Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Kings	57%	115	140	135.9	103	99.2
	22	Spurs	43%	113	113	109.7	103	107.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-11

101

SAS

+16

-14

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.39 69.3%

SAS

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.0	22	65%	9	6	0	0	3	2	2	7	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	33.3	17	77%	6	1	0	2	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	32.6	22	65%	4	8	0	1	2	3	0	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	32.5	22	69%	16	4	0	0	1	1	4	12	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	32.4	23	68%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	6-6	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%

Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	23.6	16	114%	3	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-4	100%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	20.7	3	38%	1	3	4	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	8.9	5	50%	1	4	1	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	4.2	5	125%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	3.9	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	3.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	3.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	69%	44	33	7	6	11	20	7	37	22-24	92%	35-56	63%	16-34	47%

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11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.0	22	65%	9	6	0	0	3	2	2	7	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	33.3	17	77%	6	1	0	2	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	32.6	22	65%	4	8	0	1	2	3	0	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	32.5	22	69%	16	4	0	0	1	1	4	12	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	32.4	23	68%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	6-6	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%

Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	23.6	16	114%	3	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-4	100%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	20.7	3	38%	1	3	4	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	8.9	5	50%	1	4	1	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	4.2	5	125%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	3.9	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	3.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	3.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	69%	44	33	7	6	11	20	7	37	22-24	92%	35-56	63%	16-34	47%

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22 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	34.7	30	79%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	8-8	100%	2-4	50%	6-12	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	29.2	11	61%	8	13	1	0	3	1	3	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.1	15	44%	3	5	3	0	2	2	1	2	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-7	29%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	27.3	7	50%	1	3	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	9.4	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	25.5	7	58%	7	0	0	3	2	3	1	6	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.8	14	44%	5	0	2	1	0	1	2	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	1-6	17%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	21.2	14	64%	5	2	0	0	2	3	2	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	17.2	8	57%	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	3-6	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	16.2	5	36%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	4.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	4.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Soreness
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	54%	42	28	8	5	14	20	12	30	21-30	70%	25-50	50%	14-41	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.39 69.3%

SAS

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

64%

SAS

56%

Midrange

SAC

61%

SAS

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

24.0

47%

71%

SAS

21.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

SAC

92%

SAS

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Monk	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Fox	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Sabonis	22	69%	11.0 / 16
K. Murray	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Huerter	16	114%	8.0 / 7
O. Robinson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Jones	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Ellis	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. McDermott	3	150%	1.5 / 1
A. Len	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Champagnie	30	79%	15.0 / 19
S. Castle	15	44%	7.5 / 17
K. Johnson	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Sochan	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Paul	11	61%	5.5 / 9
S. Mamukelashvili	8	57%	4.0 / 7
H. Barnes	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Bassey	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Branham	5	36%	2.5 / 7
Z. Collins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Cissoko	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 19 113.5	SAC 135.9 +26.2 SAS 109.7
Pace	19 98.9 13 100.1	SAC 99.2 SAS 107.2 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 20 14.3	SAC 14.5 SAS 13.4 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 18 54.4%	SAC 65.6% +15.1% SAS 50.5%
TO %	6 12.6% 11 13.2%	SAC 9.9% −1.9% SAS 11.8%
ORB %	16 25.4% 20 24.3%	SAC 18.9% SAS 24.5% +5.6%
FTrt	21 23.5 22 23.4	SAC 26.7 SAS 33.0 +6.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 3 68.5%	SAC 64.7% SAS 71.8% +7.1%
STL %	23 7.6% 14 8.2%	SAC 6.8% SAS 7.8% +1.0%
BLK %	23 8.8% 5 10.5%	SAC 12.0% +3.1% SAS 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 18 56.3%	SAC 69.3% +15.5% SAS 53.8%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 14 63.9%	SAC 63.6% +7.3% SAS 56.3%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 20 41.8%	SAC 60.9% +22.0% SAS 38.9%
3P %	19 35.7% 20 35.7%	SAC 47.1% +13.0% SAS 34.1%
FT %	4 80.6% 21 77.4%	SAC 91.7% +21.7% SAS 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 8 33.7%	SAC 36.7% +1.5% SAS 35.2%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 4 22.2%	SAC 25.6% SAS 19.8% −5.8%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 8 44.1%	SAC 37.8% SAS 45.1% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	140	113
Rebounds	44	42
Assists	33	28
Steals	7	8
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	30 (2)
Field Goals	51-90	39-91
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	18-32
Midrange FG	14-23	7-18
2-Point FG	35-56	25-50
3-Point FG	16-34	14-41
Free Throws	22-24	21-30
Fast Break Pts	13	15
2nd Chance Pts	13	19
Points in Paint	54	48
Pts off Turnovers	19	12
Bench Points	34	48
Biggest Lead	27	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg