Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 8, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Nuggets	46%	119	141	131.8	107	99.8
	17	Hawks	54%	121	111	103.7	107	115.4

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-18

101

ATL

+22

-12

117

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.40 69.8%

ATL

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.8	26	76%	7	3	0	0	1	2	2	5	1-1	100%	11-12	92%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	35.0	48	71%	14	8	3	0	3	2	3	11	11-13	85%	14-23	61%	3-6	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.2	17	71%	8	4	2	1	1	3	2	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-2	100%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	30.7	9	75%	1	11	2	1	4	3	0	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	22.9	6	38%	2	6	0	1	3	1	0	2	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	21.7	13	108%	2	3	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.0	2	50%	1	0	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	17.3	5	125%	2	5	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	10.1	4	100%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	7.8	5	125%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	2.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	2.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	2.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Inflammation
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	70%	43	43	9	5	18	22	7	36	17-24	71%	44-62	71%	12-27	44%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.8	26	76%	7	3	0	0	1	2	2	5	1-1	100%	11-12	92%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	35.0	48	71%	14	8	3	0	3	2	3	11	11-13	85%	14-23	61%	3-6	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.2	17	71%	8	4	2	1	1	3	2	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-2	100%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	30.7	9	75%	1	11	2	1	4	3	0	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	22.9	6	38%	2	6	0	1	3	1	0	2	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	21.7	13	108%	2	3	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.0	2	50%	1	0	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	17.3	5	125%	2	5	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	10.1	4	100%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	7.8	5	125%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	2.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	2.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	2.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Inflammation
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	70%	43	43	9	5	18	22	7	36	17-24	71%	44-62	71%	12-27	44%

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	35.1	15	54%	4	10	3	0	4	1	1	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	2-7	29%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.5	18	53%	4	6	5	1	3	3	1	3	2-4	50%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	29.5	10	36%	4	0	1	0	1	2	2	2	4-6	67%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	24.4	16	67%	4	3	2	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-7	29%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	19.0	9	56%	10	1	0	0	0	5	6	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	24.9	14	58%	9	1	1	0	1	2	7	2	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	24.4	20	48%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	3-9	33%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	20.8	2	20%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	20.1	3	21%	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	4.1	4	67%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	47%	45	26	12	2	12	22	19	26	20-27	74%	32-61	52%	9-40	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.40 69.8%

ATL

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

77%

ATL

71%

Midrange

DEN

58%

ATL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

44%

67%

ATL

13.5

23%

34%

Free Throws

DEN

71%

ATL

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	48	71%	24.0 / 34
M. Porter	26	76%	13.0 / 17
C. Braun	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Strawther	13	108%	6.5 / 6
R. Westbrook	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Gordon	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Pickett	5	125%	2.5 / 2
H. Tyson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Watson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Alexander	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Hall	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Hunter	20	48%	10.0 / 21
D. Daniels	18	53%	9.0 / 17
L. Nance	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Young	15	54%	7.5 / 14
O. Okongwu	14	58%	7.0 / 12
Z. Risacher	10	36%	5.0 / 14
C. Capela	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Bufkin	4	67%	2.0 / 3
V. Krejčí	3	21%	1.5 / 7
G. Mathews	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 17 113.7	DEN 131.8 +28.0 ATL 103.7
Pace	8 100.6 3 103.4	DEN 99.8 ATL 115.4 +15.6
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 30 13.3	DEN 14.4 ATL 12.5 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 17 54.6%	DEN 69.7% +24.7% ATL 45.0%
TO %	15 13.3% 23 14.1%	DEN 16.7% ATL 9.6% −7.1%
ORB %	7 26.7% 10 26.3%	DEN 21.2% ATL 34.5% +13.3%
FTrt	5 25.9 8 25.2	DEN 27.0 +0.3 ATL 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 5 68.3%	DEN 76.8% +13.4% ATL 63.4%
STL %	19 7.9% 4 9.4%	DEN 8.4% ATL 11.2% +2.8%
BLK %	21 9.0% 11 9.7%	DEN 8.2% +5.0% ATL 3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 17 56.5%	DEN 69.8% +22.4% ATL 47.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 20 62.9%	DEN 76.7% +5.3% ATL 71.4%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 11 44.5%	DEN 57.9% +31.0% ATL 26.9%
3P %	5 37.6% 18 35.8%	DEN 44.4% +21.9% ATL 22.5%
FT %	23 77.0% 18 77.5%	DEN 70.8% ATL 74.1% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 6 34.1%	DEN 48.3% +13.7% ATL 34.7%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 10 24.8%	DEN 21.3% −4.4% ATL 25.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 19 41.0%	DEN 30.3% ATL 39.6% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	ATL
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	141	111
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	43	26
Steals	9	12
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	12 (0)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	26 (0)
Field Goals	56-89	41-101
At-the-Rim FG	33-43	25-35
Midrange FG	11-19	7-26
2-Point FG	44-62	32-61
3-Point FG	12-27	9-40
Free Throws	17-24	20-27
Fast Break Pts	19	27
2nd Chance Pts	13	29
Points in Paint	76	64
Pts off Turnovers	17	30
Bench Points	35	43
Biggest Lead	32	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg