Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pacers	20%	112	105	107.1	98	98.4
	2	Celtics	80%	124	142	144.9	98	97.6

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+19

-12

105

BOS

+19

-10

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.99 49.5%

BOS

1.33 66.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.9	18	56%	6	2	0	0	1	4	3	3	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	29.6	19	63%	4	9	0	0	2	0	0	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	23.8	14	58%	9	1	1	0	1	1	2	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	22.9	8	50%	5	0	0	0	3	3	3	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	19.7	2	14%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	28.4	15	58%	0	5	2	0	1	3	0	0	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.5	0	0%	4	2	1	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	19.6	8	36%	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	18.8	12	86%	7	0	1	1	2	0	1	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	9.0	3	75%	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	6.4	4	50%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 24	6.4	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tristen Newton #4 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	39	27	5	3	12	20	13	26	18-25	72%	27-52	52%	11-39	28%

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14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.9	18	56%	6	2	0	0	1	4	3	3	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	29.6	19	63%	4	9	0	0	2	0	0	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	23.8	14	58%	9	1	1	0	1	1	2	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	22.9	8	50%	5	0	0	0	3	3	3	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	19.7	2	14%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	28.4	15	58%	0	5	2	0	1	3	0	0	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.5	0	0%	4	2	1	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	19.6	8	36%	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	18.8	12	86%	7	0	1	1	2	0	1	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	9.0	3	75%	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	6.4	4	50%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 24	6.4	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tristen Newton #4 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Tear
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	39	27	5	3	12	20	13	26	18-25	72%	27-52	52%	11-39	28%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 28	37.3	44	81%	5	3	4	0	1	0	3	2	6-6	100%	10-13	77%	6-11	55%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	31.6	22	65%	13	4	3	0	1	2	1	12	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	3-10	30%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	29.9	9	56%	3	6	0	2	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	20.0	13	72%	5	2	0	1	2	0	1	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 27	19.5	4	25%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	31.6	18	56%	8	10	1	1	0	5	5	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-10	40%
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	20.9	9	90%	5	2	0	1	1	2	2	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	18.8	3	50%	5	1	1	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	9.2	6	75%	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	8.4	3	150%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	7.7	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	6-6	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	5.0	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	52	31	9	6	10	19	18	34	25-29	86%	24-36	67%	23-56	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.99 49.5%

BOS

1.33 66.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

57%

BOS

70%

Midrange

IND

46%

BOS

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16.5

28%

42%

BOS

34.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

IND

72%

BOS

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Mathurin	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Walker	15	58%	7.5 / 13
P. Siakam	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Bryant	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Turner	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. McConnell	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
Q. Jackson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Sheppard	2	14%	1.0 / 7
E. Freeman	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Furphy	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	44	81%	22.0 / 27
J. Tatum	22	65%	11.0 / 17
P. Pritchard	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Horford	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. White	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Walsh	9	90%	4.5 / 5
N. Queta	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Springer	6	100%	3.0 / 3
X. Tillman	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Hauser	4	25%	2.0 / 8
L. Kornet	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Peterson	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 2 119.5	IND 107.1 BOS 144.9 +37.8
Pace	6 100.9 29 96.6	IND 98.4 +0.8 BOS 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 2 15.5	IND 14.6 −0.1 BOS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.2% 5 56.1%	IND 47.8% BOS 63.6% +15.8%
TO %	3 12.0% 2 11.7%	IND 10.5% BOS 8.7% −1.8%
ORB %	29 21.3% 15 25.6%	IND 27.7% BOS 40.9% +13.2%
FTrt	17 24.1 30 21.2	IND 27.5 BOS 31.5 +4.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.1% 20 62.8%	IND 71.1% +5.1% BOS 66.0%
STL %	10 8.3% 26 7.4%	IND 5.1% BOS 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %	8 10.2% 4 10.5%	IND 8.3% BOS 11.5% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 6 57.8%	IND 49.5% BOS 66.4% +16.9%
Rim FG%	6 66.7% 4 67.3%	IND 57.1% BOS 70.4% +13.3%
Mid FG%	6 45.8% 14 43.9%	IND 45.8% BOS 55.6% +9.8%
3P %	9 36.8% 10 36.8%	IND 28.2% BOS 41.1% +12.9%
FT %	9 78.9% 6 79.9%	IND 72.0% BOS 86.2% +14.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.4% 29 26.2%	IND 30.8% +1.4% BOS 29.3%
Mid Att. %	24 28.6% 1 20.2%	IND 26.4% BOS 9.8% −16.6%
3P Att. %	21 40.0% 1 53.6%	IND 42.9% BOS 60.9% +18.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	IND	BOS
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	105	142
Rebounds	39	52
Assists	27	31
Steals	5	9
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	34 (3)
Field Goals	38-91	47-92
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	19-27
Midrange FG	11-24	5-9
2-Point FG	27-52	24-36
3-Point FG	11-39	23-56
Free Throws	18-25	25-29
Fast Break Pts	13	9
2nd Chance Pts	16	26
Points in Paint	46	42
Pts off Turnovers	10	14
Bench Points	44	50
Biggest Lead	0	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg