Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	25%	105	94	100.0	94	97.8
	15	Magic	75%	116	121	128.7	94	90.5

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+10

-16

ORL

+19

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.4%

ORL

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	36.9	20	91%	6	6	1	3	3	3	3	3	1-1	100%	8-8	100%	1-3	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	34.5	15	75%	7	1	1	0	2	6	0	7	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	31.2	4	40%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	30.9	24	55%	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	4	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	3-10	30%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	24.9	11	46%	3	4	1	2	1	3	1	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	24.5	2	14%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	18.3	8	100%	3	1	0	1	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	11.1	1	13%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	9.4	4	67%	1	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	4-6	67%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	8.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	4.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	4.8	1	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Thumb Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	37	20	4	7	16	25	7	30	18-25	72%	23-39	59%	10-33	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	36.9	20	91%	6	6	1	3	3	3	3	3	1-1	100%	8-8	100%	1-3	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	34.5	15	75%	7	1	1	0	2	6	0	7	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	31.2	4	40%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	30.9	24	55%	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	4	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	3-10	30%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	24.9	11	46%	3	4	1	2	1	3	1	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	24.5	2	14%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	18.3	8	100%	3	1	0	1	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	11.1	1	13%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	9.4	4	67%	1	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	4-6	67%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	8.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	4.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	4.8	1	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Thumb Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	37	20	4	7	16	25	7	30	18-25	72%	23-39	59%	10-33	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 23	31.6	11	55%	4	2	2	0	2	5	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Franz Wagner #22 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 23	28.6	23	55%	4	7	1	0	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	8-15	53%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	28.0	8	50%	5	3	0	1	1	3	1	4	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	21.6	10	83%	12	3	0	1	0	1	6	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	18.2	5	31%	3	2	0	0	4	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%

Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	22.6	16	53%	6	2	1	0	0	2	2	4	4-7	57%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.3	12	86%	2	4	0	2	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	18.9	5	36%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	18.7	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	15.3	16	114%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	8-8	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	5.5	9	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-3	100%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	4.8	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Paolo Banchero #5 · SF · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Torn
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	44	25	6	5	11	21	15	29	22-25	88%	24-43	56%	17-48	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.4%

ORL

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

81%

ORL

71%

Midrange

WAS

33%

ORL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

30%

45%

ORL

25.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

WAS

72%

ORL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	24	55%	12.0 / 22
B. Coulibaly	20	91%	10.0 / 11
K. George	15	75%	7.5 / 10
A. Sarr	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Valančiūnas	8	100%	4.0 / 4
B. Carrington	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Butler	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Kispert	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Bagley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Davis	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Baldwin	1	13%	0.5 / 4
A. Gill	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	23	55%	11.5 / 21
M. Wagner	16	53%	8.0 / 15
C. Anthony	16	114%	8.0 / 7
A. Black	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. da Silva	11	55%	5.5 / 10
G. Bitadze	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Howard	9	150%	4.5 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	50%	4.0 / 8
G. Harris	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Suggs	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Isaac	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Joseph	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Houstan	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 27 109.1	WAS 100.0 ORL 128.7 +28.7
Pace	4 101.8 30 96.4	WAS 97.8 +7.3 ORL 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 1 15.5	WAS 14.7 −1.2 ORL 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 29 51.0%	WAS 52.8% ORL 54.4% +1.6%
TO %	27 14.6% 18 13.5%	WAS 17.0% ORL 10.5% −6.5%
ORB %	25 22.7% 17 25.3%	WAS 19.4% ORL 33.3% +13.9%
FTrt	26 22.9 2 26.9	WAS 34.7 +7.2 ORL 27.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 25 60.3%	WAS 60.6% ORL 61.0% +0.4%
STL %	25 7.4% 6 9.2%	WAS 4.3% ORL 6.4% +2.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 1 11.9%	WAS 16.3% +3.5% ORL 12.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 28 53.3%	WAS 53.4% ORL 59.3% +5.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 19 63.6%	WAS 81.0% +9.6% ORL 71.4%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 22 41.4%	WAS 33.3% +6.6% ORL 26.7%
3P %	29 33.5% 30 31.8%	WAS 30.3% ORL 35.4% +5.1%
FT %	16 77.8% 19 77.5%	WAS 72.0% ORL 88.0% +16.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 15 31.5%	WAS 29.2% ORL 30.8% +1.6%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 19 27.4%	WAS 25.0% ORL 16.5% −8.5%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 18 41.1%	WAS 45.8% ORL 52.7% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	WAS	ORL
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	94	121
Rebounds	37	44
Assists	20	25
Steals	4	6
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	25	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	29 (3)
Field Goals	33-72	41-91
At-the-Rim FG	17-21	20-28
Midrange FG	6-18	4-15
2-Point FG	23-39	24-43
3-Point FG	10-33	17-48
Free Throws	18-25	22-25
Fast Break Pts	7	10
2nd Chance Pts	9	22
Points in Paint	44	44
Pts off Turnovers	12	26
Bench Points	20	64
Biggest Lead	3	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg