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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
December 20, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder57%110104
7Heat43%10797
Updated: Dec 21, 2024 12:42 AM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.7
32.3
28.3
14
100%
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.7
35.7
34.2
33
59%
6
4
0
2
1
4
1
5
5-7
71%
8-18
7-12
44%
56%
4-7
57%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
33.8
31.4
13
68%
18
2
1
1
0
0
5
13
5-8
63%
4-6
5-8
67%
61%
0-0
-
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
22.9
23.4
2
50%
2
4
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.4
37.6
35.6
25
48%
7
4
2
2
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
7-16
8-15
44%
56%
3-9
33%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 30.8
25.5
19.7
4
40%
3
5
2
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.5
16.1
18.4
3
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
1-5
20%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
13.3
11.7
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.0
13.2
19.8
3
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
1-3
33%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.1
9.6
13.1
5
50%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
1-2
50%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.6
5.0
0
0-1
56%
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.1
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.4
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.1
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.6
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.3
7.3
35.3
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
6-11
-
52%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
24.1
19.6
3
50%
5
0
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
35.8
35.0
17
62%
10
1
1
1
1
6
3
7
3-6
50%
7-10
6-11
70%
52%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
30.5
21.9
13
44%
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
3-11
27%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.9
35.6
34.6
28
53%
12
5
3
1
0
0
3
9
3-5
60%
8-14
4-7
57%
51%
3-10
30%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.0
30.3
26.9
13
108%
0
4
2
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
3-4
75%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
30.1
17.0
9
46%
6
0
1
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
53%
0-3
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
23.4
27.1
7
35%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.5
19.4
7.9
7
42%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.3
3.4
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
4.6
0
0-1
52%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.4
2.4
0
0-0
41%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
2.3
0
0-1
51%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.