Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 17, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Nuggets	40%	113	90	92.8	97	97.3
	17	Grizzlies	60%	117	105	108.2	97	96.7

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+11

-14

MEM

+12

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.95 47.4%

MEM

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.1	13	43%	6	7	3	2	6	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.4	13	50%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	32.4	10	50%	10	3	2	0	0	1	2	8	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	28.1	7	50%	5	2	1	1	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	27.2	10	38%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	24.5	19	63%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	23.2	12	50%	3	3	1	1	3	1	0	3	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	14.3	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	13.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	39	23	9	5	14	12	6	33	10-14	71%	25-53	47%	10-31	32%

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22 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.1	13	43%	6	7	3	2	6	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.4	13	50%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	32.4	10	50%	10	3	2	0	0	1	2	8	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	28.1	7	50%	5	2	1	1	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	27.2	10	38%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	24.5	19	63%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	23.2	12	50%	3	3	1	1	3	1	0	3	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	14.3	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	13.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	39	23	9	5	14	12	6	33	10-14	71%	25-53	47%	10-31	32%

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17 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	30.8	20	56%	6	2	1	3	1	1	2	4	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	2-5	40%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	28.5	11	46%	11	7	0	1	2	1	1	10	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	26.0	15	50%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	25.5	10	42%	3	4	4	0	2	3	2	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-7	29%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	22.3	8	67%	7	0	1	0	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	25.9	8	80%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	20.1	7	88%	2	4	1	1	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	19.5	6	50%	2	2	2	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	14.4	7	44%	7	2	1	2	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	13.8	3	38%	1	5	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	11.8	10	100%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	0.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Subluxation and Pelvic Muscle Strains
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	45	31	10	10	12	15	10	35	10-12	83%	28-52	54%	13-39	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.95 47.4%

MEM

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

63%

MEM

78%

Midrange

DEN

26%

MEM

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15.0

32%

48%

MEM

19.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

71%

MEM

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Strawther	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Murray	13	43%	6.5 / 15
C. Braun	13	50%	6.5 / 13
R. Westbrook	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Šarić	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Porter	10	38%	5.0 / 13
P. Watson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Jordan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
V. Cancar	2	50%	1.0 / 2
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Wells	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Bane	11	46%	5.5 / 12
S. Pippen	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Huff	10	100%	5.0 / 5
B. Clarke	8	67%	4.0 / 6
L. Kennard	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. LaRavia	7	88%	3.5 / 4
Z. Edey	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Aldama	6	50%	3.0 / 6
V. Williams	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 6 117.2	DEN 92.8 MEM 108.2 +15.5
Pace	8 100.6 1 103.7	DEN 97.3 +0.6 MEM 96.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 28 13.4	DEN 14.8 −0.1 MEM 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 12 55.4%	DEN 47.6% MEM 52.2% +4.6%
TO %	15 13.3% 25 14.4%	DEN 14.3% MEM 11.9% −2.4%
ORB %	7 26.7% 3 28.7%	DEN 14.6% MEM 23.3% +8.7%
FTrt	5 25.9 10 24.9	DEN 16.7 +3.5 MEM 13.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 15 63.5%	DEN 65.7% MEM 75.6% +9.9%
STL %	19 7.9% 7 8.5%	DEN 9.3% MEM 10.3% +1.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 3 10.8%	DEN 9.6% MEM 18.9% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 10 57.4%	DEN 47.4% MEM 54.1% +6.7%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 11 65.3%	DEN 63.3% MEM 78.3% +15.0%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 9 45.4%	DEN 26.1% MEM 34.5% +8.4%
3P %	5 37.6% 12 36.7%	DEN 32.3% MEM 33.3% +1.0%
FT %	23 77.0% 12 78.6%	DEN 71.4% MEM 83.3% +11.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 22 30.5%	DEN 35.7% +10.4% MEM 25.3%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 26 29.0%	DEN 27.4% −4.5% MEM 31.9%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 20 40.6%	DEN 36.9% MEM 42.9% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	90	105
Rebounds	39	45
Assists	23	31
Steals	9	10
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	12	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (5)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	35 (3)
Field Goals	35-84	41-91
At-the-Rim FG	19-30	18-23
Midrange FG	6-23	10-29
2-Point FG	25-53	28-52
3-Point FG	10-31	13-39
Free Throws	10-14	10-12
Fast Break Pts	22	20
2nd Chance Pts	6	12
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	21	14
Bench Points	37	41
Biggest Lead	8	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg