Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 26, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Raptors	24%	112	126	111.5	113	125.2
	5	Grizzlies	76%	122	155	137.2	113	103.0

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+17

-15

115

MEM

+28

-17

124

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.09 54.3%

MEM

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PG · 6'8" 237 · 23	35.7	26	62%	6	8	1	0	3	4	1	5	4-4	100%	8-15	53%	2-5	40%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	33.8	27	68%	9	10	0	0	2	2	3	6	5-7	71%	8-13	62%	2-5	40%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	25.3	10	42%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	24.7	14	58%	3	3	2	0	3	3	1	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	23.1	14	78%	5	5	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%

Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	26.7	6	50%	0	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	21.4	15	63%	5	0	0	0	1	3	3	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	17.1	2	14%	6	1	2	3	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	16.4	6	43%	0	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	5.5	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	5.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	4.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Partial UCL Tear
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery - injury management
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	54%	40	39	8	3	15	23	13	27	14-18	78%	35-65	54%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PG · 6'8" 237 · 23	35.7	26	62%	6	8	1	0	3	4	1	5	4-4	100%	8-15	53%	2-5	40%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	33.8	27	68%	9	10	0	0	2	2	3	6	5-7	71%	8-13	62%	2-5	40%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	25.3	10	42%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	24.7	14	58%	3	3	2	0	3	3	1	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	23.1	14	78%	5	5	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%

Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	26.7	6	50%	0	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	21.4	15	63%	5	0	0	0	1	3	3	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	17.1	2	14%	6	1	2	3	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	16.4	6	43%	0	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	5.5	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	5.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	4.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Partial UCL Tear
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery - injury management
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	54%	40	39	8	3	15	23	13	27	14-18	78%	35-65	54%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	32.0	21	58%	11	6	0	3	3	2	4	7	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	1-3	33%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	27.3	21	62%	16	2	0	2	0	0	9	7	2-5	40%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	24.1	15	63%	2	9	0	0	3	0	0	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	23.8	17	71%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-10	50%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	23.4	19	73%	5	2	0	1	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-6	50%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	24.6	15	75%	0	8	1	0	3	1	0	0	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	21.4	8	36%	9	3	1	0	3	5	4	5	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	20.9	15	54%	2	3	4	0	2	2	1	1	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	20.2	11	69%	9	0	0	1	0	3	3	6	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	16.1	9	150%	5	2	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-3	100%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	3.3	4	67%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	155	63%	63	36	8	8	17	18	24	39	21-29	72%	40-64	63%	18-45	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.09 54.3%

MEM

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

60%

MEM

70%

Midrange

TOR

40%

MEM

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

21.0

33%

49%

MEM

27.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

TOR

78%

MEM

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	27	68%	13.5 / 20
S. Barnes	26	62%	13.0 / 21
C. Boucher	15	63%	7.5 / 12
G. Dick	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Olynyk	14	78%	7.0 / 9
O. Agbaji	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Mitchell	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Battle	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Lawson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Mogbo	2	14%	1.0 / 7
G. Temple	0	-	0.0 / 3
U. Chomche	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	21	58%	10.5 / 18
Z. Edey	21	62%	10.5 / 17
D. Bane	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Wells	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Morant	15	63%	7.5 / 12
L. Kennard	15	75%	7.5 / 10
S. Pippen	15	54%	7.5 / 14
B. Clarke	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Konchar	9	150%	4.5 / 3
J. LaRavia	8	36%	4.0 / 11
S. Aldama	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 6 117.2	TOR 111.5 MEM 137.2 +25.7
Pace	9 100.6 1 103.7	TOR 125.2 +22.2 MEM 103.0
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 28 13.4	TOR 11.5 −2.5 MEM 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 12 55.4%	TOR 51.9% MEM 61.5% +9.6%
TO %	26 14.5% 25 14.4%	TOR 11.5% −1.4% MEM 12.9%
ORB %	4 27.3% 3 28.7%	TOR 25.0% MEM 47.1% +22.1%
FTrt	25 23.2 10 24.9	TOR 16.7 MEM 26.6 +9.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 15 63.5%	TOR 79.6% +17.5% MEM 62.1%
STL %	18 8.0% 7 8.5%	TOR 7.1% MEM 7.1%
BLK %	27 8.4% 3 10.8%	TOR 4.7% MEM 12.3% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 10 57.4%	TOR 54.3% MEM 62.5% +8.2%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 11 65.3%	TOR 60.0% MEM 70.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 9 45.4%	TOR 40.0% MEM 50.0% +10.0%
3P %	23 34.8% 12 36.7%	TOR 32.6% MEM 40.0% +7.4%
FT %	29 74.8% 12 78.6%	TOR 77.8% +5.4% MEM 72.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 22 30.5%	TOR 41.7% +5.0% MEM 36.7%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 26 29.0%	TOR 18.5% −3.5% MEM 22.0%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 20 40.6%	TOR 39.8% MEM 41.3% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	MEM
Possessions	113	113
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	126	155
Rebounds	40	63
Assists	39	36
Steals	8	8
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	23	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	24 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	39 (4)
Field Goals	49-108	58-109
At-the-Rim FG	27-45	28-40
Midrange FG	8-20	12-24
2-Point FG	35-65	40-64
3-Point FG	14-43	18-45
Free Throws	14-18	21-29
Fast Break Pts	17	29
2nd Chance Pts	15	33
Points in Paint	68	72
Pts off Turnovers	25	23
Bench Points	35	62
Biggest Lead	0	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg