FinalWin Prob.pScore
1948%114
110
1852%115
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.010097.1
ATL logo ATL
122.498101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:07.1HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)110
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.4HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound110
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.9HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot110
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.5HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.5HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.5HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)110
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.7HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound110
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 0:46.7HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup110
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 0:56.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
1.1%
118
98.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 2110
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Take) (Trae Young draws the foul)110
0.7%
117
99.3%
Q4 - 0:59.9HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)110
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 1:08HawksJalen Johnson makes three point jump shot (Garrison Mathews assists)107
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 1:22HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound107
1.7%
114
98.3%
Q4 - 1:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot107
2.2%
114
97.8%
Q4 - 1:31HawksLarry Nance Jr. makes two point dunk (Trae Young assists)107
3.8%
114
96.2%
Q4 - 1:49HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound107
6.6%
112
93.4%
Q4 - 1:53HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot107
7.6%
112
92.4%
Q4 - 2:03HawksGarrison Mathews makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
10.2%
112
89.8%
Q4 - 2:03HawksGarrison Mathews makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
10.7%
111
89.3%
Q4 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Garrison Mathews draws the foul)107
11.4%
110
88.6%
Q4 - 2:13HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound107
13.6%
110
86.4%
Q4 - 2:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot107
16.0%
110
84.0%
Q4 - 2:39HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
23.0%
110
77.0%
Q4 - 2:39HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
24.0%
109
76.0%
Q4 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)107
25.2%
108
74.8%
Q4 - 2:47HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound107
29.1%
108
70.9%
Q4 - 2:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot107
35.3%
108
64.7%
Q4 - 2:52HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound107
44.4%
108
55.6%
Q4 - 2:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot107
35.2%
108
64.8%
Q4 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound107
44.6%
108
55.4%
Q4 - 3:06HawksJalen Johnson misses two point turnaround jump shot107
40.3%
108
59.7%
Q4 - 3:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)107
30.9%
108
69.1%
Q4 - 3:43HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
28.0%
108
72.0%
Q4 - 3:43HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
28.8%
107
71.2%
Q4 - 3:43HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)105
29.8%
106
70.2%
Q4 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot105
34.6%
106
65.4%
Q4 - 4:18HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds lost ball)102
20.9%
106
79.1%
Q4 - 4:24HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound102
15.0%
106
85.0%
Q4 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot102
16.6%
106
83.4%
Q4 - 4:43HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)102
20.8%
106
79.2%
Q4 - 4:43HawksHawks offensive rebound102
14.9%
106
85.1%
Q4 - 4:44HawksKeaton Wallace misses two point driving floating jump shot102
18.8%
106
81.2%
Q4 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot102
18.0%
106
82.0%
Q4 - 5:29HawksJalen Johnson makes two point putback layup100
14.1%
106
85.9%
Q4 - 5:30HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound100
17.8%
104
82.2%
Q4 - 5:32HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot100
21.7%
104
78.3%
Q4 - 5:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup100
17.8%
104
82.2%
Q4 - 6:05HawksLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Trae Young assists)98
16.9%
104
83.1%
Q4 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk98
20.2%
102
79.8%
Q4 - 6:40HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 196
16.7%
102
83.3%
Q4 - 6:40HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)96
17.1%
101
82.9%
Q4 - 7:01HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 296
32.1%
98
67.9%
Q4 - 7:01HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 295
31.3%
98
68.7%
Q4 - 7:01HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)94
30.4%
98
69.6%
Q4 - 7:07HawksLarry Nance Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)94
28.0%
98
72.0%
Q4 - 7:18HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound94
22.0%
98
78.0%
Q4 - 7:21HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot94
23.7%
98
76.3%
Q4 - 7:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound94
27.9%
98
72.1%
Q4 - 7:29HawksTerry Rozier blocks De'Andre Hunter's two point cutting layup94
26.0%
98
74.0%
Q4 - 7:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)94
21.9%
98
78.1%
Q4 - 8:05HawksJalen Johnson makes three point jump shot (Keaton Wallace assists)91
16.3%
98
83.7%
Q4 - 8:18HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Clint Capela steals)91
23.4%
95
76.6%
Q4 - 8:27HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound91
28.6%
95
71.4%
Q4 - 8:30HawksKeaton Wallace misses three point jump shot91
27.0%
95
73.0%
Q4 - 8:41HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)91
23.4%
95
76.6%
Q4 - 8:41HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound91
23.4%
95
76.6%
Q4 - 8:44HawksVit Krejci misses three point jump shot91
27.0%
95
73.0%
Q4 - 8:50HawksZaccharie Risacher offensive rebound91
23.4%
95
76.6%
Q4 - 8:53HawksVit Krejci misses three point jump shot91
26.9%
95
73.1%
Q4 - 9:16HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 291
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q4 - 9:16HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 290
23.7%
95
76.3%
Q4 - 9:16HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)89
23.0%
95
77.0%
Q4 - 9:19HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound89
21.0%
95
79.0%
Q4 - 9:22HawksZaccharie Risacher misses two point jump shot89
19.7%
95
80.3%
Q4 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)89
16.9%
95
83.1%
Q4 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
14.3%
95
85.7%
Q4 - 10:00HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 187
13.9%
95
86.1%
Q4 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)87
12.6%
95
87.4%
Q4 - 10:13HawksClint Capela defensive rebound87
18.4%
93
81.6%
Q4 - 10:16HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot87
19.5%
93
80.5%
Q4 - 10:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
22.3%
93
77.7%
Q4 - 10:23HawksZaccharie Risacher misses two point running layup87
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 10:28HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound87
18.3%
93
81.7%
Q4 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot87
19.4%
93
80.6%
Q4 - 10:38HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
22.2%
93
77.8%
Q4 - 10:41HawksJalen Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot87
20.9%
93
79.1%
Q4 - 10:49HawksClint Capela defensive rebound87
18.3%
93
81.7%
Q4 - 10:51HeatNikola Jovic misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
19.4%
93
80.6%
Q4 - 11:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
23.1%
93
76.9%
Q4 - 11:14HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot87
22.0%
93
78.0%
Q4 - 11:40HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)87
19.5%
93
80.5%
Q4 - 11:41HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound84
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot84
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q3 - 0:02.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q3 - 0:04.9HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot84
14.4%
93
85.6%
Q3 - 0:28.2HawksGarrison Mathews defensive rebound84
12.7%
93
87.3%
Q3 - 0:30.8HeatAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot84
13.4%
93
86.6%
Q3 - 0:46.4HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 284
15.0%
93
85.0%
Q3 - 0:46.4HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 1 of 284
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q3 - 0:46.4HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)84
13.2%
92
86.8%
Q3 - 0:50.7HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound84
15.0%
92
85.0%
Q3 - 0:53.6HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot84
15.8%
92
84.2%
Q3 - 1:15HawksGarrison Mathews makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)84
19.0%
92
81.0%
Q3 - 1:20HeatAlec Burks personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)84
25.1%
89
74.9%
Q3 - 1:20HawksHawks defensive rebound84
25.1%
89
74.9%
Q3 - 1:21HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving finger roll layup84
26.2%
89
73.8%
Q3 - 1:34HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point pullup jump shot84
28.8%
89
71.2%
Q3 - 1:47HeatAlec Burks makes three point running jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)84
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q3 - 1:49HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound81
25.2%
87
74.8%
Q3 - 1:52HawksTerry Rozier blocks Trae Young's two point driving floating jump shot81
24.1%
87
75.9%
Q3 - 2:00HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound81
21.8%
87
78.2%
Q3 - 2:04HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot81
23.9%
87
76.1%
Q3 - 2:22HawksLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 281
26.3%
87
73.7%
Q3 - 2:22HawksLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 281
27.2%
86
72.8%
Q3 - 2:22HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)81
28.3%
85
71.7%
Q3 - 2:24HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound81
29.4%
85
70.6%
Q3 - 2:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot81
30.6%
85
69.4%
Q3 - 2:31HawksLarry Nance Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)81
33.5%
85
66.5%
Q3 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 281
29.4%
85
70.6%
Q3 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 280
29.0%
85
71.0%
Q3 - 2:48HawksGarrison Mathews personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)79
28.5%
85
71.5%
Q3 - 2:50HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound79
26.2%
85
73.8%
Q3 - 2:52HawksLarry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot79
25.1%
85
74.9%
Q3 - 3:01HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)79
23.4%
85
76.6%
Q3 - 3:14HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving layup (Garrison Mathews assists)77
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q3 - 3:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)77
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q3 - 3:38HawksKeaton Wallace makes two point running layup74
18.4%
83
81.6%
Q3 - 3:42HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound74
20.5%
81
79.5%
Q3 - 3:45HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot74
21.5%
81
78.5%
Q3 - 3:51HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound74
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q3 - 3:54HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q3 - 4:15HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 274
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 4:15HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 273
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q3 - 4:15HawksKeaton Wallace shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)72
21.0%
81
79.0%
Q3 - 4:35HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point running jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)72
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 4:40HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound72
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q3 - 4:42HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot72
25.4%
78
74.6%
Q3 - 4:54HawksGarrison Mathews makes three point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)72
27.8%
78
72.2%
Q3 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)72
34.8%
75
65.2%
Q3 - 5:12HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound72
34.8%
75
65.2%
Q3 - 5:14HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving layup72
35.9%
75
64.1%
Q3 - 5:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
38.6%
75
61.4%
Q3 - 5:31HawksVit Krejci misses three point pullup jump shot72
37.4%
75
62.6%
Q3 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup72
34.8%
75
65.2%
Q3 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound70
31.6%
75
68.4%
Q3 - 5:58HawksZaccharie Risacher misses three point running jump shot70
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q3 - 6:02HawksKeaton Wallace defensive rebound70
28.8%
75
71.2%
Q3 - 6:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot70
29.8%
75
70.2%
Q3 - 6:22HawksVit Krejci personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)70
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q3 - 6:33HawksJalen Johnson makes two point driving layup (Trae Young assists)70
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q3 - 6:41HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)70
35.1%
73
64.9%
Q3 - 6:59HawksJalen Johnson makes two point layup68
32.2%
73
67.8%
Q3 - 7:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup68
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q3 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound66
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 7:26HawksZaccharie Risacher misses two point driving floating bank jump shot66
31.8%
71
68.2%
Q3 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q3 - 8:02HawksZaccharie Risacher makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)66
33.2%
71
66.8%
Q3 - 8:19HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)66
38.9%
68
61.1%
Q3 - 8:23HawksVit Krejci turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)64
36.4%
68
63.6%
Q3 - 8:34HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound64
32.6%
68
67.4%
Q3 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot64
33.7%
68
66.3%
Q3 - 8:55HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound64
36.4%
68
63.6%
Q3 - 8:58HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot64
35.2%
68
64.8%
Q3 - 9:08HawksZaccharie Risacher defensive rebound64
33.1%
68
66.9%
Q3 - 9:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point running layup64
34.2%
68
65.8%
Q3 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
36.8%
68
63.2%
Q3 - 9:20HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot64
35.6%
68
64.4%
Q3 - 9:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving dunk64
33.0%
68
67.0%
Q3 - 9:46HawksJalen Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot62
30.7%
68
69.3%
Q3 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)62
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 10:12HeatHeat offensive rebound60
31.3%
66
68.7%
Q3 - 10:13HeatJalen Johnson blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point putback layup60
28.9%
66
71.1%
Q3 - 10:13HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound60
31.3%
66
68.7%
Q3 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot60
28.9%
66
71.1%
Q3 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound60
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 10:22HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating bank jump shot60
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 10:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)60
27.9%
66
72.1%
Q3 - 10:49HawksVit Krejci personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)58
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 10:59HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)58
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 11:03HawksClint Capela defensive rebound58
28.4%
64
71.6%
Q3 - 11:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot58
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound58
31.3%
64
68.7%
Q3 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot58
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 11:18HawksClint Capela personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
31.3%
64
68.7%
Q3 - 11:43HawksVit Krejci makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)58
31.3%
64
68.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.58
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound58
40.2%
61
59.8%
Q2 - 0:00.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot58
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound58
40.2%
61
59.8%
Q2 - 0:03.7HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot58
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q2 - 0:21.3HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound58
37.4%
61
62.6%
Q2 - 0:24.5HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot58
38.2%
61
61.8%
Q2 - 0:42.8HawksJalen Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)58
40.2%
61
59.8%
Q2 - 1:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot58
43.8%
59
56.2%
Q2 - 1:27HawksJalen Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)55
37.6%
59
62.4%
Q2 - 1:43HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)55
40.8%
57
59.2%
Q2 - 1:43HeatHeat offensive rebound55
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q2 - 1:44HeatJalen Johnson blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s three point stepback jump shot55
41.6%
57
58.4%
Q2 - 2:14HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point cutting dunk (Trae Young assists)55
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q2 - 2:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup55
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q2 - 2:25HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)53
43.9%
55
56.1%
Q2 - 2:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)53
40.6%
55
59.4%
Q2 - 3:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound50
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q2 - 3:03HawksJalen Johnson misses two point running jump shot50
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q2 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)50
32.9%
55
67.1%
Q2 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q2 - 3:17HawksJalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 150
35.6%
55
64.4%
Q2 - 3:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)50
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q2 - 3:23HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound50
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup50
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q2 - 3:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound50
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q2 - 3:41HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot50
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 3:54HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound50
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q2 - 3:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot50
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q2 - 4:13HawksJalen Johnson makes two point turnaround jump shot50
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q2 - 4:30HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 250
43.8%
51
56.2%
Q2 - 4:30HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 249
43.4%
51
56.6%
Q2 - 4:30HawksVit Krejci shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)48
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 4:44HawksKeaton Wallace makes three point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)48
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q2 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot48
46.5%
48
53.5%
Q2 - 5:14HawksGarrison Mathews makes two point cutting dunk (Vit Krejci assists)45
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q2 - 5:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Alec Burks assists)45
43.8%
46
56.2%
Q2 - 5:42HawksVit Krejci makes regular free throw 2 of 243
41.7%
46
58.3%
Q2 - 5:42HawksVit Krejci makes regular free throw 1 of 243
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 5:42HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Vit Krejci draws the foul)43
43.3%
44
56.7%
Q2 - 5:44HawksVit Krejci defensive rebound43
43.8%
44
56.2%
Q2 - 5:46HeatPelle Larsson misses two point jump shot43
44.8%
44
55.2%
Q2 - 6:08HawksClint Capela makes two point hook shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)43
47.1%
44
52.9%
Q2 - 6:23HeatAlec Burks makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
49.1%
42
50.9%
Q2 - 6:30HawksZaccharie Risacher turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)40
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q2 - 6:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 6:53HawksClint Capela turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)37
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 7:07HawksClint Capela defensive rebound37
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 7:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot37
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 7:22HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
36.9%
42
63.1%
Q2 - 7:26HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot37
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q2 - 7:35HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Garrison Mathews draws the foul)37
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 7:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup37
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 7:58HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 8:00HawksGarrison Mathews misses three point jump shot35
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 8:08HawksClint Capela defensive rebound35
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot35
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 8:33HawksZaccharie Risacher makes two point turnaround bank hook shot35
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 8:45HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)35
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 8:51HawksVit Krejci defensive rebound35
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 8:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot35
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 9:12HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)35
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 9:14HawksVit Krejci offensive rebound35
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 9:17HawksGarrison Mathews misses three point stepback jump shot35
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 9:36HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point reverse layup (Duncan Robinson assists)35
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 9:55HawksGarrison Mathews turnover (offensive foul)33
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 9:55HawksGarrison Mathews offensive foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)33
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 10:03HeatAlec Burks makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)33
37.2%
37
62.8%
Q2 - 10:20HawksZaccharie Risacher makes two point putback layup31
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 10:21HawksZaccharie Risacher offensive rebound31
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 10:26HawksZaccharie Risacher misses three point running pullup jump shot31
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 10:30HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)31
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 10:48HawksLarry Nance Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)31
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 131
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 11:08HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 11:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound28
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 11:13HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot28
31.7%
35
68.3%
Q2 - 11:18HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound28
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 11:21HawksJalen Johnson misses two point cutting layup28
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 11:30HawksLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound28
31.0%
35
69.0%
Q2 - 11:34HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot28
31.7%
35
68.3%
Q2 - 11:39HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound28
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 11:43HawksZaccharie Risacher misses three point jump shot28
32.6%
35
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
31.0%
35
69.0%
Q1 - 0:00.4HawksLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Johnson assists)28
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q1 - 0:05.1HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot28
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound26
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q1 - 0:24.7HawksTrae Young misses two point driving layup26
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q1 - 0:30.7HawksLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound26
31.1%
33
68.9%
Q1 - 0:34.3HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point running jump shot26
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q1 - 0:40.2HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)26
31.1%
33
68.9%
Q1 - 1:01HawksTrae Young makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)26
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q1 - 1:06HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Garrison Mathews steals)26
37.7%
30
62.3%
Q1 - 1:19HawksJalen Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot26
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q1 - 1:24HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound26
42.1%
28
57.9%
Q1 - 1:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot26
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q1 - 1:42HawksGarrison Mathews makes regular free throw 2 of 226
44.3%
28
55.7%
Q1 - 1:42HawksGarrison Mathews makes regular free throw 1 of 226
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q1 - 1:42HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Garrison Mathews draws the foul)26
44.9%
26
55.1%
Q1 - 1:50HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround hook shot26
46.6%
26
53.4%
Q1 - 2:06HawksLarry Nance Jr. makes two point reverse dunk (Trae Young assists)24
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q1 - 2:19HawksGarrison Mathews defensive rebound24
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 2:21HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 3 of 324
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q1 - 2:21HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 324
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q1 - 2:21HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 323
48.0%
24
52.0%
Q1 - 2:21HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)22
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q1 - 2:34HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)22
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q1 - 2:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup22
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 2:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound20
46.8%
21
53.2%
Q1 - 2:52HawksGarrison Mathews misses regular free throw 1 of 120
46.5%
21
53.5%
Q1 - 2:52HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Garrison Mathews draws the foul)20
44.9%
21
55.1%
Q1 - 3:02HawksHawks defensive rebound20
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 3:03HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot20
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 3:22HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point cutting dunk (Trae Young assists)20
53.3%
18
46.7%
Q1 - 3:37HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound20
55.0%
16
45.0%
Q1 - 3:40HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot20
55.8%
16
44.2%
Q1 - 4:02HawksGarrison Mathews makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)20
56.4%
16
43.6%
Q1 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 220
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 219
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 4:12HawksGarrison Mathews shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)18
59.3%
13
40.7%
Q1 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound18
58.2%
13
41.8%
Q1 - 4:22HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot18
57.6%
13
42.4%
Q1 - 4:30HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Keaton Wallace steals)18
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 4:35HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound18
58.2%
13
41.8%
Q1 - 4:38HawksGarrison Mathews misses three point pullup jump shot18
57.5%
13
42.5%
Q1 - 4:44HawksKeaton Wallace defensive rebound18
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 4:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running jump shot18
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 4:49HawksLarry Nance Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)18
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 4:50HawksLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound18
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 4:55HawksZaccharie Risacher misses two point driving bank hook shot18
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 5:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 218
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 5:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 217
55.4%
13
44.6%
Q1 - 5:05HawksKeaton Wallace shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)16
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 5:10HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound16
54.0%
13
46.0%
Q1 - 5:13HawksLarry Nance Jr. misses two point floating jump shot16
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 5:34HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)16
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 5:40HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)13
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 5:48HawksVit Krejci makes two point driving finger roll layup (Keaton Wallace assists)13
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 6:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot13
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 6:30HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Zaccharie Risacher assists)11
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Zaccharie Risacher draws the foul)11
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)11
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 7:03HawksJalen Johnson personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)9
50.1%
8
49.9%
Q1 - 7:11HeatHeat defensive rebound9
50.1%
8
49.9%
Q1 - 7:12HawksBam Adebayo blocks Zaccharie Risacher's two point cutting layup9
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 7:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup9
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 7:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound7
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 7:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot7
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 7:43HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)7
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 7:59HawksClint Capela defensive rebound7
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 8:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot7
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 8:12HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot7
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 8:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)7
48.4%
6
51.6%
Q1 - 8:43HawksJalen Johnson makes two point putback layup5
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 8:43HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound5
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 8:45HawksJalen Johnson misses two point tip layup5
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 8:45HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound5
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 8:49HawksJalen Johnson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot5
49.3%
4
50.7%
Q1 - 9:00HawksTrae Young defensive rebound5
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 9:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot5
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 9:22HawksZaccharie Risacher makes two point running dunk (Jalen Johnson assists)5
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 9:25HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Trae Young steals)5
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 9:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound5
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 9:32HawksBam Adebayo blocks Vit Krejci's two point driving layup5
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 9:54HawksClint Capela defensive rebound5
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot5
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 10:09HawksZaccharie Risacher personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 10:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 10:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot5
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 10:21HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)5
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)5
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 10:35HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound3
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 10:57HawksJalen Johnson makes two point driving dunk (Trae Young assists)3
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 11:09HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)3
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:27HawksJalen Johnson misses three point jump shot0
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 11:42HawksZaccharie Risacher defensive rebound0
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 11:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Clint Capela (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
47.9%
0
52.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
ATL
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
27
67%
ATL
21
30
70%
Midrange
MIA
9
22
41%
ATL
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
41
32%
48%
ATL
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
17
18
94%
ATL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2874%14.0 / 19
B. Adebayo1750%8.5 / 17
D. Robinson1657%8.0 / 14
H. Highsmith1488%7.0 / 8
A. Burks1050%5.0 / 10
T. Rozier950%4.5 / 9
J. Jaquez833%4.0 / 12
N. Jović440%2.0 / 5
K. Ware467%2.0 / 3
P. Larsson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2870%14.0 / 20
D. Hunter2676%13.0 / 17
G. Mathews1890%9.0 / 10
T. Young1137%5.5 / 15
L. Nance1071%5.0 / 7
Z. Risacher938%4.5 / 12
V. Krejčí750%3.5 / 7
C. Capela6100%3.0 / 3
K. Wallace563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
92
+11
-8
103
ATL
87
+10
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
ATL
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
113.7
MIA 110.0
ATL 122.4 +12.4
Pace
97.2
103.4
MIA 97.1
ATL 101.1 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
13.3
MIA 14.8
ATL 14.2 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
54.6%
MIA 51.7%
ATL 59.9% +8.2%
TO %
12.8%
14.1%
MIA 8.4% +3.6%
ATL 12.0%
ORB %
22.3%
26.3%
MIA 17.4%
ATL 20.9% +3.5%
FTrt
23.2
25.2
MIA 20.0
ATL 25.6 +5.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
68.3%
MIA 57.5%
ATL 77.3% +19.8%
STL %
8.3%
9.4%
MIA 9.0% +1.9%
ATL 7.1%
BLK %
7.6%
9.7%
MIA 8.2% +4.1%
ATL 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.5%
MIA 53.4%
ATL 61.9% +8.5%
Rim FG%
62.5%
62.9%
MIA 66.7%
ATL 70.0% +3.3%
Mid FG%
44.4%
44.5%
MIA 40.9%
ATL 42.1% +1.2%
3P %
36.7%
35.8%
MIA 31.7%
ATL 40.5% +8.8%
FT %
79.1%
77.5%
MIA 94.4% +17.1%
ATL 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
34.1%
MIA 30.0%
ATL 34.9% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
24.8%
MIA 24.4%
ATL 22.1% +2.4%
3P Att. %
42.9%
41.0%
MIA 45.6% +2.5%
ATL 43.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions10098
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points110120
Rebounds4247
Assists2334
Steals97
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)11 (2)
Fouls1916
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals40-9044-86
At-the-Rim FG18-2721-30
Midrange FG9-228-19
2-Point FG27-4929-49
3-Point FG13-4115-37
Free Throws17-1817-22
Fast Break Pts1917
2nd Chance Pts129
Points in Paint5056
Pts off Turnovers1712
Bench Points2759
Biggest Lead710

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 31
38.3
16
57%
5
5
2
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
36.5
17
50%
10
2
1
2
2
3
3
7
1-1
100%
8-15
53%
0-2
0%
#24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 28
36.1
14
88%
6
2
0
0
1
4
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
35.9
28
74%
7
10
0
0
2
3
0
7
8-8
100%
4-8
50%
4-7
57%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
21.1
8
33%
5
1
3
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-5
0%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
20.1
9
50%
5
1
1
2
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
19.3
10
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
18.4
4
40%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
10.0
4
67%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Inflammation
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
53%
42
23
9
4
8
19
8
34
17-18
94%
27-49
55%
13-41
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.