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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 28, 2024
3:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat48%114110
18Hawks52%115120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
38.3
22.1
16
57%
5
5
2
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
56%
4-10
40%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.4
36.5
33.6
17
49%
10
2
1
1
2
2
3
7
1-1
100%
8-15
6-11
53%
55%
0-2
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
36.1
22.3
14
88%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
2-3
67%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.9
35.9
34.1
28
76%
7
10
0
1
0
2
0
7
8-8
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
4-7
57%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
21.1
26.1
8
33%
5
1
3
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
54%
0-5
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
20.1
23.4
9
51%
5
1
1
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.4
19.3
21.1
10
51%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
18.4
23.4
4
38%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
10.0
12.3
4
67%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
4.3
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
5.0
0
0-1
47%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.3
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
1.2
0
0-0
52%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'1" 164 · 26.3
36.9
35.1
11
37%
1
15
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
2-9
22%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.0
35.3
35.6
28
68%
13
5
0
1
2
0
4
9
0-1
0%
11-17
6-11
65%
59%
2-3
67%
Zaccharie Risacher
F · 6'8" 200 · 19.7
27.3
21.1
9
38%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
52%
1-4
25%
Vít Krejčí
G · 6'8" 195 · 24.5
23.2
13.5
7
51%
3
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 30.6
21.4
23.4
6
87%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-1
0%
3-3
4-7
100%
60%
0-0
-
De'Andre Hunter
F-G · 6'8" 221 · 27.1
28.6
27.4
26
76%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
6-7
86%
4-7
3-7
57%
53%
4-7
57%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.2
27.2
16.5
18
88%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
4-7
57%
Larry Nance Jr.
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 32.0
26.6
21.4
10
73%
10
1
2
1
0
4
2
8
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
60%
0-1
0%
Keaton Wallace
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
13.5
6.7
5
63%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.6
2.9
0
0-0
51%
David Roddy
F · 6'4" 255 · 23.8
2.5
0
0-0
53%
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.2
Daeqwon Plowden
G-F · 6'6" 216 · 26.3
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.8
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
Bogdan Bogdanović
G · 6'5" 225 · 32.4
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'10" 210 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.