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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
December 28, 2024
3:00 PM ET
Win Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
20Hawks
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
34.2
1
6-11
54%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.9
34.0
1
4-8
52%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.0
27.0
1
2-3
51%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
26.5
1
2-4
56%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
23.7
1
2-5
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
23.5
1
4-6
54%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
22.4
1
1-2
56%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.3
19.4
1
3-6
54%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
16.7
1
2-3
56%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
9.9
0
1-1
51%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
8.6
0
1-1
55%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.3
6.2
0
1-1
52%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.4
4.9
0
0-1
42%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
4.1
0
1-1
55%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
2.9
0
0-1
52%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
1.4
0
0-0
53%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.0
33.4
1
6-10
58%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 26.3
33.2
1
4-8
49%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.1
29.4
1
4-7
52%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.8
27.6
2
3-6
54%
Bogdan Bogdanović
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
24.7
1
2-3
52%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
21.3
1
4-6
65%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 30.6
21.3
1
4-7
60%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 32.0
19.3
1
2-3
62%
Zaccharie Risacher
F · 6'9" 200 · 19.7
18.6
1
2-5
52%
Vít Krejčí
G · 6'8" 195 · 24.5
13.4
0
1-1
55%
Keaton Wallace
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
13.0
0
1-2
49%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.2
6.7
0
0-0
52%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.6
4.1
0
0-1
52%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 23.8
3.6
0
0-1
53%
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'11" 210 · 22.1
2.6
0
0-0
54%
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.3
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.