Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 28, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pistons	36%	115	121	117.5	103	106.6
	11	Nuggets	64%	120	134	134.0	100	96.7

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+18

-12

109

DEN

+11

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.37 68.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 23	26.6	17	45%	2	8	0	0	3	3	1	1	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-8	13%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	23.5	7	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.8	17	94%	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	19.9	12	60%	7	2	0	0	1	4	3	4	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 33	18.1	8	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	24.1	10	63%	6	2	2	0	1	3	3	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 19	19.8	12	60%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	18.5	14	58%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-9	33%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	15.2	5	63%	1	2	2	0	3	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	13.6	3	25%	4	2	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Paul Reed #7 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	12.0	7	50%	2	2	4	1	0	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	12.0	6	50%	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cole Swider #13 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	41	29	8	1	12	25	15	26	17-23	74%	34-56	61%	12-39	31%

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21 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 23	26.6	17	45%	2	8	0	0	3	3	1	1	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-8	13%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	23.5	7	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.8	17	94%	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	19.9	12	60%	7	2	0	0	1	4	3	4	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 33	18.1	8	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	24.1	10	63%	6	2	2	0	1	3	3	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 19	19.8	12	60%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	18.5	14	58%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-9	33%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	15.2	5	63%	1	2	2	0	3	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	13.6	3	25%	4	2	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Paul Reed #7 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	12.0	7	50%	2	2	4	1	0	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	12.0	6	50%	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cole Swider #13 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	41	29	8	1	12	25	15	26	17-23	74%	34-56	61%	12-39	31%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.6	34	71%	5	4	1	3	1	1	1	4	6-7	86%	8-14	57%	4-7	57%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	37.2	37	80%	9	8	0	0	2	4	1	8	11-14	79%	7-12	58%	4-5	80%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	33.7	26	87%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	5-7	71%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	30.5	8	67%	9	8	2	0	6	4	2	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	29.6	10	71%	4	3	3	1	0	3	2	2	6-6	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	22.8	5	42%	1	3	2	1	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	22.6	6	33%	3	1	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	13.2	2	33%	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	10.8	6	75%	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	68%	40	29	9	6	13	18	8	32	29-36	81%	33-55	60%	13-27	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.37 68.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

69%

DEN

78%

Midrange

DET

52%

DEN

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

18.0

31%

46%

DEN

19.5

48%

72%

Free Throws

DET

74%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	17	45%	8.5 / 19
J. Ivey	17	94%	8.5 / 9
M. Beasley	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Duren	12	60%	6.0 / 10
R. Holland	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Thompson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Hardaway	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Harris	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Reed	7	50%	3.5 / 7
W. Moore	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Sasser	5	63%	2.5 / 4
I. Stewart	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Fontecchio	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	37	80%	18.5 / 23
J. Murray	34	71%	17.0 / 24
M. Porter	26	87%	13.0 / 15
C. Braun	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. Westbrook	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Strawther	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Jordan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Watson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
H. Tyson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 114.5 4 118.9	DET 117.5 DEN 134.0 +16.5
Pace	12 100.3 8 100.6	DET 106.6 +9.8 DEN 96.7
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.3 22 14.2	DET 13.5 −1.4 DEN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.7% 2 57.3%	DET 54.7% DEN 64.0% +9.3%
TO %	21 14.0% 15 13.3%	DET 10.2% −2.3% DEN 12.5%
ORB %	11 26.2% 7 26.7%	DET 31.9% +8.4% DEN 23.5%
FTrt	12 24.8 5 25.9	DET 24.2 DEN 43.9 +19.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.8% 4 68.3%	DET 63.0% DEN 63.0%
STL %	20 7.9% 19 7.9%	DET 7.8% DEN 9.0% +1.2%
BLK %	6 10.4% 21 9.0%	DET 1.8% DEN 10.7% +8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.6% 2 58.8%	DET 55.5% DEN 68.4% +12.9%
Rim FG%	16 63.7% 7 66.2%	DET 69.0% DEN 78.1% +9.1%
Mid FG%	16 43.5% 8 45.5%	DET 51.9% +17.1% DEN 34.8%
3P %	17 36.2% 5 37.6%	DET 30.8% DEN 48.1% +17.3%
FT %	20 77.4% 23 77.0%	DET 73.9% DEN 80.6% +6.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 34.4% 1 38.3%	DET 30.5% DEN 39.0% +8.5%
Mid Att. %	14 26.2% 13 26.1%	DET 28.4% DEN 28.0% −0.4%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 30 35.6%	DET 41.1% +8.1% DEN 32.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DET	DEN
Possessions	103	100
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	121	134
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	29	29
Steals	8	9
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	25	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	32 (3)
Field Goals	46-95	46-82
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	25-32
Midrange FG	14-27	8-23
2-Point FG	34-56	33-55
3-Point FG	12-39	13-27
Free Throws	17-23	29-36
Fast Break Pts	14	18
2nd Chance Pts	11	18
Points in Paint	60	60
Pts off Turnovers	20	17
Bench Points	60	19
Biggest Lead	5	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg