Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Grizzlies	62%	114	134	120.7	111	103.5
	29	Blazers	38%	110	89	80.9	110	118.6

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-20

105

POR

+23

-23

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.28 63.8%

POR

0.81 40.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Santi Aldama #7 · SF · 7'0" 215 · 24	29.9	16	73%	6	6	2	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 21	23.8	16	73%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	23.6	20	67%	7	2	3	0	4	1	0	7	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	20.7	17	85%	4	2	0	1	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	16.0	9	64%	6	1	1	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%

Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 22	24.4	12	75%	6	2	4	1	6	4	3	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.5	18	82%	4	2	3	3	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	23.3	4	40%	6	1	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	20.3	3	30%	3	11	2	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	19.7	12	67%	2	0	0	6	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	8.0	3	38%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial; Stress Reaction
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Subluxation and Pelvic Muscle Strains
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	64%	51	32	15	13	20	17	10	41	24-28	86%	31-42	74%	16-43	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Santi Aldama #7 · SF · 7'0" 215 · 24	29.9	16	73%	6	6	2	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 21	23.8	16	73%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	23.6	20	67%	7	2	3	0	4	1	0	7	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	20.7	17	85%	4	2	0	1	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	16.0	9	64%	6	1	1	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%

Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 22	24.4	12	75%	6	2	4	1	6	4	3	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.5	18	82%	4	2	3	3	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	23.3	4	40%	6	1	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	20.3	3	30%	3	11	2	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	19.7	12	67%	2	0	0	6	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	8.0	3	38%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial; Stress Reaction
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Subluxation and Pelvic Muscle Strains
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	64%	51	32	15	13	20	17	10	41	24-28	86%	31-42	74%	16-43	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	28.1	20	59%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	4-6	67%	5-7	71%	2-8	25%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	25.6	9	64%	4	0	1	0	3	2	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	20.6	6	60%	8	1	1	0	4	3	4	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	19.3	4	22%	1	1	0	0	4	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	19.3	7	32%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	26.3	5	36%	1	8	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	20.2	13	33%	3	2	2	0	1	2	0	3	5-6	83%	4-13	31%	0-5	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	16.9	13	81%	3	0	1	1	2	3	1	2	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	15.3	2	25%	5	0	0	0	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	13.4	0	0%	2	4	0	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	12.0	2	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	11.4	4	50%	5	0	0	1	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	7.0	2	33%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	4.5	2	17%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	41%	43	18	9	3	23	21	16	27	17-21	81%	30-58	52%	4-42	10%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	POR
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.28 63.8%

POR

0.81 40.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

75%

POR

57%

Midrange

MEM

72%

POR

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

24.0

37%

56%

POR

6.0

10%

14%

Free Throws

MEM

86%

POR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. LaRavia	18	82%	9.0 / 11
S. Pippen	17	85%	8.5 / 10
S. Aldama	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Wells	16	73%	8.0 / 11
Z. Edey	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Huff	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Clarke	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Konchar	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Castleton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Kennard	3	30%	1.5 / 5
Y. Kawamura	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Banton	13	33%	6.5 / 20
D. Clingan	13	81%	6.5 / 8
T. Camara	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Sharpe	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. Ayton	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Henderson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Simons	4	22%	2.0 / 9
R. Williams	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Rupert	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Murray	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Walker	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Reath	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Avdija	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 23 110.9	MEM 120.7 +39.8 POR 80.9
Pace	1 103.7 16 99.5	MEM 103.5 POR 118.6 +15.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 19 14.3	MEM 13.9 POR 12.1 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 25 52.1%	MEM 64.7% +28.7% POR 36.0%
TO %	25 14.4% 29 15.1%	MEM 19.1% POR 18.0% −1.1%
ORB %	3 28.7% 2 29.2%	MEM 27.0% POR 28.1% +1.1%
FTrt	10 24.9 13 24.6	MEM 32.9 +11.9 POR 21.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 28 58.7%	MEM 68.1% +15.2% POR 52.9%
STL %	7 8.5% 13 8.2%	MEM 13.5% +5.3% POR 8.2%
BLK %	3 10.8% 9 10.0%	MEM 22.4% +15.3% POR 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 23 54.1%	MEM 63.8% +23.3% POR 40.5%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 27 60.7%	MEM 75.0% +17.9% POR 57.1%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 28 39.1%	MEM 72.2% +34.7% POR 37.5%
3P %	12 36.7% 26 34.2%	MEM 37.2% +27.7% POR 9.5%
FT %	12 78.6% 26 76.2%	MEM 85.7% +4.7% POR 81.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 2 36.6%	MEM 28.2% POR 42.0% +13.8%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 3 21.6%	MEM 21.2% POR 16.0% −5.2%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 17 41.8%	MEM 50.6% +8.6% POR 42.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	POR
Possessions	111	110
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	134	89
Rebounds	51	43
Assists	32	18
Steals	15	9
Blocks	13	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (3)	23 (1)
Fouls	17	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	16 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	27 (0)
Field Goals	47-85	34-100
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	24-42
Midrange FG	13-18	6-16
2-Point FG	31-42	30-58
3-Point FG	16-43	4-42
Free Throws	24-28	17-21
Fast Break Pts	19	21
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	29	18
Bench Points	56	43
Biggest Lead	45	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg