Final Win Prob. pScore
1446%112
110
1354%113
119
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
118.39396.7
IND logo Pacers
125.39593.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
119
Q4 - 0:09.1PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound110
119
Q4 - 0:12.0HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot110
119
Q4 - 0:18.7PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)110
119
Q4 - 0:26.3PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound110
117
Q4 - 0:29.5HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Duncan Robinson's two point pullup jump shot110
117
Q4 - 0:33.7HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound110
117
Q4 - 0:37.3HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot110
117
Q4 - 0:43.1PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup110
117
Q4 - 0:50.3Pacers 60 second timeout110
115
Q4 - 0:50.0Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)110
115
Q4 - 0:50.0Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)110
115
Q4 - 0:50.3HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
115
Q4 - 0:50.3HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
115
Q4 - 0:50.3PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)108
115
Q4 - 0:51.3Heat 60 second timeout108
115
Q4 - 0:52.7PacersMyles Turner makes three point stepback jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)108
115
Q4 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot108
112
Q4 - 1:22PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)105
112
Q4 - 1:45HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot105
110
Q4 - 1:50PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving floating bank jump shot102
110
Q4 - 2:02PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound102
108
Q4 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup102
108
Q4 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound102
108
Q4 - 2:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup102
108
Q4 - 2:26PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds step)102
108
Q4 - 2:30PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound102
108
Q4 - 2:30PacersMyles Turner misses two point tip layup102
108
Q4 - 2:30PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound102
108
Q4 - 2:34PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot102
108
Q4 - 2:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
108
Q4 - 2:50HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2101
108
Q4 - 2:50PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)101
108
Q4 - 2:58PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)101
108
Q4 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)101
105
Q4 - 3:34PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 299
105
Q4 - 3:34PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 299
104
Q4 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)99
103
Q4 - 3:50HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)99
103
Q4 - 3:50PacersPacers defensive rebound99
103
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot99
103
Q4 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
103
Q4 - 4:12PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot99
103
Q4 - 4:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 299
103
Q4 - 4:22Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)98
103
Q4 - 4:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 298
103
Q4 - 4:22PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)97
103
Q4 - 4:38PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point running jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)97
103
Q4 - 4:43PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound97
100
Q4 - 4:46HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot97
100
Q4 - 5:10PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)97
100
Q4 - 5:11PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound97
97
Q4 - 5:15PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot97
97
Q4 - 5:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot97
97
Q4 - 5:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)94
97
Q4 - 5:54HeatHeat defensive rebound94
97
Q4 - 5:56PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving floating jump shot94
97
Q4 - 6:20HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 294
97
Q4 - 6:20HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 293
97
Q4 - 6:20PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)92
97
Q4 - 6:20HeatHeat defensive rebound92
97
Q4 - 6:22PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot92
97
Q4 - 6:47Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)92
97
Q4 - 6:47Pacers 60 second timeout92
97
Q4 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)92
97
Q4 - 7:05PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving finger roll layup92
97
Q4 - 7:26Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)92
95
Q4 - 7:26Pacers 60 second timeout92
95
Q4 - 7:31HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)92
95
Q4 - 7:42PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 289
95
Q4 - 7:42PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 289
94
Q4 - 7:42HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)89
93
Q4 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 289
93
Q4 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 288
93
Q4 - 8:05PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
93
Q4 - 8:22PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 287
93
Q4 - 8:22PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 287
92
Q4 - 8:22HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)87
91
Q4 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)87
91
Q4 - 8:49PacersObi Toppin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)84
91
Q4 - 8:53PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound84
89
Q4 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot84
89
Q4 - 9:13Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)84
89
Q4 - 9:13PacersPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)84
89
Q4 - 9:13PacersPascal Siakam offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)84
89
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 384
89
Q4 - 9:29Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)83
89
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 383
89
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 382
89
Q4 - 9:29PacersQuenton Jackson shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)81
89
Q4 - 9:38HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound81
89
Q4 - 9:40PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup81
89
Q4 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot81
89
Q4 - 10:09PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)78
89
Q4 - 10:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)78
87
Q4 - 10:50PacersQuenton Jackson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)75
87
Q4 - 10:53Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)75
87
Q4 - 10:53PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)75
87
Q4 - 11:14PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Obi Toppin assists)75
87
Q4 - 11:32PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound75
85
Q4 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
85
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
85
Q3 - 0:01.8PacersJarace Walker turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)75
85
Q3 - 0:22.5HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
85
Q3 - 0:29.0Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)72
85
Q3 - 0:29.2Heat 60 second timeout72
85
Q3 - 0:36.3PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup72
85
Q3 - 0:36.8PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 0:39.5PacersObi Toppin misses three point running jump shot72
83
Q3 - 0:44.7PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 0:47.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot72
83
Q3 - 0:56.6Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
83
Q3 - 0:56.6HeatHeat offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 0:56.8HeatJarace Walker blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup72
83
Q3 - 1:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 1:04PacersJarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 272
83
Q3 - 1:04Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)72
83
Q3 - 1:04PacersJarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 272
83
Q3 - 1:04HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jarace Walker draws the foul)72
82
Q3 - 1:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup72
82
Q3 - 1:37PacersObi Toppin makes two point cutting layup (Myles Turner assists)70
82
Q3 - 1:48Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Jarace Walker)70
80
Q3 - 1:48Pacers 60 second timeout70
80
Q3 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)70
80
Q3 - 1:59Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation67
80
Q3 - 1:59PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (T.J. McConnell assists)67
80
Q3 - 2:10PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound67
78
Q3 - 2:12PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot67
78
Q3 - 2:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)67
78
Q3 - 2:45PacersJarace Walker turnover (out of bounds step)65
78
Q3 - 3:07HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)65
78
Q3 - 3:17PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 262
78
Q3 - 3:17PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 262
77
Q3 - 3:17HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)62
76
Q3 - 3:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)62
76
Q3 - 3:50Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Jarace Walker)60
76
Q3 - 3:50Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson)60
76
Q3 - 3:50Heat 60 second timeout60
76
Q3 - 3:50PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving layup60
76
Q3 - 4:00PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound60
74
Q3 - 4:03HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot60
74
Q3 - 4:18PacersJarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)60
74
Q3 - 4:27PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound60
71
Q3 - 4:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot60
71
Q3 - 4:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound60
71
Q3 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot60
71
Q3 - 4:48HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound60
71
Q3 - 4:51PacersJarace Walker misses three point jump shot60
71
Q3 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 160
71
Q3 - 4:57Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker)59
71
Q3 - 4:57PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)59
71
Q3 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)59
71
Q3 - 5:06Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker)56
71
Q3 - 5:06PacersObi Toppin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)56
71
Q3 - 5:08PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound56
71
Q3 - 5:12HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot56
71
Q3 - 5:30PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 256
71
Q3 - 5:30Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)56
70
Q3 - 5:30Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)56
70
Q3 - 5:30PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 256
70
Q3 - 5:30HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)56
69
Q3 - 5:40PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound56
69
Q3 - 5:43HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot56
69
Q3 - 5:59PacersPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)56
69
Q3 - 6:10PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound56
67
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
67
Q3 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
67
Q3 - 6:38PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot56
67
Q3 - 6:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)56
67
Q3 - 6:58PacersPacers defensive rebound56
67
Q3 - 6:58HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot56
67
Q3 - 7:19Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)56
67
Q3 - 7:19Heat 60 second timeout56
67
Q3 - 7:20PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)56
67
Q3 - 7:27PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound56
64
Q3 - 7:29HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot56
64
Q3 - 7:58PacersMyles Turner makes two point reverse layup (Pascal Siakam assists)56
64
Q3 - 8:11HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot56
62
Q3 - 8:18HeatKevin Love defensive rebound54
62
Q3 - 8:20PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot54
62
Q3 - 8:26HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds lost ball)54
62
Q3 - 8:26HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound54
62
Q3 - 8:27HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup54
62
Q3 - 8:32PacersMyles Turner makes two point tip layup54
62
Q3 - 8:32PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:38PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running jump shot54
60
Q3 - 8:42PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup54
60
Q3 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:45HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup54
60
Q3 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
60
Q3 - 8:54HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot54
60
Q3 - 9:00PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)54
60
Q3 - 9:24PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)54
60
Q3 - 9:27HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)54
57
Q3 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 154
57
Q3 - 9:49PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)53
57
Q3 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot53
57
Q3 - 10:09PacersMyles Turner makes two point running finger roll layup51
57
Q3 - 10:13PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound51
55
Q3 - 10:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot51
55
Q3 - 10:38PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 151
55
Q3 - 10:38HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)51
54
Q3 - 10:38PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)51
54
Q3 - 10:49HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup51
52
Q3 - 10:54HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound49
52
Q3 - 10:56PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating jump shot49
52
Q3 - 11:07PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound49
52
Q3 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot49
52
Q3 - 11:34HeatKevin Love defensive rebound49
52
Q3 - 11:38PacersMyles Turner misses two point jump shot49
52
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo)49
52
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
52
Q2 - 0:00.6PacersPacers offensive rebound49
52
Q2 - 0:00.6PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot49
52
Q2 - 0:02.7Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson)49
52
Q2 - 0:02.7HeatBam Adebayo turnover (discontinue dribble)49
52
Q2 - 0:04.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
52
Q2 - 0:07.5PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating jump shot49
52
Q2 - 0:29.7HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)49
52
Q2 - 0:42.6HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
52
Q2 - 0:45.9PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot46
52
Q2 - 0:52.0PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound46
52
Q2 - 0:54.3PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
52
Q2 - 1:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
52
Q2 - 1:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
52
Q2 - 1:48PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)44
52
Q2 - 1:48PacersPacers offensive rebound44
52
Q2 - 1:49PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot44
52
Q2 - 2:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)44
52
Q2 - 2:21PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)42
52
Q2 - 2:30PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound42
52
Q2 - 2:33HeatBen Sheppard blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup42
52
Q2 - 2:50PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running layup42
52
Q2 - 2:55HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Bennedict Mathurin steals)42
50
Q2 - 3:10PacersTyrese Haliburton makes technical free throw 1 of 142
50
Q2 - 3:10HeatDuncan Robinson technical foul42
49
Q2 - 3:15PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup42
49
Q2 - 3:17HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Pascal Siakam steals)42
47
Q2 - 3:27Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)42
47
Q2 - 3:27Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)42
47
Q2 - 3:27Heat 60 second timeout42
47
Q2 - 3:37PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running finger roll layup42
47
Q2 - 3:41PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound42
45
Q2 - 3:41HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup42
45
Q2 - 3:41HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound42
45
Q2 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot42
45
Q2 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound42
45
Q2 - 3:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot42
45
Q2 - 3:53HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound42
45
Q2 - 3:55PacersPascal Siakam misses two point layup42
45
Q2 - 4:07HeatTerry Rozier makes two point putback layup42
45
Q2 - 4:07HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound40
45
Q2 - 4:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot40
45
Q2 - 4:12HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound40
45
Q2 - 4:15HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving finger roll layup40
45
Q2 - 4:33PacersObi Toppin makes two point layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)40
45
Q2 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)40
43
Q2 - 5:05Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)38
43
Q2 - 5:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
43
Q2 - 5:05HeatHeat defensive rebound38
43
Q2 - 5:07PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot38
43
Q2 - 5:23PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound38
43
Q2 - 5:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot38
43
Q2 - 5:39PacersPascal Siakam makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)38
43
Q2 - 5:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)38
41
Q2 - 6:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)35
41
Q2 - 6:05HeatHeat defensive rebound35
41
Q2 - 6:07PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point fadeaway bank jump shot35
41
Q2 - 6:29HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 235
41
Q2 - 6:29Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)34
41
Q2 - 6:29HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 234
41
Q2 - 6:29PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)33
41
Q2 - 6:37HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound33
41
Q2 - 6:38PacersJarace Walker misses two point tip layup33
41
Q2 - 6:38PacersJarace Walker offensive rebound33
41
Q2 - 6:41PacersJarace Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot33
41
Q2 - 6:47PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound33
41
Q2 - 6:50HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot33
41
Q2 - 6:51Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson)33
41
Q2 - 6:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
41
Q2 - 6:53HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound33
41
Q2 - 6:59PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot33
41
Q2 - 7:15HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)33
41
Q2 - 7:20HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - 7:23PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot30
41
Q2 - 7:36PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup30
41
Q2 - 7:52PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot30
41
Q2 - 8:05PacersQuenton Jackson defensive rebound30
38
Q2 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup30
38
Q2 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound30
38
Q2 - 8:08HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup30
38
Q2 - 8:10Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)30
38
Q2 - 8:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)30
38
Q2 - 8:23Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)30
38
Q2 - 8:23Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)30
38
Q2 - 8:23Heat 60 second timeout30
38
Q2 - 8:26PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)30
38
Q2 - 8:31PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound30
35
Q2 - 8:35HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup30
35
Q2 - 8:45PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 130
35
Q2 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)30
34
Q2 - 8:45Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation30
34
Q2 - 8:45PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)30
34
Q2 - 8:47Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)30
32
Q2 - 8:47Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)30
32
Q2 - 8:47PacersJarace Walker misses technical free throw 1 of 130
32
Q2 - 8:47Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)30
32
Q2 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot30
32
Q2 - 9:22PacersMyles Turner makes two point running dunk (Jarace Walker assists)28
32
Q2 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jarace Walker steals)28
30
Q2 - 9:32Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
30
Q2 - 9:32HeatHeat defensive rebound28
30
Q2 - 9:33PacersJarace Walker misses two point driving layup28
30
Q2 - 9:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving reverse layup28
30
Q2 - 9:56Myles Turner kicked ball violation26
30
Q2 - 10:13PacersBen Sheppard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)26
30
Q2 - 10:21Pacers 60 second timeout26
30
Q2 - 10:23HeatJosh Richardson makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)26
30
Q2 - 10:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound23
30
Q2 - 10:29PacersJarace Walker misses three point stepback jump shot23
30
Q2 - 10:51HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)23
30
Q2 - 10:51HeatHeat offensive rebound23
30
Q2 - 10:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
30
Q2 - 11:16PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)23
30
Q2 - 11:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)23
28
Q2 - 11:42PacersJarace Walker turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)20
28
Q2 - 11:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
28
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
28
Q1 - 0:00.7PacersPacers offensive rebound20
28
Q1 - 0:00.7PacersJosh Richardson blocks T.J. McConnell's two point fadeaway jump shot20
28
Q1 - 0:08.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (T.J. McConnell steals)20
28
Q1 - 0:11.0PacersPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)20
28
Q1 - 0:29.2PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound20
28
Q1 - 0:31.5HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot20
28
Q1 - 0:44.0PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)20
28
Q1 - 0:58.5HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot20
25
Q1 - 1:11PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
25
Q1 - 1:23HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)17
25
Q1 - 1:40PacersPascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
25
Q1 - 1:51PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound15
23
Q1 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
23
Q1 - 2:15PacersPascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
23
Q1 - 2:28PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound15
21
Q1 - 2:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot15
21
Q1 - 2:45HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound15
21
Q1 - 2:48PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
21
Q1 - 2:58HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)15
21
Q1 - 3:16Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)15
21
Q1 - 3:16Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson)15
21
Q1 - 3:16Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)15
21
Q1 - 3:16Pacers 60 second timeout15
21
Q1 - 3:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)15
21
Q1 - 3:22HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound15
21
Q1 - 3:22PacersObi Toppin misses two point tip layup15
21
Q1 - 3:22PacersObi Toppin offensive rebound15
21
Q1 - 3:25PacersObi Toppin misses two point layup15
21
Q1 - 3:34PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound15
21
Q1 - 3:35HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot15
21
Q1 - 3:58PacersJarace Walker makes two point cutting dunk (Obi Toppin assists)15
21
Q1 - 4:16HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot15
19
Q1 - 4:29PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 213
19
Q1 - 4:29Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker)13
18
Q1 - 4:29PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 213
18
Q1 - 4:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)13
17
Q1 - 4:43PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound13
17
Q1 - 4:45HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot13
17
Q1 - 4:54PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)13
17
Q1 - 4:59Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)13
17
Q1 - 4:59Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)13
17
Q1 - 4:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)13
17
Q1 - 5:17Stoppage (Other)13
17
Q1 - 5:19PacersObi Toppin makes two point running dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)13
17
Q1 - 5:23PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound13
15
Q1 - 5:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup13
15
Q1 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound13
15
Q1 - 5:34PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving finger roll layup13
15
Q1 - 5:37PacersTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound13
15
Q1 - 5:41PacersBen Sheppard misses two point running jump shot13
15
Q1 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Obi Toppin steals)13
15
Q1 - 6:04HeatKevin Love defensive rebound13
15
Q1 - 6:09PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot13
15
Q1 - 6:18HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
15
Q1 - 6:40PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot10
15
Q1 - 6:53HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
13
Q1 - 6:58HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
13
Q1 - 7:01PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot7
13
Q1 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
13
Q1 - 7:17Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)6
13
Q1 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 26
13
Q1 - 7:17PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
13
Q1 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
13
Q1 - 7:19HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot5
13
Q1 - 7:29HeatKevin Love defensive rebound5
13
Q1 - 7:32PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot5
13
Q1 - 7:46PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound5
13
Q1 - 7:49HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot5
13
Q1 - 7:56PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 25
13
Q1 - 7:56PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 25
12
Q1 - 7:56HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)5
11
Q1 - 8:07PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot5
11
Q1 - 8:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:26PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround hook shot5
11
Q1 - 8:34PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:38HeatMyles Turner blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point cutting layup5
11
Q1 - 8:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
11
Q1 - 8:51HeatHeat defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:52PacersBen Sheppard misses two point driving floating jump shot5
11
Q1 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)5
11
Q1 - 9:12PacersBen Sheppard makes three point running jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)3
11
Q1 - 9:15HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Bennedict Mathurin steals)3
8
Q1 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound3
8
Q1 - 9:31PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving floating bank jump shot3
8
Q1 - 9:50HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 13
8
Q1 - 9:50PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)2
8
Q1 - 9:50HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup2
8
Q1 - 9:51HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound0
8
Q1 - 9:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot0
8
Q1 - 10:17Heat 60 second timeout0
8
Q1 - 10:19PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)0
8
Q1 - 10:29PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:32HeatKevin Love misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
5
Q1 - 10:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup0
5
Q1 - 11:02PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)0
5
Q1 - 11:19PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:24HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - 11:35PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:45PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:48HeatKevin Love misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Kevin Love gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
IND
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
25
40%
IND
23
30
77%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
IND
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
19
28.5
43
44%
66%
IND
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
19
20
95%
IND
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2870%14.0 / 20
B. Adebayo2460%12.0 / 20
D. Robinson2091%10.0 / 11
N. Jović1458%7.0 / 12
T. Rozier938%4.5 / 12
K. Love867%4.0 / 6
J. Richardson550%2.5 / 5
J. Jaquez217%1.0 / 6
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner3474%17.0 / 23
P. Siakam2388%11.5 / 13
B. Mathurin2175%10.5 / 14
T. Haliburton1653%8.0 / 15
T. McConnell850%4.0 / 8
O. Toppin850%4.0 / 8
J. Walker638%3.0 / 8
B. Sheppard330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+17
-10
100
IND
85
+13
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
IND
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
115.3
MIA 118.3
IND 125.3 +7.0
Pace
97.2
100.9
MIA 96.7 +2.7
IND 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.0
MIA 14.9 −0.4
IND 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
56.2%
MIA 50.6%
IND 59.4% +8.8%
TO %
12.8%
12.0%
MIA 10.0% −0.5%
IND 10.5%
ORB %
22.3%
21.3%
MIA 30.0%
IND 30.3% +0.3%
FTrt
23.2
24.1
MIA 22.2
IND 23.5 +1.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
67.1%
MIA 58.3%
IND 68.2% +9.9%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
MIA 4.3%
IND 6.3% +2.0%
BLK %
7.6%
10.2%
MIA 1.8%
IND 12.8% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.6%
MIA 55.0%
IND 60.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
62.5%
66.7%
MIA 40.0%
IND 76.7% +36.7%
Mid FG%
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 31.8% +1.0%
IND 30.8%
3P %
36.7%
36.8%
MIA 44.2%
IND 44.8% +0.6%
FT %
79.1%
78.9%
MIA 95.0% +5.0%
IND 90.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
31.4%
MIA 27.8%
IND 35.3% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
28.6%
MIA 24.4% −6.1%
IND 30.6%
3P Att. %
42.9%
40.0%
MIA 47.8% +13.7%
IND 34.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.124.3
Points110119
Rebounds3845
Assists2130
Steals46
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (1)
Fouls1316
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (6)35 (2)
Field Goals36-9044-85
At-the-Rim FG10-2523-30
Midrange FG7-228-26
2-Point FG17-4731-56
3-Point FG19-4313-29
Free Throws19-2018-20
Fast Break Pts1618
2nd Chance Pts99
Points in Paint2862
Pts off Turnovers189
Bench Points4122
Biggest Lead016

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
39.7
24
60%
8
2
0
0
2
1
6
2
4-5
80%
7-14
50%
2-4
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
37.8
28
70%
4
4
1
0
1
1
0
4
5-5
100%
1-7
14%
7-11
64%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
27.3
9
38%
4
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-5
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
21.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36
11.7
8
67%
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
31.1
20
91%
4
4
0
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
31.0
14
58%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
24.2
5
50%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
15.4
2
17%
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#16 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
55%
38
21
4
1
10
13
15
23
19-20
95%
17-47
36%
19-43
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.