Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers53%118149
9Nuggets47%117135
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darius Garland
G · 6'1" 192 · 24.9
31.5
28.7
25
63%
2
7
4
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
8-10
4-8
80%
52%
2-8
25%
Evan Mobley
C · 6'11" 215 · 23.5
31.1
30.0
26
83%
5
6
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-6
67%
5-7
6-10
71%
58%
4-6
67%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'9" 243 · 26.7
30.8
25.9
22
79%
10
4
3
1
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
10-13
4-6
77%
66%
0-0
-
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.3
30.4
30.1
33
82%
5
6
1
1
0
3
2
3
7-7
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
6-12
50%
Dean Wade
F-C · 6'9" 228 · 28.1
25.8
22.9
11
113%
3
5
0
1
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
56%
3-4
75%
Max Strus
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
23.8
20.9
5
42%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
23.1
22.1
13
65%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
3-4
75%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
18.7
19.0
9
113%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
3-4
75%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
16.0
21.7
3
30%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
57%
1-3
33%
Ty Jerome
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27.5
7.3
16.7
2
16%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-3
0%
Jaylon Tyson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
1.6
8.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
5.2
0
1-1
52%
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'1" 180 · 24.8
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 22.3
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
Luke Travers
F · 6'7" 207 · 23.3
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
40.4
37.1
27
62%
3
11
2
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.9
35.8
34.9
27
65%
14
13
3
1
0
1
3
11
3-4
75%
12-16
9-14
75%
60%
0-3
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 26.5
31.9
31.0
18
76%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
58%
5-8
63%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
31.9
28.1
16
89%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
57%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
29.5
26.9
11
42%
4
7
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 22.3
25.6
21.0
18
88%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
2-2
100%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
23.2
17.5
11
70%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
53%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.4
10.7
10.9
4
45%
7
1
0
0
2
0
3
4
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
64%
0-0
-
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
6.3
6.5
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
57%
1-1
100%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 25.2
1.6
7.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
1.6
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
1.6
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Dario Šarić
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.7
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.7
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.7
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.