Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets71%120132
24Pelicans29%112129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.8
42.6
35.6
27
61%
13
10
1
2
1
3
2
11
3-5
60%
9-17
10-16
53%
62%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
41.3
36.7
27
60%
8
4
3
1
1
6
1
7
7-8
88%
7-10
5-11
70%
51%
2-9
22%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
38.8
26.1
10
56%
6
5
2
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
59%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
35.3
29.3
17
58%
8
3
1
1
0
2
5
3
3-6
50%
4-8
4-6
50%
60%
2-4
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 26.5
23.3
31.6
8
45%
4
1
0
1
2
4
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
4-7
0%
60%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
35.8
30.5
21
67%
5
5
3
2
1
5
3
2
2-4
50%
8-10
4-7
80%
49%
1-4
25%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
20.0
15.8
13
67%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
56%
1-5
20%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 22.3
17.5
18.6
5
46%
5
5
0
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.4
10.4
11.0
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
65%
0-0
-
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
8.8
0
0-1
60%
Dario Šarić
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.7
3.0
0
0-0
47%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 25.2
2.8
0
0-0
53%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
1.9
0
0-0
59%
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
1.4
0
0-0
55%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
0.5
0
0-0
56%
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.6
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 28.3
44.0
31.6
17
32%
8
15
6
1
1
2
1
7
3-5
60%
7-18
5-10
39%
48%
0-6
0%
Yves Missi
C · 6'11" 235 · 20.6
39.9
29.9
21
74%
9
1
2
1
3
0
4
5
3-5
60%
9-11
4-8
82%
55%
0-1
0%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'7" 206 · 26.2
39.2
32.3
8
45%
6
6
4
1
1
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-2
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.3
38.5
32.0
24
51%
6
9
1
1
1
2
0
6
4-6
67%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
4-10
40%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.5
27.3
36.2
21
66%
8
3
2
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
54%
3-7
43%
Jordan Hawkins
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
33.7
18.1
25
66%
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
5-13
38%
Brandon Boston
G · 6'6" 188 · 23.1
15.0
20.2
8
68%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
14.3
16.2
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 32.7
13.1
11.9
3
61%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 24.1
13.7
0
1-2
54%
Antonio Reeves
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'6" 284 · 24.5
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 25.8
Karlo Matković
F-C · 6'10" 231 · 23.7
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 26.7
Trey Jemison III
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
Brandon Ingram
F · 6'8" 190 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.