Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 30, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	20%	109	114	111.8	102	109.7
	17	Bucks	80%	122	124	121.6	102	95.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+10

-12

100

MIL

-11

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.4%

MIL

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	36.1	7	39%	2	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	35.9	4	25%	2	4	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	34.2	31	57%	4	7	2	1	3	3	0	4	8-9	89%	7-13	54%	3-10	30%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	30.8	16	73%	7	5	1	0	4	4	1	6	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	30.1	29	81%	11	3	0	1	1	5	0	11	7-7	100%	8-13	62%	2-2	100%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	30.8	16	67%	8	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.4	4	33%	2	2	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	15.7	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	4.3	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Knee contusion
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Not With Team \| Left Rib; Rib sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	41	24	7	3	12	26	8	33	23-24	96%	32-55	58%	9-32	28%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	36.1	7	39%	2	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	35.9	4	25%	2	4	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	34.2	31	57%	4	7	2	1	3	3	0	4	8-9	89%	7-13	54%	3-10	30%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	30.8	16	73%	7	5	1	0	4	4	1	6	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	30.1	29	81%	11	3	0	1	1	5	0	11	7-7	100%	8-13	62%	2-2	100%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	30.8	16	67%	8	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.4	4	33%	2	2	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	15.7	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	4.3	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Knee contusion
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Not With Team \| Left Rib; Rib sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	41	24	7	3	12	26	8	33	23-24	96%	32-55	58%	9-32	28%

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17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	39.9	25	63%	5	10	3	1	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	5-9	56%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	37.7	42	66%	12	11	0	1	4	0	2	10	12-17	71%	15-24	63%	0-0	-
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	34.9	18	64%	0	3	0	3	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	26.4	2	14%	9	0	0	0	3	3	3	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	24.4	11	110%	1	2	1	1	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-4	75%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	25.7	13	72%	1	1	0	0	0	6	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	23.4	9	75%	6	2	1	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	19.5	2	33%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	8.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	62%	38	31	5	6	11	18	7	31	20-25	80%	28-51	55%	16-35	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.4%

MIL

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

72%

MIL

71%

Midrange

WAS

39%

MIL

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

13.5

28%

42%

MIL

24.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

WAS

96%

MIL

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	31	57%	15.5 / 27
M. Brogdon	29	81%	14.5 / 18
J. Valančiūnas	16	73%	8.0 / 11
C. Kispert	16	67%	8.0 / 12
A. Sarr	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Coulibaly	4	25%	2.0 / 8
K. George	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Bagley	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Carrington	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	42	66%	21.0 / 32
D. Lillard	25	63%	12.5 / 20
B. Lopez	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Green	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Prince	11	110%	5.5 / 5
B. Portis	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Jackson	2	14%	1.0 / 7
G. Trent	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Wright	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 10 115.2	WAS 111.8 MIL 121.6 +9.8
Pace	4 101.8 14 99.9	WAS 109.7 +14.4 MIL 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 14 14.6	WAS 13.1 −2.0 MIL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 3 56.8%	WAS 52.3% MIL 60.5% +8.2%
TO %	27 14.6% 7 12.7%	WAS 11.0% MIL 11.0%
ORB %	25 22.7% 30 19.3%	WAS 20.5% +3.0% MIL 17.5%
FTrt	26 22.9 3 26.8	WAS 27.6 MIL 29.1 +1.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 23 60.7%	WAS 58.5% MIL 70.5% +12.0%
STL %	25 7.4% 27 7.3%	WAS 6.9% +2.0% MIL 4.9%
BLK %	12 9.6% 20 9.1%	WAS 5.9% MIL 10.9% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 3 58.6%	WAS 56.4% MIL 62.0% +5.6%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 5 66.9%	WAS 71.9% +0.9% MIL 71.0%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 13 44.1%	WAS 39.1% +9.1% MIL 30.0%
3P %	29 33.5% 1 38.7%	WAS 28.1% MIL 45.7% +17.6%
FT %	16 77.8% 28 75.0%	WAS 95.8% +15.8% MIL 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 24 30.0%	WAS 36.8% +0.7% MIL 36.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 21 27.5%	WAS 26.4% MIL 23.3% −3.2%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 15 42.4%	WAS 36.8% MIL 40.7% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	114	124
Rebounds	41	38
Assists	24	31
Steals	7	5
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	26	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	31 (6)
Field Goals	41-87	44-86
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	22-31
Midrange FG	9-23	6-20
2-Point FG	32-55	28-51
3-Point FG	9-32	16-35
Free Throws	23-24	20-25
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	64	50
Pts off Turnovers	15	10
Bench Points	27	26
Biggest Lead	5	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg