Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 8, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Heat	37%	112	122	118.4	103	107.2
	12	Nuggets	63%	116	135	131.1	103	99.1

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+13

-11

105

DEN

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.16 58.1%

DEN

1.45 72.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	40.2	24	57%	7	11	0	0	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	38.7	20	48%	9	4	2	0	3	3	2	7	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	1-5	20%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	34.8	15	58%	3	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	20.0	11	69%	4	2	3	0	1	0	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	6.7	2	50%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	35.1	15	75%	0	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	21.1	10	63%	2	3	4	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	20.3	20	83%	3	3	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	14.0	5	83%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	7.0	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	INACTIVE
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	58%	33	33	11	1	11	19	9	24	10-13	77%	26-51	51%	20-43	47%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	40.2	24	57%	7	11	0	0	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	38.7	20	48%	9	4	2	0	3	3	2	7	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	1-5	20%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	34.8	15	58%	3	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	20.0	11	69%	4	2	3	0	1	0	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	6.7	2	50%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	35.1	15	75%	0	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	21.1	10	63%	2	3	4	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	20.3	20	83%	3	3	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	14.0	5	83%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	7.0	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	INACTIVE
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	58%	33	33	11	1	11	19	9	24	10-13	77%	26-51	51%	20-43	47%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	40.0	30	94%	11	14	2	0	5	2	2	9	7-7	100%	10-12	83%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	36.4	21	70%	5	4	2	1	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-10	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.2	21	88%	6	2	0	1	1	1	1	5	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	3-4	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	34.9	28	70%	4	6	0	0	4	0	0	4	6-6	100%	5-7	71%	4-10	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	32.9	16	73%	5	1	1	1	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-3	67%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	24.1	6	38%	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	24.0	6	60%	4	10	0	1	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	9.3	7	117%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	73%	39	37	5	5	17	13	6	33	17-19	89%	32-46	70%	18-35	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.16 58.1%

DEN

1.45 72.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

64%

DEN

83%

Midrange

MIA

35%

DEN

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

30.0

47%

70%

DEN

27.0

51%

77%

Free Throws

MIA

77%

DEN

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	24	57%	12.0 / 21
B. Adebayo	20	48%	10.0 / 21
D. Robinson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
T. Rozier	15	58%	7.5 / 13
H. Highsmith	15	75%	7.5 / 10
N. Jović	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Richardson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
P. Larsson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Butler	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Ware	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	30	94%	15.0 / 16
J. Murray	28	70%	14.0 / 20
M. Porter	21	70%	10.5 / 15
C. Braun	21	88%	10.5 / 12
P. Watson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
H. Tyson	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Strawther	6	38%	3.0 / 8
R. Westbrook	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 112.4 4 118.9	MIA 118.4 DEN 131.1 +12.6
Pace	27 97.2 8 100.6	MIA 107.2 +8.1 DEN 99.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.9 22 14.2	MIA 13.4 −1.1 DEN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.4% 2 57.3%	MIA 59.6% DEN 72.8% +13.2%
TO %	8 12.8% 15 13.3%	MIA 12.3% −4.5% DEN 16.8%
ORB %	27 22.3% 7 26.7%	MIA 21.4% +1.4% DEN 20.0%
FTrt	24 23.2 5 25.9	MIA 13.8 DEN 23.5 +9.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 65.3% 4 68.3%	MIA 71.7% DEN 74.0% +2.3%
STL %	12 8.3% 19 7.9%	MIA 10.7% +5.8% DEN 4.9%
BLK %	30 7.6% 21 9.0%	MIA 2.2% DEN 9.8% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.0% 2 58.8%	MIA 58.1% DEN 72.6% +14.5%
Rim FG%	22 62.5% 7 66.2%	MIA 64.3% DEN 82.8% +18.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.4% 8 45.5%	MIA 34.8% DEN 47.1% +12.3%
3P %	11 36.7% 5 37.6%	MIA 46.5% DEN 51.4% +4.9%
FT %	8 79.1% 23 77.0%	MIA 76.9% DEN 89.5% +12.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.6% 1 38.3%	MIA 29.8% DEN 35.8% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	20 27.5% 13 26.1%	MIA 24.5% DEN 21.0% −3.5%
3P Att. %	12 42.9% 30 35.6%	MIA 45.7% +2.5% DEN 43.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	122	135
Rebounds	33	39
Assists	33	37
Steals	11	5
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (3)	17 (1)
Fouls	19	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	33 (3)
Field Goals	46-94	50-81
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	24-29
Midrange FG	8-23	8-17
2-Point FG	26-51	32-46
3-Point FG	20-43	18-35
Free Throws	10-13	17-19
Fast Break Pts	26	25
2nd Chance Pts	5	6
Points in Paint	50	58
Pts off Turnovers	29	23
Bench Points	50	19
Biggest Lead	0	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg