FinalWin Prob.pScore
452%112
113
1048%111
122
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
116.597106.9
MIA logo MIA
123.29990.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)113
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.1HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.2CavaliersJT Thor makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.2HeatDru Smith makes three point stepback jump shot107
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16CavaliersJT Thor makes two point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point layup105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CavaliersTy Jerome offensive rebound105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25CavaliersBam Adebayo blocks Ty Jerome's two point layup105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44HeatDru Smith makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)105
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 1:58HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound105
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 2:01CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving layup105
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler turnover (kicked ball violation)105
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 2:31CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot105
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)103
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 3:05CavaliersJarrett Allen personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)103
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 3:27CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot103
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 3:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)101
1.2%
114
98.8%
Q4 - 4:06CavaliersTy Jerome makes two point tip layup101
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 4:06CavaliersTy Jerome offensive rebound99
1.1%
112
98.9%
Q4 - 4:07CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point floating jump shot99
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 4:22HeatDru Smith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)99
1.1%
112
98.9%
Q4 - 4:29HeatDru Smith offensive rebound99
2.2%
109
97.8%
Q4 - 4:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot99
2.8%
109
97.2%
Q4 - 4:34HeatDru Smith offensive rebound99
2.2%
109
97.8%
Q4 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot99
2.8%
109
97.2%
Q4 - 5:05HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound99
3.6%
109
96.4%
Q4 - 5:05CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot99
3.9%
109
96.1%
Q4 - 5:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup99
4.9%
109
95.1%
Q4 - 5:23HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound99
6.3%
107
93.7%
Q4 - 5:26CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving layup99
7.0%
107
93.0%
Q4 - 5:38CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound99
8.7%
107
91.3%
Q4 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup99
7.9%
107
92.1%
Q4 - 6:04CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point running layup (Ty Jerome assists)99
8.5%
107
91.5%
Q4 - 6:08CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound97
6.9%
107
93.1%
Q4 - 6:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup97
6.2%
107
93.8%
Q4 - 6:21HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound97
5.0%
107
95.0%
Q4 - 6:23CavaliersTy Jerome misses three point jump shot97
5.5%
107
94.5%
Q4 - 6:27CavaliersGeorges Niang offensive rebound97
6.8%
107
93.2%
Q4 - 6:31CavaliersTerry Rozier blocks Darius Garland's two point driving layup97
5.5%
107
94.5%
Q4 - 6:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running dunk97
6.7%
107
93.3%
Q4 - 6:45CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)97
8.3%
105
91.7%
Q4 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Terry Rozier assists)97
11.2%
105
88.8%
Q4 - 7:07CavaliersCaris LeVert makes two point driving reverse layup (Ty Jerome assists)97
16.0%
103
84.0%
Q4 - 7:16CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound95
13.6%
103
86.4%
Q4 - 7:19HeatDru Smith misses three point jump shot95
12.4%
103
87.6%
Q4 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
10.2%
103
89.8%
Q4 - 7:39CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot95
11.1%
103
88.9%
Q4 - 7:46CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound95
13.5%
103
86.5%
Q4 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 295
12.9%
103
87.1%
Q4 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 295
11.0%
103
89.0%
Q4 - 7:50CavaliersDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
9.1%
103
90.9%
Q4 - 7:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound95
10.1%
103
89.9%
Q4 - 7:59CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving layup95
11.0%
103
89.0%
Q4 - 8:14HeatDru Smith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)95
14.8%
103
85.2%
Q4 - 8:28CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)95
21.4%
100
78.6%
Q4 - 8:38HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)92
14.7%
100
85.3%
Q4 - 8:48HeatHeat offensive rebound92
21.4%
97
78.6%
Q4 - 8:48HeatDru Smith misses two point driving layup92
24.8%
97
75.2%
Q4 - 8:59CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 192
21.4%
97
78.6%
Q4 - 8:59HeatDru Smith shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)91
20.9%
97
79.1%
Q4 - 8:59CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound89
14.7%
97
85.3%
Q4 - 9:01HeatDean Wade blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup89
15.1%
97
84.9%
Q4 - 9:23CavaliersCaris LeVert makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)89
12.9%
97
87.1%
Q4 - 9:34HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)86
8.8%
97
91.2%
Q4 - 9:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)86
8.7%
97
91.3%
Q4 - 10:14CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)86
11.9%
95
88.1%
Q4 - 10:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 283
8.3%
95
91.7%
Q4 - 10:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 283
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 10:29CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)83
9.0%
93
91.0%
Q4 - 10:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound83
9.8%
93
90.2%
Q4 - 10:36CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point jump shot83
10.5%
93
89.5%
Q4 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Georges Niang draws the foul)83
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 10:45CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound83
12.1%
93
87.9%
Q4 - 10:46HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup83
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q4 - 10:46HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound83
9.8%
93
90.2%
Q4 - 10:53HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot83
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q4 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q4 - 11:13CavaliersDean Wade misses three point jump shot83
11.6%
93
88.4%
Q4 - 11:23HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)83
13.2%
93
86.8%
Q4 - 11:32CavaliersGeorges Niang personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)83
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 11:45CavaliersDean Wade makes three point jump shot (Georges Niang assists)83
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound80
10.9%
90
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatTyler Herro misses two point running pullup jump shot80
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q3 - 0:01.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound80
12.3%
90
87.7%
Q3 - 0:04.5CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot80
12.9%
90
87.1%
Q3 - 0:26.6CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound80
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q3 - 0:30.4HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot80
13.7%
90
86.3%
Q3 - 0:44.9CavaliersSam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 280
12.2%
90
87.8%
Q3 - 0:44.9CavaliersSam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 279
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q3 - 0:44.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)78
11.6%
90
88.4%
Q3 - 0:54.8HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)78
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q3 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound78
15.8%
87
84.2%
Q3 - 1:18CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point running pullup jump shot78
16.5%
87
83.5%
Q3 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)78
18.4%
87
81.6%
Q3 - 1:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
15.7%
87
84.3%
Q3 - 1:31CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot78
16.5%
87
83.5%
Q3 - 1:49CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound78
18.4%
87
81.6%
Q3 - 1:51HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot78
17.5%
87
82.5%
Q3 - 2:07CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point stepback jump shot78
17.0%
87
83.0%
Q3 - 2:18HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)76
14.9%
87
85.1%
Q3 - 2:40CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot76
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot74
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q3 - 3:06CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot74
15.5%
84
84.5%
Q3 - 3:11CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound71
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q3 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot71
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q3 - 3:25CavaliersSam Merrill makes two point driving finger roll layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)71
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q3 - 3:37HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 169
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 3:37CavaliersTy Jerome shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)69
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q3 - 3:51CavaliersGeorges Niang makes regular free throw 2 of 269
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q3 - 3:51CavaliersGeorges Niang makes regular free throw 1 of 268
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q3 - 3:51HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Georges Niang draws the foul)67
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q3 - 3:58HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)67
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q3 - 4:05HeatDru Smith turnover (lost ball) (Georges Niang steals)67
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q3 - 4:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound67
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q3 - 4:09CavaliersThomas Bryant blocks Donovan Mitchell's two point driving layup67
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)67
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q3 - 4:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound67
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q3 - 4:32CavaliersThomas Bryant blocks Ty Jerome's two point running layup67
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q3 - 4:37CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound67
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q3 - 4:40HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot67
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q3 - 4:56HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound67
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q3 - 4:59CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot67
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q3 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 267
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q3 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 267
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 5:13CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q3 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound67
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot67
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q3 - 5:31CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 267
17.5%
77
82.5%
Q3 - 5:31CavaliersDarius Garland misses regular free throw 1 of 266
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q3 - 5:31HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)66
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q3 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup66
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q3 - 5:54CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 266
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 5:54CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 265
19.6%
75
80.4%
Q3 - 5:54HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)64
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
18.8%
75
81.2%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
19.1%
74
80.9%
Q3 - 6:07CavaliersCaris LeVert shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 6:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound64
20.8%
73
79.2%
Q3 - 6:16CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point running jump shot64
21.7%
73
78.3%
Q3 - 6:21CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound64
23.7%
73
76.3%
Q3 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot64
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q3 - 6:43CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point pullup jump shot64
20.8%
73
79.2%
Q3 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)61
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q3 - 7:15CavaliersGeorges Niang makes two point driving hook shot (Caris LeVert assists)61
21.9%
70
78.1%
Q3 - 7:25CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound59
19.8%
70
80.2%
Q3 - 7:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup59
19.0%
70
81.0%
Q3 - 7:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound59
17.4%
70
82.6%
Q3 - 7:41CavaliersGeorges Niang misses two point floating jump shot59
18.1%
70
81.9%
Q3 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)59
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 8:13CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot59
22.4%
68
77.6%
Q3 - 8:20CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound57
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q3 - 8:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot57
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 8:39HeatHeat offensive rebound57
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 8:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup57
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 8:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound57
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 8:45CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point cutting finger roll layup57
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 8:53CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound57
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q3 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot57
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 8:58HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup bank jump shot57
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 9:24CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point floating jump shot (Darius Garland assists)57
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 9:31CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound55
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q3 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot55
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q3 - 9:45CavaliersGeorges Niang makes two point driving layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)55
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q3 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)53
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 10:19CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point floating jump shot (Darius Garland assists)53
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 10:35HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 10:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
19.5%
62
80.5%
Q3 - 10:49CavaliersCaris LeVert misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 11:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)51
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q3 - 11:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
27.0%
59
73.0%
Q3 - 11:31CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot51
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)51
29.8%
59
70.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
26.9%
59
73.1%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound51
28.1%
59
71.9%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot51
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q2 - 0:02.1CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)51
28.0%
59
72.0%
Q2 - 0:04.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 251
30.5%
59
69.5%
Q2 - 0:04.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 251
30.8%
58
69.2%
Q2 - 0:04.4CavaliersCaris LeVert shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
31.3%
57
68.7%
Q2 - 0:04.4HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound51
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot51
35.1%
57
64.9%
Q2 - 0:27.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound51
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q2 - 0:31.2CavaliersDean Wade misses three point jump shot51
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q2 - 0:50.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)51
35.9%
57
64.1%
Q2 - 1:07CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 151
39.7%
55
60.3%
Q2 - 1:07HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)50
39.0%
55
61.0%
Q2 - 1:11CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound48
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q2 - 1:15HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot48
33.1%
55
66.9%
Q2 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
31.4%
55
68.6%
Q2 - 1:27CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot48
32.1%
55
67.9%
Q2 - 1:38HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup48
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q2 - 1:41HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound48
36.8%
53
63.2%
Q2 - 1:43CavaliersDean Wade misses three point jump shot48
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 248
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 248
40.5%
52
59.5%
Q2 - 2:01CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)48
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound48
42.5%
51
57.5%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot48
44.9%
51
55.1%
Q2 - 2:21HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound48
42.5%
51
57.5%
Q2 - 2:25CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot48
43.5%
51
56.5%
Q2 - 2:34CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound48
45.8%
51
54.2%
Q2 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot48
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q2 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q2 - 3:02CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point floating jump shot48
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 248
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q2 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 248
46.8%
50
53.2%
Q2 - 3:14CavaliersCaris LeVert personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
47.2%
49
52.8%
Q2 - 3:21CavaliersTy Jerome makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)48
48.5%
49
51.5%
Q2 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot46
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q2 - 4:06CavaliersTy Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot46
48.9%
47
51.1%
Q2 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot44
46.6%
47
53.4%
Q2 - 4:31CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving layup44
48.9%
45
51.1%
Q2 - 4:37HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 242
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 4:37HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 242
47.0%
44
53.0%
Q2 - 4:37CavaliersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)42
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 4:44CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 242
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 4:44CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 241
48.6%
43
51.4%
Q2 - 4:44HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)40
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 4:55HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot40
46.6%
43
53.4%
Q2 - 5:04CavaliersDean Wade makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)40
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q2 - 5:07CavaliersGeorges Niang offensive rebound37
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 5:11CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point jump shot37
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 5:20CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound37
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 5:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot37
45.9%
40
54.1%
Q2 - 5:42HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound37
43.6%
40
56.4%
Q2 - 5:46CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point pullup jump shot37
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 237
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 237
47.2%
39
52.8%
Q2 - 5:58CavaliersDarius Garland shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)37
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 6:10CavaliersTy Jerome personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)37
49.2%
38
50.8%
Q2 - 6:25CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point running jump shot (Darius Garland assists)37
49.2%
38
50.8%
Q2 - 6:30CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound34
44.5%
38
55.5%
Q2 - 6:33HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot34
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 6:42CavaliersTy Jerome personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)34
41.3%
38
58.7%
Q2 - 6:52CavaliersDean Wade makes three point pullup jump shot (Darius Garland assists)34
41.3%
38
58.7%
Q2 - 7:01CavaliersDean Wade offensive rebound31
37.2%
38
62.8%
Q2 - 7:05CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot31
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 7:15HeatTerry Rozier makes two point tip layup31
37.1%
38
62.9%
Q2 - 7:15HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound31
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 7:21HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot31
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 7:26CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)31
39.3%
36
60.7%
Q2 - 7:44HeatTerry Rozier makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)31
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 7:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound31
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 7:49HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot31
46.3%
34
53.7%
Q2 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 7:55CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving layup31
45.2%
34
54.8%
Q2 - 8:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Dru Smith assists)31
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 8:13HeatDru Smith offensive rebound31
51.9%
31
48.1%
Q2 - 8:15HeatDru Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot31
53.9%
31
46.1%
Q2 - 8:25CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
51.9%
31
48.1%
Q2 - 8:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot31
54.8%
31
45.2%
Q2 - 8:49HeatHeat defensive rebound31
56.9%
29
43.1%
Q2 - 8:49CavaliersTy Jerome misses three point pullup jump shot31
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 8:56CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound31
59.7%
29
40.3%
Q2 - 8:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot31
58.9%
29
41.1%
Q2 - 9:14CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 231
56.8%
29
43.2%
Q2 - 9:14CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 230
56.5%
29
43.5%
Q2 - 9:14HeatDru Smith shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)29
56.2%
29
43.8%
Q2 - 9:17CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound29
54.4%
29
45.6%
Q2 - 9:19HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup29
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 9:29CavaliersTy Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot29
51.9%
29
48.1%
Q2 - 9:37CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound27
49.5%
29
50.5%
Q2 - 9:41HeatDru Smith misses three point pullup jump shot27
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 9:49HeatDru Smith defensive rebound27
46.9%
29
53.1%
Q2 - 9:52CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot27
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 327
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 327
50.2%
28
49.8%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 327
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q2 - 10:09CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)27
50.9%
26
49.1%
Q2 - 10:19CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 10:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Evan Mobley steals)27
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q2 - 10:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound27
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 10:40CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot27
55.3%
26
44.7%
Q2 - 10:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)27
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q2 - 11:12CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 227
61.4%
23
38.6%
Q2 - 11:12CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 226
61.1%
23
38.9%
Q2 - 11:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)25
60.8%
23
39.2%
Q2 - 11:17CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound25
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q2 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot25
58.5%
23
41.5%
Q2 - 11:34CavaliersSam Merrill turnover (traveling)25
56.8%
23
43.2%
Q2 - 11:47HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot25
59.3%
23
40.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
61.4%
21
38.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound25
61.4%
21
38.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatDru Smith misses three point pullup jump shot25
63.0%
21
37.0%
Q1 - 0:03.7CavaliersCaris LeVert makes two point running dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)25
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 0:06.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)23
58.9%
21
41.1%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
56.6%
21
43.4%
Q1 - 0:30.9CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot23
57.3%
21
42.7%
Q1 - 0:37.2CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound23
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q1 - 0:40.1HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
58.3%
21
41.7%
Q1 - 0:49.9CavaliersGeorges Niang turnover (traveling)23
56.6%
21
43.4%
Q1 - 1:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)23
58.9%
21
41.1%
Q1 - 1:25HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound23
61.2%
19
38.8%
Q1 - 1:27CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot23
61.8%
19
38.2%
Q1 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 223
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 223
63.5%
18
36.5%
Q1 - 1:40CavaliersCaris LeVert shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)23
63.8%
17
36.2%
Q1 - 2:02CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)23
64.9%
17
35.1%
Q1 - 2:16CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound20
61.1%
17
38.9%
Q1 - 2:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot20
60.4%
17
39.6%
Q1 - 2:36CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point hook shot (Sam Merrill assists)20
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 2:55HeatDru Smith turnover (discontinue dribble)18
56.9%
17
43.1%
Q1 - 3:05CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point cutting layup (Caris LeVert assists)18
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 3:13CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound16
52.3%
17
47.7%
Q1 - 3:16HeatKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot16
51.5%
17
48.5%
Q1 - 3:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound16
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q1 - 3:41CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving reverse layup16
50.5%
17
49.5%
Q1 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)16
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Dean Wade draws the foul)16
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q1 - 4:08CavaliersCaris LeVert makes three point jump shot (Georges Niang assists)16
50.2%
17
49.8%
Q1 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)13
46.7%
17
53.3%
Q1 - 4:40CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)13
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 4:57CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound10
44.9%
15
55.1%
Q1 - 5:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot10
44.2%
15
55.8%
Q1 - 5:13HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound10
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 5:16CavaliersCaris LeVert misses two point driving layup10
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 5:35HeatTyler Herro makes two point running reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)10
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 5:41CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)10
47.1%
13
52.9%
Q1 - 5:47CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound10
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 5:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot10
48.4%
13
51.6%
Q1 - 6:04CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point running layup10
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 6:09HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Dean Wade steals)8
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 6:21CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving finger roll layup8
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)6
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 7:03CavaliersDean Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 26
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 7:03CavaliersDean Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 25
44.3%
11
55.7%
Q1 - 7:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Dean Wade draws the foul)4
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 7:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 24
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 7:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 24
43.9%
10
56.1%
Q1 - 7:18CavaliersJarrett Allen shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)4
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 7:25HeatHeat defensive rebound4
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 7:27CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot4
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)4
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 8:09CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (traveling)4
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)4
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 8:30CavaliersDean Wade misses three point jump shot4
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)4
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 8:52CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot4
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 9:00CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound4
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 9:03HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot4
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 9:14CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point turnaround jump shot4
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 9:39CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point driving hook shot2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 9:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup0
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 10:10HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 10:12CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point driving floating jump shot0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 10:22HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)0
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 10:27CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound0
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 10:30HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot0
53.0%
0
47.0%
Q1 - 10:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 10:56CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot0
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:06CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound0
53.0%
0
47.0%
Q1 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:25CavaliersDean Wade personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 11:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 11:40CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 12:00Jarrett Allen vs. Bam Adebayo (Darius Garland gains possession)0
52.4%
0
47.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.20 60.1%
MIA
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
16
32
50%
MIA
20
27
74%
Midrange
CLE
11
21
52%
MIA
5
22
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
MIA
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
Free Throws
CLE
17
18
94%
MIA
24
26
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Garland2355%11.5 / 21
G. Niang1594%7.5 / 8
T. Jerome1450%7.0 / 14
C. LeVert1393%6.5 / 7
D. Mitchell1238%6.0 / 16
D. Wade1169%5.5 / 8
S. Merrill1071%5.0 / 7
J. Allen643%3.0 / 7
J. Thor5125%2.5 / 2
E. Mobley450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3474%17.0 / 23
D. Robinson2388%11.5 / 13
J. Butler1856%9.0 / 16
B. Adebayo1657%8.0 / 14
T. Rozier1450%7.0 / 14
D. Smith1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jaquez440%2.0 / 5
T. Bryant2100%1.0 / 1
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
K. Love0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
88
+6
-9
94
MIA
88
+15
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.20 60.1%
MIA
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
120.9
112.4
CLE 116.5
MIA 123.2 +6.7
Pace
100.4
97.2
CLE 106.9 +16.3
MIA 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
14.9
CLE 13.5 +2.4
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.8%
54.4%
CLE 55.8%
MIA 57.0% +1.2%
TO %
12.4%
12.8%
CLE 8.7% +2.3%
MIA 11.0%
ORB %
25.9%
22.3%
CLE 11.9%
MIA 24.4% +12.5%
FTrt
24.1
23.2
CLE 20.9
MIA 30.2 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
65.3%
CLE 61.0%
MIA 65.9% +4.9%
STL %
8.1%
8.3%
CLE 5.2% +1.2%
MIA 4.0%
BLK %
7.9%
7.6%
CLE 2.0%
MIA 7.5% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.2%
56.0%
CLE 60.1% +0.9%
MIA 59.2%
Rim FG%
66.0%
62.5%
CLE 50.0%
MIA 74.1% +24.1%
Mid FG%
47.9%
44.4%
CLE 52.4% +29.7%
MIA 22.7%
3P %
38.3%
36.7%
CLE 42.4%
MIA 43.2% +0.8%
FT %
77.6%
79.1%
CLE 94.4% +2.1%
MIA 92.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
29.6%
CLE 37.2% +5.8%
MIA 31.4%
Mid Att. %
23.7%
27.5%
CLE 24.4% +1.2%
MIA 25.6%
3P Att. %
45.7%
42.9%
CLE 38.4%
MIA 43.0% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points113122
Rebounds3647
Assists2527
Steals54
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1815
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)37 (2)
Field Goals41-8641-86
At-the-Rim FG16-3220-27
Midrange FG11-215-22
2-Point FG27-5325-49
3-Point FG14-3316-37
Free Throws17-1824-26
Fast Break Pts1210
2nd Chance Pts1019
Points in Paint5050
Pts off Turnovers1315
Bench Points5731
Biggest Lead615

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25
32.4
23
55%
5
5
0
0
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
2-6
33%
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 28
30.8
12
38%
1
5
2
0
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
1-5
20%
#32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 28
29.1
11
69%
8
0
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27
28.6
6
43%
7
1
0
0
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 23
11.8
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#20 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
31.5
15
94%
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
#3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 30
28.9
13
93%
2
4
0
0
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27
21.3
14
50%
4
6
0
0
0
3
2
2
6-6
100%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
#5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
20.7
10
71%
0
2
0
0
1
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#33 · SG · 6'7" 207 · 23
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#15 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22
1.6
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness; Illness
#21 · SF · 6'9" 170 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#35 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
60%
36
25
5
1
9
18
5
31
17-18
94%
27-53
51%
14-33
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.