Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Raptors	22%	110	119	115.5	103	98.3
	11	Nuggets	78%	122	121	118.6	102	107.1

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+23

-13

113

DEN

+17

-17

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.05 52.7%

DEN

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	35.7	26	62%	2	5	3	2	4	0	0	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	4-9	44%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	32.9	16	67%	5	4	2	0	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	32.6	16	35%	6	10	1	0	5	4	1	5	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	2-11	18%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	32.5	24	63%	11	3	3	0	2	6	6	5	2-4	50%	11-18	61%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	30.4	13	59%	1	8	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%

Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	20.6	4	40%	6	2	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	17.4	8	100%	2	3	1	0	0	4	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	13.8	2	33%	4	1	1	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23	12.5	5	42%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	8.7	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	3.0	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	INACTIVE
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopic Surgical Procedure
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	53%	41	38	12	3	13	27	14	27	12-18	67%	34-64	53%	13-39	33%

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	35.7	26	62%	2	5	3	2	4	0	0	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	4-9	44%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	32.9	16	67%	5	4	2	0	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	32.6	16	35%	6	10	1	0	5	4	1	5	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	2-11	18%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	32.5	24	63%	11	3	3	0	2	6	6	5	2-4	50%	11-18	61%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	30.4	13	59%	1	8	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%

Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	20.6	4	40%	6	2	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	17.4	8	100%	2	3	1	0	0	4	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	13.8	2	33%	4	1	1	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23	12.5	5	42%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	8.7	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	3.0	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	INACTIVE
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopic Surgical Procedure
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	53%	41	38	12	3	13	27	14	27	12-18	67%	34-64	53%	13-39	33%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	38.2	28	54%	14	13	1	2	7	2	5	9	7-8	88%	9-17	53%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	36.3	19	56%	9	3	1	1	2	2	4	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	3-10	30%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.0	17	65%	4	0	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	34.0	21	70%	6	6	1	1	4	4	1	5	8-10	80%	5-5	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	30.6	16	73%	3	1	2	2	1	5	1	2	7-9	78%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	25.6	13	59%	2	3	2	1	1	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	15.1	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	13.8	2	33%	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	6.2	2	100%	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion Protocol
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	44	29	9	10	17	21	14	30	29-38	76%	31-52	60%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.05 52.7%

DEN

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

53%

DEN

60%

Midrange

TOR

53%

DEN

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

19.5

33%

50%

DEN

15.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

TOR

67%

DEN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dick	26	62%	13.0 / 21
J. Poeltl	24	63%	12.0 / 19
O. Agbaji	16	67%	8.0 / 12
R. Barrett	16	35%	8.0 / 23
D. Mitchell	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Shead	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Battle	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Mogbo	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Walter	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Boucher	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Fernando	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	28	54%	14.0 / 26
R. Westbrook	21	70%	10.5 / 15
M. Porter	19	56%	9.5 / 17
C. Braun	17	65%	8.5 / 13
P. Watson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Strawther	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Gordon	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 4 118.9	TOR 115.5 DEN 118.6 +3.1
Pace	9 100.6 8 100.6	TOR 98.3 DEN 107.1 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 22 14.2	TOR 14.7 DEN 13.4 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 2 57.3%	TOR 51.9% DEN 55.4% +3.5%
TO %	26 14.5% 15 13.3%	TOR 11.2% −3.4% DEN 14.6%
ORB %	4 27.3% 7 26.7%	TOR 31.8% DEN 34.1% +2.3%
FTrt	25 23.2 5 25.9	TOR 17.5 DEN 45.8 +28.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 4 68.3%	TOR 80.9% +10.2% DEN 70.7%
STL %	18 8.0% 19 7.9%	TOR 11.7% +2.9% DEN 8.8%
BLK %	27 8.4% 21 9.0%	TOR 5.8% DEN 15.6% +9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 2 58.8%	TOR 52.7% DEN 59.3% +6.6%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 7 66.2%	TOR 53.3% DEN 59.5% +6.2%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 8 45.5%	TOR 52.6% DEN 60.0% +7.4%
3P %	23 34.8% 5 37.6%	TOR 33.3% +1.0% DEN 32.3%
FT %	29 74.8% 23 77.0%	TOR 66.7% DEN 76.3% +9.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 1 38.3%	TOR 43.7% DEN 50.6% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 13 26.1%	TOR 18.4% DEN 12.0% −6.4%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 30 35.6%	TOR 37.9% +0.5% DEN 37.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	119	121
Rebounds	41	44
Assists	38	29
Steals	12	9
Blocks	3	10
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	27	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (9)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	30 (6)
Field Goals	47-103	41-83
At-the-Rim FG	24-45	25-42
Midrange FG	10-19	6-10
2-Point FG	34-64	31-52
3-Point FG	13-39	10-31
Free Throws	12-18	29-38
Fast Break Pts	20	17
2nd Chance Pts	18	22
Points in Paint	60	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	19
Bench Points	24	33
Biggest Lead	14	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg