Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 23, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	9%	103	105	99.1	106	105.0
	2	Thunder	91%	122	123	115.0	107	108.0

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+15

-19

102

OKC

+21

-12

116

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.5%

OKC

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	37.7	31	62%	3	7	2	1	4	3	1	2	8-10	80%	4-8	50%	5-12	42%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	29.1	14	58%	2	3	0	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	4-8	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 23	29.1	3	21%	8	2	0	3	0	4	2	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	28.7	12	50%	16	1	2	2	2	1	4	12	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · SF · 6'5" 229 · 32	26.1	12	50%	6	5	0	0	1	0	1	5	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.5	11	79%	3	1	2	1	3	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	26.0	8	44%	3	3	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	15.9	7	70%	6	1	1	0	1	0	1	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	8.3	5	42%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	3.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	3.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower back; Soreness
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	51	25	7	8	19	16	13	38	17-20	85%	20-48	42%	16-43	37%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	37.7	31	62%	3	7	2	1	4	3	1	2	8-10	80%	4-8	50%	5-12	42%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	29.1	14	58%	2	3	0	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	4-8	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 23	29.1	3	21%	8	2	0	3	0	4	2	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	28.7	12	50%	16	1	2	2	2	1	4	12	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · SF · 6'5" 229 · 32	26.1	12	50%	6	5	0	0	1	0	1	5	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.5	11	79%	3	1	2	1	3	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	26.0	8	44%	3	3	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	15.9	7	70%	6	1	1	0	1	0	1	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	8.3	5	42%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	3.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	3.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower back; Soreness
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Rib; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	51	25	7	8	19	16	13	38	17-20	85%	20-48	42%	16-43	37%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	35.4	41	71%	9	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	10-10	100%	11-19	58%	3-6	50%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	29.1	17	45%	7	4	1	0	2	4	2	5	3-4	75%	7-16	44%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	27.1	16	62%	11	3	0	2	0	2	3	8	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	24.6	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-5	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	18.8	5	31%	2	1	3	0	1	0	0	2	2-3	67%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	28.1	9	75%	4	4	2	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	21.5	16	89%	12	2	1	1	2	2	3	9	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	14.9	2	20%	2	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	13.6	7	44%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	13.1	7	50%	8	1	3	0	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	7.8	3	50%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	INACTIVE
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	53%	59	25	15	9	12	18	19	40	19-22	86%	37-68	54%	10-38	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.5%

OKC

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

68%

OKC

57%

Midrange

WAS

24%

OKC

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

24.0

37%

56%

OKC

15.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

WAS

85%

OKC

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	31	62%	15.5 / 25
B. Carrington	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Valančiūnas	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Brogdon	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. George	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Kispert	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Bagley	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Butler	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Champagnie	3	21%	1.5 / 7
P. Baldwin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Vukcevic	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1
R. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	41	71%	20.5 / 29
J. Williams	17	45%	8.5 / 19
I. Hartenstein	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Mitchell	16	89%	8.0 / 9
C. Wallace	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Wiggins	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Williams	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Joe	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Williams	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Caruso	2	20%	1.0 / 5
L. Dort	0	-	0.0 / 6
O. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 3 119.2	WAS 99.1 OKC 115.0 +15.9
Pace	4 101.8 5 100.9	WAS 105.0 OKC 108.0 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 25 13.9	WAS 13.7 OKC 13.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 7 56.0%	WAS 48.4% OKC 49.1% +0.7%
TO %	27 14.6% 1 10.9%	WAS 16.0% OKC 9.4% −6.6%
ORB %	25 22.7% 21 24.2%	WAS 24.5% OKC 33.3% +8.8%
FTrt	26 22.9 28 22.0	WAS 22.0 +1.2 OKC 20.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 26 60.2%	WAS 69.4% +16.2% OKC 53.2%
STL %	25 7.4% 1 10.2%	WAS 6.6% OKC 14.0% +7.4%
BLK %	12 9.6% 2 11.9%	WAS 11.8% OKC 18.8% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 4 57.9%	WAS 51.5% OKC 53.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 10 65.7%	WAS 68.4% +11.6% OKC 56.8%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 7 45.7%	WAS 24.1% OKC 51.6% +27.5%
3P %	29 33.5% 6 37.4%	WAS 37.2% +10.9% OKC 26.3%
FT %	16 77.8% 1 81.9%	WAS 85.0% OKC 86.4% +1.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 26 29.5%	WAS 20.9% OKC 34.9% +14.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 25 28.6%	WAS 31.9% OKC 29.2% −2.6%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 16 41.9%	WAS 47.3% +11.4% OKC 35.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	OKC
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	105	123
Rebounds	51	59
Assists	25	25
Steals	7	15
Blocks	8	9
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	40 (1)
Field Goals	36-91	47-106
At-the-Rim FG	13-19	21-37
Midrange FG	7-29	16-31
2-Point FG	20-48	37-68
3-Point FG	16-43	10-38
Free Throws	17-20	19-22
Fast Break Pts	16	24
2nd Chance Pts	8	22
Points in Paint	36	66
Pts off Turnovers	16	24
Bench Points	33	44
Biggest Lead	8	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg