Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Hornets	22%	106	93	95.9	97	103.2
	12	Timberwolves	78%	117	114	116.3	98	92.4

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+14

-14

MIN

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.96 47.9%

MIN

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	25.8	8	67%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	25.0	10	36%	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	24.6	19	53%	2	2	1	0	5	3	0	2	5-7	71%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 39	16.1	5	63%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	22.1	5	25%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Grant Williams #2 · C · 6'7" 236 · 26	21.8	5	63%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	21.0	10	56%	4	6	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	19.0	6	60%	3	1	2	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	11.1	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	10.2	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	8.4	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jared Rhoden #27 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	6.9	4	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	6.9	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Tendon Strain
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	38	19	10	1	14	22	9	29	13-16	81%	25-46	54%	10-42	24%

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26 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	25.8	8	67%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	25.0	10	36%	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	24.6	19	53%	2	2	1	0	5	3	0	2	5-7	71%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 39	16.1	5	63%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	22.1	5	25%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Grant Williams #2 · C · 6'7" 236 · 26	21.8	5	63%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	21.0	10	56%	4	6	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	19.0	6	60%	3	1	2	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	11.1	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	10.2	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	8.4	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jared Rhoden #27 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	6.9	4	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	6.9	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Tendon Strain
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	38	19	10	1	14	22	9	29	13-16	81%	25-46	54%	10-42	24%

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12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	29.1	21	81%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	25.2	13	50%	4	4	2	0	1	1	3	1	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	23.3	11	69%	5	4	0	1	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	22.4	9	38%	3	0	0	2	0	3	1	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	28.3	14	70%	5	3	2	2	4	4	0	5	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.0	25	89%	9	2	1	1	1	3	2	7	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	5-7	71%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	21.1	6	38%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	8.4	1	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	8.1	4	67%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	6.9	2	50%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #1 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	45	23	7	8	15	19	9	36	18-26	69%	21-41	51%	18-38	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.96 47.9%

MIN

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

64%

MIN

62%

Midrange

CHA

46%

MIN

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

15.0

24%

36%

MIN

27.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

CHA

81%

MIN

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	19	53%	9.5 / 18
M. Bridges	10	36%	5.0 / 14
B. Miller	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Mann	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Green	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Martin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Gibson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Salaün	5	25%	2.5 / 10
G. Williams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Curry	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Rhoden	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Smith	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Diabaté	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Simpson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	25	89%	12.5 / 14
A. Edwards	21	81%	10.5 / 13
D. DiVincenzo	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Randle	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Conley	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. McDaniels	9	38%	4.5 / 12
R. Gobert	8	80%	4.0 / 5
N. Alexander-Walker	6	38%	3.0 / 8
R. Dillingham	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Garza	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Minott	1	50%	0.5 / 1
P. Dozier	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Shannon	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 8 115.7	CHA 95.9 MIN 116.3 +20.5
Pace	23 98.2 25 98.1	CHA 103.2 +10.8 MIN 92.4
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 11 14.8	CHA 13.9 −1.6 MIN 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 10 55.4%	CHA 45.5% MIN 60.8% +15.3%
TO %	28 15.1% 19 13.9%	CHA 12.8% −1.4% MIN 14.2%
ORB %	8 26.5% 14 25.7%	CHA 20.0% MIN 23.7% +3.7%
FTrt	27 22.2 11 24.9	CHA 18.2 MIN 32.9 +14.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 11 63.7%	CHA 54.3% MIN 59.0% +4.7%
STL %	24 7.5% 16 8.1%	CHA 10.3% +3.2% MIN 7.1%
BLK %	18 9.2% 14 9.5%	CHA 2.4% MIN 17.4% +15.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 11 57.3%	CHA 47.9% MIN 60.6% +12.7%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 12 64.8%	CHA 63.6% +1.5% MIN 62.1%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 27 39.5%	CHA 45.8% +20.8% MIN 25.0%
3P %	28 33.9% 4 37.7%	CHA 23.8% MIN 47.4% +23.6%
FT %	14 78.3% 10 78.9%	CHA 81.3% +12.1% MIN 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 12 32.2%	CHA 25.0% MIN 36.7% +11.7%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 6 22.3%	CHA 27.3% MIN 15.2% −12.1%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 6 45.5%	CHA 47.7% MIN 48.1% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	MIN
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	93	114
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	19	23
Steals	10	7
Blocks	1	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	36 (4)
Field Goals	35-88	39-79
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	18-29
Midrange FG	11-24	3-12
2-Point FG	25-46	21-41
3-Point FG	10-42	18-38
Free Throws	13-16	18-26
Fast Break Pts	24	8
2nd Chance Pts	14	9
Points in Paint	40	40
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	41	52
Biggest Lead	7	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg