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.8
6
0
0-1
52%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.5
2
0
0-0
54%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.2
2
0
0-0
50%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.