FinalWin Prob.pScore
1251%104
89
1649%103
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.79696.8
ORL logo ORL
90.79797.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.89
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:00.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)89
93.6%
88
6.4%
Q4 - 0:04.9MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point layup87
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 0:27.9HeatAlec Burks turnover (offensive foul)87
56.4%
86
43.6%
Q4 - 0:27.9HeatAlec Burks offensive foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)87
78.6%
86
21.4%
Q4 - 0:29.1HeatAlec Burks offensive rebound87
78.4%
86
21.6%
Q4 - 0:32.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot87
64.0%
86
36.0%
Q4 - 0:42.9MagicTrevelin Queen personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
74.7%
86
25.3%
Q4 - 0:52.6MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Tristan da Silva assists)87
72.6%
86
27.4%
Q4 - 1:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)87
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 1:23HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound87
91.9%
83
8.1%
Q4 - 1:25MagicJalen Suggs misses regular free throw 2 of 287
91.1%
83
8.9%
Q4 - 1:25MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 287
87.7%
83
12.3%
Q4 - 1:25HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)87
88.7%
82
11.3%
Q4 - 1:27MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound87
90.6%
82
9.4%
Q4 - 1:29HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot87
91.9%
82
8.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound87
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q4 - 1:47MagicBam Adebayo blocks Tristan da Silva's two point driving floating jump shot87
91.8%
82
8.2%
Q4 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot87
89.1%
82
10.9%
Q4 - 2:13HeatHeat offensive rebound85
85.6%
82
14.4%
Q4 - 2:13HeatTristan da Silva blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup85
79.2%
82
20.8%
Q4 - 2:23HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound85
85.8%
82
14.2%
Q4 - 2:26MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot85
83.3%
82
16.7%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)85
76.0%
82
24.0%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)85
86.0%
82
14.0%
Q4 - 2:49MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point tip layup85
86.0%
82
14.0%
Q4 - 2:50MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound85
89.5%
80
10.5%
Q4 - 2:51MagicTrevelin Queen misses two point running layup85
90.3%
80
9.7%
Q4 - 2:51HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Goga Bitadze steals)85
86.7%
80
13.3%
Q4 - 3:06MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)85
91.9%
80
8.1%
Q4 - 3:22HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)85
87.4%
80
12.6%
Q4 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot85
82.4%
80
17.6%
Q4 - 3:43MagicGoga Bitadze personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q4 - 3:43HeatHeat defensive rebound82
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q4 - 3:45MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot82
68.4%
80
31.6%
Q4 - 4:05HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Trevelin Queen steals)82
62.4%
80
37.6%
Q4 - 4:26MagicJalen Suggs turnover (traveling)82
71.4%
80
28.6%
Q4 - 4:28MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound82
62.5%
80
37.5%
Q4 - 4:31HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Bam Adebayo's two point fadeaway jump shot82
65.4%
80
34.6%
Q4 - 4:54HeatHeat defensive rebound82
71.5%
80
28.5%
Q4 - 4:55MagicTrevelin Queen misses three point jump shot82
68.9%
80
31.1%
Q4 - 5:03HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)82
61.0%
80
39.0%
Q4 - 5:13HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)82
61.1%
80
38.9%
Q4 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
54.2%
80
45.8%
Q4 - 5:36MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot80
51.5%
80
48.5%
Q4 - 5:47MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound80
45.4%
80
54.6%
Q4 - 5:52MagicJalen Suggs misses three point running pullup jump shot80
51.5%
80
48.5%
Q4 - 5:57MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound80
45.4%
80
54.6%
Q4 - 6:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot80
48.1%
80
51.9%
Q4 - 6:20MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 280
54.2%
80
45.8%
Q4 - 6:20MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 280
55.2%
79
44.8%
Q4 - 6:20HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)80
56.5%
78
43.5%
Q4 - 6:22MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound80
59.9%
78
40.1%
Q4 - 6:24HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point hook shot80
62.3%
78
37.7%
Q4 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound80
67.6%
78
32.4%
Q4 - 6:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot80
62.3%
78
37.7%
Q4 - 6:49MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Trevelin Queen assists)80
67.6%
78
32.4%
Q4 - 7:09HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)80
70.7%
76
29.3%
Q4 - 7:25MagicJalen Suggs turnover (offensive foul)77
60.6%
76
39.4%
Q4 - 7:25MagicJalen Suggs offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)77
52.7%
76
47.3%
Q4 - 7:42HeatAlec Burks makes two point pullup jump shot77
52.7%
76
47.3%
Q4 - 8:03MagicJalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
47.6%
76
52.4%
Q4 - 8:23MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound75
41.0%
76
59.0%
Q4 - 8:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point tip layup75
43.0%
76
57.0%
Q4 - 8:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound75
47.6%
76
52.4%
Q4 - 8:26HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot75
43.0%
76
57.0%
Q4 - 8:29MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)75
47.7%
76
52.3%
Q4 - 8:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
40.9%
76
59.1%
Q4 - 8:45HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound72
30.5%
76
69.5%
Q4 - 8:45MagicAnthony Black misses two point putback layup72
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q4 - 8:46MagicAnthony Black offensive rebound72
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 8:49MagicJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Cory Joseph's two point running layup72
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q4 - 8:54HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Cory Joseph steals)72
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 9:01HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound72
31.7%
76
68.3%
Q4 - 9:04MagicBam Adebayo blocks Anthony Black's two point layup72
29.9%
76
70.1%
Q4 - 9:09MagicMagic offensive rebound72
26.2%
76
73.8%
Q4 - 9:09MagicBam Adebayo blocks Anthony Black's two point driving layup72
29.9%
76
70.1%
Q4 - 9:22HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)72
26.2%
76
73.8%
Q4 - 9:46MagicCory Joseph makes two point pullup jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)69
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q4 - 10:09HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)69
23.5%
74
76.5%
Q4 - 10:28MagicCory Joseph makes three point running jump shot (Anthony Black assists)67
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q4 - 10:29MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound67
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q4 - 10:33HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup67
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q4 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
32.6%
71
67.4%
Q4 - 10:54MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point jump shot67
31.0%
71
69.0%
Q4 - 11:14HeatAlec Burks makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)67
28.7%
71
71.3%
Q4 - 11:21MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)64
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 11:43HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 3 of 364
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q4 - 11:43HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 363
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 11:43HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 362
16.9%
71
83.1%
Q4 - 11:43MagicAnthony Black shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)61
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.61
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound61
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicAnthony Black misses three point pullup bank jump shot61
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q3 - 0:02.3MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound61
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 0:05.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot61
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q3 - 0:25.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound61
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 0:28.7MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point jump shot61
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q3 - 0:38.1MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound61
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q3 - 0:40.3HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot61
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound61
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 0:56.6MagicCory Joseph misses three point pullup jump shot61
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 1:02MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound61
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 1:09HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot61
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 1:21HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound61
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 1:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 261
14.9%
71
85.1%
Q3 - 1:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 261
13.5%
71
86.5%
Q3 - 1:24HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)61
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 1:29MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound61
15.2%
70
84.8%
Q3 - 1:35HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot61
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 1:40MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)61
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 1:52HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 261
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 1:52HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 260
14.8%
70
85.2%
Q3 - 1:52MagicCole Anthony shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)59
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 2:04HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound59
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 2:07MagicCole Anthony misses two point pullup jump shot59
13.6%
70
86.4%
Q3 - 2:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound59
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot59
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 2:27MagicTristan da Silva turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Trevelin Queen steals)59
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 2:36MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)59
14.2%
70
85.8%
Q3 - 2:46MagicTristan da Silva makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)59
14.2%
70
85.8%
Q3 - 2:51HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Trevelin Queen steals)59
16.3%
68
83.7%
Q3 - 3:12MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 259
20.1%
68
79.9%
Q3 - 3:12MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 259
20.5%
67
79.5%
Q3 - 3:12HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)59
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 3:20MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound59
22.4%
66
77.6%
Q3 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot59
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q3 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 3:37MagicTrevelin Queen misses three point jump shot59
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q3 - 3:43MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound59
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot59
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q3 - 3:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 4:01MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot59
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot59
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup57
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q3 - 4:43HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 157
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 4:43MagicGoga Bitadze technical foul56
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q3 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound56
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 4:45MagicBam Adebayo blocks Goga Bitadze's two point layup56
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q3 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)56
16.0%
66
84.0%
Q3 - 4:57MagicMagic defensive rebound56
16.0%
66
84.0%
Q3 - 4:57HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot56
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 5:23MagicJalen Suggs makes two point pullup jump shot56
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q3 - 5:34MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound56
21.6%
64
78.4%
Q3 - 5:39MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running pullup jump shot56
23.6%
64
76.4%
Q3 - 5:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Goga Bitadze steals)56
21.6%
64
78.4%
Q3 - 6:10MagicJalen Suggs makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 6:19MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound56
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 6:22HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot56
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q3 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
31.5%
62
68.5%
Q3 - 6:46MagicGoga Bitadze misses regular free throw 2 of 256
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 6:46MagicGoga Bitadze makes regular free throw 1 of 256
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q3 - 6:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)56
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 7:05MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound56
32.0%
61
68.0%
Q3 - 7:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot56
33.1%
61
66.9%
Q3 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
35.5%
61
64.5%
Q3 - 7:17MagicTristan da Silva misses three point jump shot56
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 7:40HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)56
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 7:57MagicGoga Bitadze makes regular free throw 1 of 153
26.4%
61
73.6%
Q3 - 7:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)53
27.1%
60
72.9%
Q3 - 8:13HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)53
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 8:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 253
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 8:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 252
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 8:15MagicTristan da Silva shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)51
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 8:21MagicTristan da Silva makes two point driving floating jump shot51
