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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 4, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Lakers41%10893
14Heat59%112134
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
26.5
30.4
14
94%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
52%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.9
29.1
32.3
29
73%
5
8
1
1
0
5
1
4
4-4
100%
11-14
6-11
79%
56%
1-4
25%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 31.7
31.4
34.8
8
25%
7
5
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-4
50%
3-13
8-15
23%
56%
0-1
0%
Dalton Knecht
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
22.7
28.2
2
25%
2
1
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-2
0%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'3" 193 · 28.8
30.0
28.3
12
45%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Max Christie
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.8
26.3
23.0
11
62%
7
5
1
1
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.5
24.3
20.7
9
38%
2
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
53%
1-5
20%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 25.3
15.0
11.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Christian Koloko
C · 7'0" 225 · 24.5
13.3
6.9
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
55%
0-0
-
Armel Traoré
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.9
12.7
9.3
4
28%
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5
2-5
40%
1-4
1-1
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 22.4
8.7
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
Quincy Olivari
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
Bronny James
G · 6'3" 210 · 20.2
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 26.5
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'8" 214 · 25.7
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.2
29.4
22.7
17
68%
9
5
2
1
1
1
5
4
0-1
0%
7-11
4-7
64%
54%
1-1
100%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.0
29.8
28.0
14
100%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
4-5
80%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.4
24.6
34.4
14
75%
10
7
1
1
1
2
0
10
2-3
67%
6-7
6-11
86%
56%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.6
27.2
23.3
7
50%
3
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.9
26.8
35.5
31
80%
5
4
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-1
0%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
9-16
56%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
25.4
23.5
16
67%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
19.2
15.7
5
50%
4
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
1-3
33%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
16.8
24.2
9
75%
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-6
75%
55%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.2
14.7
7.6
10
71%
4
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 26.9
12.0
10.4
3
75%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.3
8.7
5.8
8
58%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
65%
2-5
40%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
5.5
3.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.4
8.3
0
0-1
44%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.5
4.1
0
0-1
58%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.6
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.