Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers52%112113
10Heat48%111122
Updated: Dec 8, 2024 10:42 PM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.0
29.1
21.4
11
70%
8
0
1
1
1
0
1
7
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
57%
3-7
43%
Evan Mobley
C · 7'0" 215 · 23.5
11.8
32.9
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
6-10
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 26.6
28.6
31.3
6
43%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
5-8
43%
64%
0-0
-
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.3
30.8
33.2
12
37%
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
54%
1-5
20%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
32.4
30.4
23
55%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
7-13
4-8
54%
51%
2-6
33%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 31.5
31.5
19.3
15
95%
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
3-4
75%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 30.3
28.9
24.6
13
87%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
2-2
100%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.4
21.3
14.1
14
51%
4
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
6-6
100%
4-9
2-3
44%
53%
0-2
0%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
20.7
20.4
10
73%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Jaylon Tyson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
1.6
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Luke Travers
F · 6'7" 207 · 23.3
1.6
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 22.3
1.6
2.5
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
3.3
0
0-1
55%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.8
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 20.9
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.2
35.3
29.7
18
58%
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
6-10
5-9
60%
53%
0-2
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
23.5
28.4
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
36.0
32.3
16
57%
13
6
0
1
1
1
1
12
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.6
27.8
26.9
23
87%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
4-6
67%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.9
35.9
33.1
34
74%
6
7
0
1
0
2
2
4
9-9
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
5-9
56%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.7
28.0
20.5
14
50%
9
3
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.9
25.6
19.9
11
61%
4
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
16.0
20.3
4
41%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.4
7.1
5.0
2
114%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
63%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.3
4.8
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
5.4
0
0-1
51%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.4
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.5
4.1
0
0-1
55%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
2.9
0
0-1
51%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.