29.9%
58
70.1%
Q3 - 8:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup51
32.2%
56
67.8%
Q3 - 8:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound49
29.9%
56
70.1%
Q3 - 8:55MagicTristan da Silva misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
28.8%
56
71.2%
Q3 - 9:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 249
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q3 - 9:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 248
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q3 - 9:16MagicTrevelin Queen shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)47
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 9:21MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)47
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q3 - 9:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)47
22.2%
56
77.8%
Q3 - 9:59MagicTristan da Silva makes two point dunk44
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q3 - 10:02HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Tristan da Silva steals)44
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 10:05HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound44
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q3 - 10:08MagicTristan da Silva misses three point jump shot44
22.6%
54
77.4%
Q3 - 10:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)44
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 10:49MagicTrevelin Queen makes two point pullup jump shot41
17.1%
54
82.9%
Q3 - 11:00MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound41
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q3 - 11:04HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot41
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q3 - 11:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 11:15MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot41
20.8%
52
79.2%
Q3 - 11:27MagicTrevelin Queen defensive rebound41
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q3 - 11:31HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot41
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q3 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 11:40MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot41
20.8%
52
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.41
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q2 - 0:01.6HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound41
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 0:01.6MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot41
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 241
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0HeatAlec Burks misses regular free throw 1 of 240
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MagicTristan da Silva personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)40
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 0:31.5MagicJalen Suggs makes two point pullup jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)40
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 0:46.7MagicMagic defensive rebound40
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q2 - 0:48.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot40
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 1:13MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)40
25.1%
50
74.9%
Q2 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)40
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 1:24MagicTristan da Silva turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)40
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 1:37HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 1:39MagicTrevelin Queen turnover (lost ball) (Alec Burks steals)40
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 1:56MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound40
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 1:59HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround jump shot40
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q2 - 2:17MagicGoga Bitadze turnover (lost ball) (Alec Burks steals)40
30.8%
48
69.2%
Q2 - 2:18MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound40
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 2:21MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot40
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 2:36HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)40
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 2:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound40
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 2:46HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving layup40
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 3:01MagicTrevelin Queen makes two point driving layup (Tristan da Silva assists)40
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q2 - 3:04MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound40
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q2 - 3:07MagicGoga Bitadze misses two point driving layup40
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 3:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Goga Bitadze steals)40
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q2 - 3:34MagicTristan da Silva makes regular free throw 2 of 240
36.7%
46
63.3%
Q2 - 3:34MagicTristan da Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 240
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 3:34HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Tristan da Silva draws the foul)40
37.9%
44
62.1%
Q2 - 3:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup40
38.7%
44
61.3%
Q2 - 3:53MagicGoga Bitadze turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)38
36.7%
44
63.3%
Q2 - 4:09HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)38
34.2%
44
65.8%
Q2 - 4:18MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)36
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q2 - 4:24MagicTrevelin Queen makes two point putback layup36
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q2 - 4:25MagicTrevelin Queen offensive rebound36
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 4:31MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot36
36.2%
42
63.8%
Q2 - 4:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)36
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 5:11MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving bank hook shot33
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 5:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)33
32.1%
40
67.9%
Q2 - 5:36HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound31
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 5:39MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot31
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 5:58HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot31
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 6:11MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)28
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 6:21HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound28
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 6:23MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot28
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 6:40MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound28
22.1%
40
77.9%
Q2 - 6:42HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup28
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 6:53MagicTristan da Silva turnover (lost ball) (Alec Burks steals)28
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 7:06HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot28
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 7:14MagicTrevelin Queen personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)26
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 7:21MagicJalen Suggs makes two point fadeaway jump shot26
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 7:41HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup26
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 7:52HeatHeat defensive rebound24
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 7:52MagicBam Adebayo blocks Wendell Carter Jr.'s two point cutting dunk24
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 8:05MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound24
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot24
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 8:17MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)24
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 8:17MagicMagic offensive rebound24
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 8:17MagicAnthony Black misses three point fadeaway jump shot24
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 8:40MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound24
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 8:43HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving bank jump shot24
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 9:03HeatHeat defensive rebound24
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 9:05MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot24
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 9:14MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound24
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 9:17HeatTerry Rozier misses two point fadeaway jump shot24
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 9:30MagicTristan da Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 124
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 9:30HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Tristan da Silva draws the foul)24
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 9:31MagicTristan da Silva offensive rebound24
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 9:35MagicTrevelin Queen misses three point jump shot24
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 9:52MagicMagic defensive rebound24
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot24
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 10:06MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)24
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 10:17MagicAnthony Black makes two point running layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)24
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 10:22HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)24
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 10:27HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound24
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 10:30MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot24
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)24
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 11:05MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving layup22
28.4%
33
71.6%
Q2 - 11:21MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound22
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 11:26HeatJonathan Isaac blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot22
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 11:45MagicAnthony Black turnover (out of bounds lost ball)22
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 11:47HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)22
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.3MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound22
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0HeatNikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot22
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 0:05.5HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound22
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q1 - 0:09.1MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot22
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q1 - 0:27.7MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound22
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q1 - 0:30.9HeatWendell Carter Jr. blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup22
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 0:35.5MagicCole Anthony turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)22
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)22
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q1 - 1:07MagicAnthony Black personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)19
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q1 - 1:19MagicCole Anthony turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q1 - 1:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)19
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q1 - 1:52MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 216
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q1 - 1:52MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 216
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q1 - 1:52HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)16
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 2:00MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound16
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 2:04HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving floating jump shot16
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q1 - 2:19MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)16
26.3%
29
73.7%
Q1 - 2:32HeatAlec Burks personal foul (Loose ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)16
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 2:32MagicMagic defensive rebound16
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 2:32HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot16
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q1 - 2:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 2:58MagicCole Anthony misses two point pullup jump shot16
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q1 - 3:08HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)16
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 3:22MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)14
26.4%
27
73.6%
Q1 - 3:24MagicMagic offensive rebound14
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 3:24MagicJonathan Isaac misses two point pullup jump shot14
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 3:47HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 214
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 3:47HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 1 of 213
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 3:47MagicCole Anthony shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)13
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 3:50MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)13
24.8%
27
75.2%
Q1 - 4:05HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)13
26.1%
27
73.9%
Q1 - 4:25MagicTristan da Silva makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)10
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 4:37HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running alley-oop layup (Terry Rozier assists)10
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 4:40MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)8
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q1 - 4:48MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound8
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 4:52HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot8
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q1 - 5:03MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 28
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 5:03MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 28
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 5:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)8
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 5:16HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot5
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 5:36MagicJalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot5
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)5
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)5
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 5:52HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound5
29.9%
19
70.1%
Q1 - 5:53HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot5
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 6:05MagicJalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot5
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 6:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)5
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 6:28MagicTristan da Silva turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)2
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 6:32MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound2
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 6:35HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup2
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 6:44MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving finger roll layup2
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 7:05HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup2
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 7:16MagicJalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 7:21MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound0
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 7:31HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound0
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 7:34MagicJalen Suggs misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 7:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 8:11MagicTristan da Silva makes two point driving layup0
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 8:19MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound0
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
36.5%
12
63.5%
Q1 - 8:35MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running pullup jump shot0
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)0
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 8:53MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving floating jump shot0
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 9:02MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound0
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot0
42.6%
8
57.4%
Q1 - 9:26MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running dunk0
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 9:27HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)0
44.9%
6
55.1%
Q1 - 9:47MagicKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Goga Bitadze assists)0
46.4%
6
53.6%
Q1 - 9:56MagicTrevelin Queen defensive rebound0
47.4%
4
52.6%
Q1 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot0
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 10:07HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound0
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 10:12MagicTristan da Silva misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:20MagicTristan da Silva offensive rebound0
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 10:22MagicGoga Bitadze misses two point alley-oop dunk0
48.6%
4
51.4%
Q1 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:51MagicTristan da Silva makes two point layup0
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 11:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
50.2%
2
49.8%
Q1 - 11:12MagicTrevelin Queen makes two point cutting dunk (Goga Bitadze assists)0
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 11:22HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)0
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 11:22MagicMagic offensive rebound0
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 11:23MagicJalen Suggs misses two point pullup jump shot0
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 11:38MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound0
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Goga Bitadze (Duncan Robinson gains possession)0
51.0%
0
49.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
ORL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
16
44%
ORL
14
23
61%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
ORL
15
25
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
30
50%
75%
ORL
5
7.5
29
17%
26%
Free Throws
MIA
12
14
86%
ORL
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2059%10.0 / 17
A. Burks17106%8.5 / 8
J. Jaquez1568%7.5 / 11
T. Rozier1447%7.0 / 15
H. Highsmith975%4.5 / 6
N. Jović850%4.0 / 8
B. Adebayo420%2.0 / 10
K. Ware225%1.0 / 4
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Suggs2958%14.5 / 25
T. da Silva1869%9.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope1169%5.5 / 8
G. Bitadze1063%5.0 / 8
T. Queen850%4.0 / 8
W. Carter531%2.5 / 8
C. Joseph563%2.5 / 4
A. Black217%1.0 / 6
J. Isaac0-0.0 / 1
C. Anthony0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+8
-20
84
ORL
76
+14
-21
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
ORL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
109.1
MIA 92.7 +2.0
ORL 90.7
Pace
97.2
96.4
MIA 96.8
ORL 97.0 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.5
MIA 14.9
ORL 14.8 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
51.0%
MIA 50.7% +3.3%
ORL 47.4%
TO %
12.8%
13.5%
MIA 20.4% +0.9%
ORL 21.3%
ORB %
22.3%
25.3%
MIA 17.5%
ORL 24.3% +6.8%
FTrt
23.2
26.9
MIA 18.4
ORL 23.4 +5.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
60.3%
MIA 67.7% +26.5%
ORL 41.2%
STL %
8.3%
9.2%
MIA 14.6% +2.2%
ORL 12.4%
BLK %
7.6%
11.9%
MIA 12.5%
ORL 13.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.3%
MIA 53.0% +4.1%
ORL 48.9%
Rim FG%
62.5%
63.6%
MIA 43.8%
ORL 60.9% +17.1%
Mid FG%
44.4%
41.4%
MIA 30.0%
ORL 60.0% +30.0%
3P %
36.7%
31.8%
MIA 50.0% +32.8%
ORL 17.2%
FT %
79.1%
77.5%
MIA 85.7% +2.4%
ORL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
31.5%
MIA 21.1%
ORL 29.9% +8.8%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
27.4%
MIA 39.5%
ORL 32.5% +7.0%
3P Att. %
42.9%
41.1%
MIA 39.5% +1.8%
ORL 37.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes23.824.0
Points8988
Rebounds3542
Assists2114
Steals1412
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)21 (2)
Fouls2015
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)33 (4)
Field Goals31-7634-77
At-the-Rim FG7-1614-23
Midrange FG9-3015-25
2-Point FG16-4629-48
3-Point FG15-305-29
Free Throws12-1415-18
Fast Break Pts1318
2nd Chance Pts713
Points in Paint2444
Pts off Turnovers2528
Bench Points4112
Biggest Lead517

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
35.2
4
20%
9
7
0
5
4
4
3
6
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
32.0
20
59%
3
2
1
0
6
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
3-6
50%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
30.5
15
68%
4
4
5
1
3
2
2
2
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
#24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 28
27.1
9
75%
3
0
1
0
2
5
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 31
17.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
31.6
17
106%
6
0
3
0
1
3
1
5
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
28.9
14
47%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
23.7
8
50%
4
5
3
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
13.1
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Inflammation
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Tear
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
53%
35
21
14
6
20
20
7
28
12-14
86%
16-46
35%
15-30
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.